分区 | 变量 | 2006年 | 2007年 | 2008年 | 2010年 | 2012年 | 2016年 | 2018年 | 2020年 | 2021年 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
板块一 | GDP | -2.913** | -2.308** | -1.852* | 0.604 | 1.598 | 0.899 | 0.950 | 0.213 | 1.041 |
SUM_GDP | -0.102 | -0.550 | -0.533 | -3.049* | -4.487** | -3.347** | -2.446** | -1.585 | -2.344** | |
TRADE | 0.688*** | 0.699*** | 0.686*** | 0.570*** | 0.605*** | 0.705*** | 0.692*** | 0.696*** | 0.690*** | |
TECH | -0.053 | -0.039 | -0.011 | 0.117** | 0.121** | 0.116** | 0.102** | 0.109* | 0.129** | |
EI | 0.076** | 0.010 | 0.052* | 0.222*** | 0.221*** | 0.203*** | 0.183** | 0.188* | 0.180* | |
POP | 0.174*** | 0.194*** | 0.204*** | 0.130 | -0.039 | -0.022 | 0.024 | 0.078 | 0.365 | |
CONS | 3.364*** | 3.153*** | 2.604** | 2.693* | 3.266** | 2.732** | 1.728** | 1.531*** | 1.152** | |
PROD | -0.285*** | -0.266** | -0.171** | -0.154 | -0.172 | -0.087 | -0.104 | -0.078* | -0.056 | |
ENERGY | -0.083 | -0.043 | 0.000 | -0.012 | -0.049 | -0.033 | -0.018 | 0.026 | 0.018 | |
TF | 0.016 | -0.038 | -0.083 | -0.010 | 0.183* | 0.218** | 0.081 | 0.002 | 0.029 | |
DIST | -0.097* | -0.090* | -0.102* | -0.014 | 0.030 | -0.058 | -0.057 | -0.073 | -0.066 | |
LANG | 0.112 | 0.112* | 0.096 | 0.265** | 0.332*** | 0.202** | 0.139* | 0.109 | 0.143** | |
Adj-R2 | 0.730 | 0.714 | 0.723 | 0.561 | 0.553 | 0.649 | 0.623 | 0.619 | 0.617 | |
板块二 | GDP | -0.185** | -2.308** | -0.090 | -0.062 | -0.048 | -0.202** | -0.170* | -0.149* | -0.152* |
SUM_GDP | 0.301** | -0.550 | 0.163 | 0.153 | 0.145 | 0.369** | 0.337** | 0.302** | 0.311** | |
TRADE | 0.494*** | 0.699*** | 0.349*** | 0.354** | 0.468*** | 0.462*** | 0.477*** | 0.488*** | 0.488*** | |
TECH | 0.143** | -0.039 | 0.010 | -0.056 | -0.069 | -0.082 | -0.026 | 0.023 | 0.031 | |
EI | -0.018 | 0.010 | 0.115 | 0.080 | 0.084 | 0.018 | 0.029 | 0.048 | 0.057 | |
POP | -0.047 | 0.194** | -0.130 | -0.189* | -0.122 | -0.005 | -0.020 | -0.009 | -0.024 | |
CONS | -0.094 | 3.153*** | -0.491* | -0.663** | -0.461* | 0.320 | 0.290 | 0.247 | 0.249 | |
PROD | -0.026 | -0.266** | 0.446* | 0.612** | 0.411* | -0.488* | -0.442* | -0.401 | -0.378* | |
ENERGY | -0.076 | -0.043 | -0.004 | -0.015 | -0.009 | -0.093* | -0.085 | -0.099** | -0.110** | |
TF | -0.084 | -0.038 | -0.023 | 0.013 | -0.016 | -0.079 | -0.043 | -0.094 | -0.096 | |
DIST | -0.036 | -0.090* | -0.077 | -0.066 | -0.073 | 0.008 | -0.036 | -0.059 | -0.055 | |
LANG | 0.094 | 0.112* | 0.023 | 0.041 | 0.023 | 0.157* | 0.150* | 0.144* | 0.149* | |
