变量 | 断点值取平均值的80% | 断点值取平均值的120% | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2006年 | 2006年 | ||||||||
板块一 | 板块二 | 板块三 | 板块四 | 板块一 | 板块二 | 板块三 | 板块四 | ||
GDP | -2.972** | -0.184** | -0.209 | -1.085** | -3.077*** | -0.184** | -0.211 | -0.877* | |
SUM_GDP | 0.044 | 0.302** | 0.892*** | -0.187 | 0.063 | 0.302** | 0.892*** | -0.042 | |
TRADE | 0.692*** | 0.494*** | 0.365*** | 0.366** | 0.696*** | 0.494*** | 0.365*** | 0.420** | |
TECH | -0.047 | 0.144*** | -0.068 | 0.000 | -0.069 | 0.144*** | -0.065 | -0.002 | |
EI | 0.076* | -0.019 | -0.004 | 0.358** | 0.074* | -0.019 | -0.005 | 0.377* | |
POP | 0.189** | -0.047 | -0.011 | 0.309 | 0.195** | -0.047 | -0.013 | 0.189 | |
CONS | 3.265*** | -0.091 | -0.871 | 0.647 | 3.360*** | -0.091 | -0.875 | 0.579 | |
PROD | -0.292*** | -0.028 | 0.593 | -0.471* | -0.298*** | -0.028 | 0.593 | -0.520* | |
ENERGY | -0.087 | -0.075 | 0.004 | 0.138 | -0.087 | -0.075 | 0.004 | 0.136 | |
TF | 0.021 | -0.082 | -0.026 | -0.225* | 0.030 | -0.082 | -0.021 | -0.291* | |
DIST | -0.089* | -0.035 | -0.432*** | 0.850** | -0.075 | -0.035 | -0.427*** | 0.626 | |
LANG | 0.103 | 0.091 | 0.197*** | -0.003 | 0.099 | 0.091 | 0.200*** | 0.102 | |
Adj-R2 | 0.726 | 0.418 | 0.653 | 0.676 | 0.731 | 0.418 | 0.649 | 0.418 | |
变量 | 2021年 | 2021年 | |||||||
GDP | 1.037 | -0.153* | -0.433* | -0.901* | 0.950 | -0.149* | -0.433* | -0.724* | |
SUM_GDP | -2.324** | 0.312** | 1.766*** | -2.028* | -2.486** | 0.308** | 1.766*** | -1.858* | |
TRADE | 0.689*** | 0.487*** | 0.387*** | -0.048 | 0.688*** | 0.484*** | 0.387*** | -0.109 | |
TECH | 0.128** | 0.031 | 0.117 | 0.304** | 0.130** | 0.032 | 0.117 | 0.323* | |
EI | 0.176* | 0.059 | -0.076 | 0.537 | 0.176* | 0.060 | -0.076 | 0.614 | |
POP | 0.359 | -0.023 | -0.821*** | -0.176 | 0.478 | -0.021 | -0.821*** | -0.244 | |
CONS | 1.144** | 0.251 | 0.181 | -0.077 | 1.271** | 0.261 | 0.181 | -0.121 | |
PROD | -0.060 | -0.379* | -0.362 | 0.703*** | -0.067 | -0.390* | -0.362 | 0.648*** | |
ENERGY | 0.019 | -0.111** | 0.070 | 1.797* | 0.015 | -0.113** | 0.070 | 1.666* | |
TF | 0.030 | -0.096 | 0.047 | 0.157 | 0.047 | -0.096 | 0.047 | 0.222 | |
DIST | -0.064 | -0.054 | -0.404*** | 2.136** | -0.074 | -0.055 | -0.404*** | 1.979** | |
LANG | 0.137** | 0.150* | 0.026 | 0.046 | 0.146** | 0.151* | 0.026 | 0.219 | |
Adj-R2 | 0.615 | 0.361 | 0.582 | 0.450 | 0.616 | 0.358 | 0.582 | 0.394 |