Special Column:Celebration of the 70th Anniversary of IGSNRR, CAS

Index System for Appraising National Petroleum Security

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  • 1. Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing 100101, China;
    2. College Territorial Resources and Tourism, Anhui Normal University, Wuhu 241000, China

Received date: 2007-02-01

  Revised date: 2008-05-07

  Online published: 2008-09-28

Abstract

Petroleum is a political goods and strategic material, which is influenced easily by some factors, such as politic, economic and military factors.According to the nature and connotation of national petroleum security (NPS) and the principles of establishment of index system, this paper selects 16 indices from five aspects and establishes an index system for appraising NPS.The index system of appraising NPS is made up of four layers, five subsystems and 16 indices.This paper firstly explains the 16 indices and gives their calculating formulas.Then on the basis of classification and quantification of the indices, this paper uses the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) to determine the weight coefficient and revises it by using entropy technique with the following formula:λjjwj[]∑n[]j=1μjwj Where λj stands for the modified weight coefficient by using entropy technique,μj is the information weight and wj is the weight coefficient determined by AHP.Some inspiration we can get from the studies is as follows: (1) NPS appraising is a difficult work.The selection and value calculation of indices and the determination of the weight coefficient all need researcher's personal judgment.So, a good index system needs a professional researcher; (2) we try to convert some important indices that are very difficult for quantifying into semi-quantified indices; and (3) the result is satisfied by using entropy technique to revise the coefficient.

Cite this article

WANG Li-mao, FANG Ye-bing . Index System for Appraising National Petroleum Security[J]. JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2008 , 23(5) : 821 -831 . DOI: 10.11849/zrzyxb.2008.05.009

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