Adj-R2 | 0.419 | 0.205 | 0.155 | 0.173 | 0.279 | 0.368 | 0.364 | 0.363 | 0.362 | |
板块三 | GDP | -0.203 | -0.067 | -0.078 | -0.233 | -0.651** | -0.461* | -0.129 | -0.122 | -0.433* |
SUM_GDP | 0.905*** | 0.984*** | 1.118*** | 1.391*** | 1.694*** | 1.794*** | 1.429*** | 1.298*** | 1.832*** | |
TRADE | 0.363*** | 0.373*** | 0.371*** | 0.314*** | 0.303*** | 0.316*** | 0.378*** | 0.397*** | 0.385*** | |
TECH | -0.062 | -0.123* | -0.182** | -0.183** | -0.142* | -0.057 | 0.094 | 0.125 | 0.121 | |
EI | -0.002 | 0.082 | 0.160** | 0.161** | 0.106* | 0.074 | -0.044 | -0.069 | -0.086 | |
POP | -0.011 | -0.072 | -0.082 | -0.110 | -0.114 | -0.024 | 0.039 | 0.040 | -0.857*** | |
CONS | -0.887* | -0.761 | -0.656 | -0.273 | 0.252 | -0.669 | -1.226* | -0.943 | 0.075 | |
PROD | 0.597 | 0.236 | 0.025 | -0.477 | -0.936* | -0.208 | 0.306 | 0.116 | -0.278 | |
ENERGY | 0.010 | -0.014 | -0.071 | 0.028 | 0.030 | 0.055 | 0.076 | 0.068 | 0.084 | |
TF | -0.031 | 0.002 | 0.005 | 0.056 | 0.009 | 0.057 | 0.037 | 0.024 | 0.049 | |
DIST | -0.425*** | -0.446*** | -0.458*** | -0.470*** | -0.432*** | -0.417*** | -0.427*** | -0.390*** | -0.400*** | |
LANG | 0.210*** | 0.248*** | 0.227*** | 0.229*** | 0.222*** | 0.049 | 0.029 | 0.021 | 0.026 | |
Adj-R2 | 0.659 | 0.631 | 0.644 | 0.632 | 0.645 | 0.645 | 0.589 | 0.566 | 0.601 | |
板块四 | GDP | -1.096** | -1.436** | -1.140** | -1.308** | -1.269** | -0.597 | -0.318 | -0.024 | -0.786* |
SUM_GDP | -0.233 | -0.974 | -0.379 | -0.264* | 0.122 | -0.036 | 0.155 | 0.796 | -1.909* | |
TRADE | 0.384** | 0.129 | 0.082 | 0.059 | 0.042 | -0.061 | -0.035 | 0.115 | -0.043 | |
TECH | -0.002*** | -0.006 | -0.006 | -0.002*** | -0.012 | -0.002*** | 0.036*** | 0.187 | 0.268* | |
EI | 0.361* | 0.038 | -0.556* | -0.354** | -0.249 | -0.238 | -0.984* | -0.457 | 0.474 | |
POP | 0.321 | 1.071** | 0.898** | 0.783 | 0.886** | 0.089 | 0.031 | -0.125 | -0.168 | |
CONS | 0.678 | 0.077 | -0.114 | 0.152 | -0.013 | -0.082 | -0.233 | -0.184 | -0.102 | |
PROD | -0.496* | -0.238 | -0.248 | -0.382*** | -0.274 | 0.258* | 0.297* | 0.179 | 0.647*** | |
ENERGY | 0.203 | 0.524 | -0.161 | 0.134 | -0.142 | -0.062 | -0.391 | -0.804 | 1.635* | |
TF | -0.231* | 0.144 | 0.152 | -0.106 | -0.139 | -0.052 | -0.234 | -0.047 | 0.193 | |
DIST | 0.890* | 1.791*** | 1.765*** | 1.519*** | 1.157** | 1.223*** | 1.555** | 0.759 | 2.149** | |
LANG | 0.105 | 0.194 | 0.094 | 0.015 | 0.022 | -0.119 | -0.217 | -0.073 | 0.109 | |
Adj-R2 | 0.633 | 0.604 | 0.680 | 0.732 | 0.690 | 0.472 | 0.575 | 0.536 | 0.592 |