Effect of the Household Bounded Rationality Decision-making about Land Use Behavior:A Case Study for Gaoxigou Village of Mizhi County in Shaanxi Province

Expand
  • 1. College of Urban and Environment, Northwest University, Xi’an 710069, China;
    2. Institute of Soil and Water Conservation, CAS and Ministry of Water Resources, Northwest Sci-Tech University of Agriculture & Forestry, Yangling 712100, China

Received date: 2011-10-24

  Revised date: 2011-12-06

  Online published: 2012-08-20

Abstract

Using the bounded rationality and behavior decision-making mechanism to research human decision-making behavior has become one of the hot-spots in rational diversification of Modern Economics. In this paper, we discussed the influencing factors of peasant household bounded rationality and behavior decision-making in microscopic scale of land use change. A case was studied for Gaoxigou Village of Mizhi County in Shaanxi Province. After establishing the household income expectation model, using 2009-2011 household survey data, the differences between the rational optimal decision and the farmers’actual decision-making were indentified firstly. Then based on bounded rationality idea, using the Probit model which can better reflect the satisfaction of farmer’s decision to explain and analyze these differences and the influential factors. The conclusions can be drawn as follows: 1) There is a significant difference between the rational optimal decision and the farmers’actual decision-making in Gaoxigou Village, which can illustrate that household’s bounded rationality plays an important role in decision-making. 2) Constructing 0-1 dummy variable by Probit model can simulate the households behavior of decision-making attitude, and four types of variables are selected to explain the impact on household decision-making. The results revealed that the coefficient of agricultural income is 0.78, the variable that reflected the relative economic decline status is 0.41, the coefficient of the area of grain for green is -0.42, arable land is -0.62, wage income is -0.34, the coefficient of gender is 0.48, and the coefficient of labor is 0.31. All levels show the significant association, and which is in line with the comparison between theoretical predictions and actual research.

Cite this article

CHEN Shan-shan, CHEN Hai, LIANG Xiao-ying, LIU Jun-xin . Effect of the Household Bounded Rationality Decision-making about Land Use Behavior:A Case Study for Gaoxigou Village of Mizhi County in Shaanxi Province[J]. JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2012 , 27(8) : 1286 -1295 . DOI: 10.11849/zrzyxb.2012.08.003

References

[1] 蔡运龙.土地利用/土地覆被变化研究:寻求新的综合途径[J].地理研究,2001,20(6):645-652.
[2] 赖作卿.试论有限理性的农民[J].金融与经济,1998(3):35-37.
[3] 于全辉.基于有限理性假设的行为经济学分析[J].经济问题探索,2006(7):20-23.
[4] 丘海雄,张应祥.理性选择理论述评[J].中山大学学报:社会科学版,1998(1):117-124.
[5] 乔洪武,刘国华.行为经济学与主流经济学:两个基本概念辨析[J].武汉大学学报:哲学社会科学版,2006,59(1):62-68.
[6] 肖斌.经济学与心理学的融合——行为经济学述评[J].当代经济研究,2006(7):23-26.
[7] Simon H A. Administrative, Behavior—A Study of Decision Making Processes in Administrative Organization [M]. New York: Macmillan Publishing Co.,lnc.,1971.
[8] Simon H A. A behavioral model of rational choice [J]. Quarterly Journal of Economics,1955,69(1):99-118.
[9] Simon H A. Rationality as process and as product of thought [J]. American Economic Review,1978,68(2):1-16.
[10] Savage L J. The Foundations of Statistics [M]. New York: Wiley,1954.
[11] 蒋炜,程少川,席酉民,等.有限理性与信息处理模型研究综述[J].控制与决策,1998,13(3):200-205.
[12] Lipman B L. Information processing and bounded rationality: A survey [J]. Canadian Journal of Economics,1985,28(1):42-67.
[13] 何大安.行为经济人有限理性的实现程度[J].中国社会科学,2004(4):91-101.
[14] 刘克春.农户要素禀赋、交易费用与农户农地转出行为——基于江西省农户调查[J].商业研究,2008(8):164-167.
[15] 李亮.影响有限理性实现程度的因素分析.南京:南京理工大学,2005.
[16] 李广海,陈通.基于有限理性行为决策模糊综合评价研究[J].统计与决策,2007(24):42-44.
[17] 殷焕武,张铁山.期望值优化法在项目风险决策中的应用[J].技术经济与管理研究,2006(2):59-60.
[18] 郭文英.期望效用理论的发展[J].首都经济贸易大学学报,2005(5):11-14.
[19] 余芳,周爱保.主观期望效用理论的发展[J].四川教育学院学报,2005(5):54-56.
[20] 钟涨宝,陈小伍,王绪朗.有限理性与农地流转过程中的农户行为选择[J].华中科技大学学报,2007(6):113-118.
[21] 郝爱民.农户消费决定因素:基于有序Probit 模型[J].财经科学,2009(3):98-105.
[22] 陈海,杨维鸽,梁小英,等.基于Multi-Agent System的多尺度土地利用变化模拟的构建与模拟[J].地理研究,2010,29(8):1519-1527.
[23] 陈海,王涛,梁小英,等.基于MAS的农户土地利用模型构建与模拟——以陕西省米脂县孟岔村为例[J].地理学报,2009,64(12): 1448-1456.
[24] 郗静.退耕还林政策影响下区域土地利用/覆被变化微观行为机制研究.西安:西北大学,2009.
[25] 钟太洋,黄贤金,翟文侠."退耕还林"政策驱动下的农户土地转用决策及土地利用变化影响研究——基于江西省丰城市农户问卷调查的一个分析[J].亚热带水土保持,2006,18(3):8-11.
Outlines

/