Green Development and Ecological Conservation
YANG Yi-nan, LI Jing, WANG Li, WANG Zi-hao, YAO Chen-xin, WANG Yuan
The rapid urbanization process in the Yangtze River Delta has affected the balance between the supply and demand of ecosystem services. In order to realize the integrated and high-quality development of the Yangtze River Delta, it is necessary to explore the impact of urbanization on supply and demand of ecosystem services. Therefore, based on ecological model, Pearson correlation, random forest, local spatial autocorrelation and other methods, this paper analyzes the impact relationship, sensitivity and spatial interaction between urbanization and supply and demand of ecosystem services, and finally proposes ecological management measures. The study found that the comprehensive level of urbanization in the Yangtze River Delta increased by 133.33% from 2000 to 2018; ESDR is positive but shows a decreasing trend, with an average decline rate of 22.39%; urbanization has a significant negative impact on ESDR, with an average increase of 82.34% from 2000 to 2018; food production is more sensitive to population urbanization, carbon storage and habitat quality are more sensitive to economic urbanization, and water conservation and PM2.5 removal are more sensitive to spatial urbanization. There is a large spatial mismatch between urbanization and ESDR. Therefore, it is suggested to divide the Yangtze River Delta into ecological utilization area, ecological reconstruction area, ecological source area and ecological restoration area, and proposes ecological optimization management measures according to the characteristics of urbanization and supply and demand of ecosystem service.