Territorial Planning and Spatial Governance
CAO Hui, ZHANG Yi-chi, LI Ping-xing, CHEN Jiang-long
With rapid socio-economic development, the relationship between city and lake has experienced complicated and diversified changes, which brings potential challenges to regional sustainable development. To optimize the relationship between urban development and lake protection, this study, taking Hefei-Chaohu Lake in the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) as an example, established the evaluation index system of city-lake symbiosis, and analyzed the development levels and variations of Hefei and Chaohu Lake from 2005 to 2019, based on the theoretical analysis of city-lake symbiosis. Consequently, the symbiotic pattern of Hefei and Chaohu Lake was identified by introducing Lotka-Volterra model, and the variation trend of Hefei and Chaohu Lake symbiotic level was measured using symbiotic coordination degree model. The main conclusions and suggestions are as follows: (1) During the study period, the city subsystem showed a steady upward trend, and the level of each indicator gradually changed from great differences to balanced development. Although the level of scientific and technological innovation showed the fastest increasing trend, it was still lower than the other indicators. In order to further improve the level of scientific and technological innovation, it is suggested to enhance both the industrial transformation-upgrading and green innovation capability of Hefei. (2) During the study period, the lake subsystem showed a fluctuating upward trend, and the trend slowed down since 2014. The water ecological environment has been improved significantly compared with the levels of water pollution prevention and water resource security. However, the growth rates of all the three indicators have slowed down in recent years. Thus, comprehensive management and protection of Chaohu Lake is still one of the top priorities in the near future. (3) Although the results of the identification of symbiotic pattern show that Hefei and Chaohu Lake have already stepped into the stage of mutualistic symbiosis, the low value of symbiotic coordination degree indicates that both the city and the lake are still in the early stage. In addition to the improvement of the levels of both the city subsystem and the lake subsystem, it is suggested that the linkage and integration between Hefei and Chaohu Lake should be further enhanced to reach the high level of mutualistic symbiosis, and realize the harmonious development between human and nature. The study provides a reference for symbiotic pattern recognition and high-quality development of other city-lake systems in the YRD.