
The effect of cultivated land renting-in on sustainable intensification of cultivated land use: Analysis of the mediating effect of management scale and fragmentation level
LYU Xiao, SUN Xiao-wen, PENG Wen-long
JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES ›› 2024, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (3) : 620-639.
The effect of cultivated land renting-in on sustainable intensification of cultivated land use: Analysis of the mediating effect of management scale and fragmentation level
Based on 526 survey data of farming households in Qufu and Juxian county, this paper comprehensively evaluates the sustainable intensification level of farming households' cultivated land use by carbon footprint and emergy analysis methods. Based on the analysis of the transmission mechanism of cultivated land renting-in affecting SICLU, we use the mediated effect model to test the mediated role of management scale and fragmentation of cultivated land. The results show that: (1) The SICLU level of cultivated land transferred to farming households is higher, producing better economic and social benefits, but its ecological efficiency needs to be improved. The economic benefit, ecological benefit, social benefit and the level of SICLU are 0.115, 0.067 and 0.081; 0.623, 0.630 and 0.628; 0.045, 0.043 and 0.044; 0.261, 0.247 and 0.251 for renting-in farming households, non-renting-in farming households and the whole sample, respectively. (2) Baseline regression shows that cultivated land renting-in has a significant positive effect on SICLU, which is still valid after a series of robustness tests. The average years of education and the ratio of family dependency are important factors affecting SICLU. (3) The mediated effect model shows that cultivated land renting-in has a significant positive effect on the management scale and the average land size. The cultivated land management scale whose mediating effect is 0.019 shows a significant positive and complete mediating effect, and the average land size shows a significant positive and partial mediating effect, whose mediating effect accounts for 43.021% of the total effect. All the mediating effects above pass the robustness test. (4) The results of farming households heterogeneity test show that cultivated land renting-in has a significant positive effect on the SICLU of farming households in the "high family dependency ratio" and "participating in agricultural insurance" group, but has no significant effect on the SICLU of farming households in the "low family dependency ratio" group and "not participating in agricultural insurance" group. The conclusion of this study is helpful to understand the impact of cultivated land renting-in on the SICLU and its mechanism, and has guiding significance for promoting the transformation of cultivated land use.
cultivated land use / sustainable intensification / cultivated land renting-in / carbon footprint / emergy analysis / mediated effect model {{custom_keyword}} /
Table 1 Evaluation index system for tourism ecological carrying capacity of coastal counties in Jiangsu province表1 江苏省沿海县域旅游生态承载力评价指标体系[28] |
目标层 | 准则层 | 指标层 | 指标含义 | 权重 |
---|---|---|---|---|
旅游生态承载力 | 旅游生态载体 | 海岸类型(C1) | 研究区海岸类型(基岩、砂砾质、淤泥质) | 0.520 |
水域景观密度(C2) | 水域旅游资源丰富程度 | 0.211 | ||
水源养护指数(C3) | 水资源对植被、土壤等景观的养护能力 | 0.199 | ||
水土保持指数(C4) | 水土方面旅游环境的质量状况 | 0.004 | ||
植被覆盖指数(C5) | 植被资源覆盖程度 | 0.016 | ||
栖息地质量指数(C6) | 水鸟、麋鹿等动物栖息地资源质量状况 | 0.017 | ||
年降水量(C7) | 湿润程度 | 0.034 | ||
旅游载荷 | 海产品供给指数(L1) | 鱼、虾等海产品的供给质量和能力 | 0.517 | |
宾馆酒店密度(L2) | 住宿接待服务强度 | 0.077 | ||
公路密度(L3) | 交通服务强度 | 0.315 | ||
A级景区禀赋(L4) | A级景区等级和数量/个 | 0.042 | ||
旅游收入(L5) | 旅游经济压力 | 0.024 | ||
游客人次(L6) | 游客压力 | 0.026 |
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目前,国内外学者很少从评价的角度去研究农田温室气体减排技术,缺乏完整性和统一性的评价指标,不利于对农田管理技术进行科学的判断.本研究汇总了当前可作为农田减排技术评价的指标,遵循代表性、客观性、完整性、主导性和可操作性原则,对各项指标的合理性进行了分析,依据我国农业生产实际情况,确定了农田生态系统温室气体减排技术的评价指标.以单位面积粮食产量作为约束性指标,温室气体排放强度(单位产量下的温室气体排放总量)作为综合指标,并将粮食产量、土壤有机碳变化、N<sub>2</sub>O直接排放、水田CH<sub>4</sub>排放与农田投入直接和间接排放作为后者的分项指标;依据温室气体排放强度计算公式,能够科学、系统地评价农田减排技术的温室效应,可为我国农田减排技术的提出和推广提供科学依据.
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田云, 张俊飚. 中国农业生产净碳效应分异研究. 自然资源学报, 2013, 28(8): 1298-1309.
农业具有碳排与碳汇的双重效应。分析和把握不同省区的农业净碳水平,是深入研究农业生产碳排放问题的重要前提。鉴于此,研究基于农用物资投入、稻田、土壤、牲畜养殖等四方面23类主要碳源和以水稻、小麦为代表的15类主要农作物碳汇品种,测算了我国1995—2010年及31个省(市、区)2010年的农业生产碳排量、碳汇量,并在此基础上计算了各自净碳汇量。结果表明:①我国农业生产净碳汇量总体保持上升态势,由1995年的26 736.13×10<sup>4</sup> t增至2010年的37 697.19×10<sup>4</sup> t,年均递增2.32%。其中,碳排放量由1995年的24 952.39×10<sup>4</sup> t增至2010年的29 116.91×10<sup>4</sup> t,年均递增1.03%;碳汇量由1995年的51 688.51×10<sup>4</sup> t增至2010年的66 814.10×10<sup>4</sup> t,年均递增1.73%,碳汇增速明显快于碳排增速,可见我国在农业节能减排方面取得了一定成效。分阶段来看,呈现较为明显的"上升—下降—上升"的三阶段变化特征。②横向来看,区域净碳效应差异明显:农业生产净碳汇绝对量,排在前10位的地区占全国农业生产净碳汇总量的73.02%,而排在后10位的地区仅占全国的1.59%。农业生产碳汇水平,黑龙江、吉林、广西排在前三位,分别高达410.81%、400.94%和356.79%;西藏、青海、福建排在后三位,仅为25.57%、41.55%和103.80%。其中,黑龙江等12个地区农业碳汇水平高于全国同期平均水平(229.47%)。
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Agriculture has double effects of carbon emission and carbon sink. The analysis of net carbon effect of every province is important prerequisites for in-depth studying of agricultural production carbon emission. With such a view, this study calculates the amount of carbon emissions and carbon sink from 1995 to 2010 and that of 31 provinces in 2010, based on the agricultural resources inputs, paddy fields, soil and breeding livestock of 23 categories on the major carbon sources with rice and wheat as the representative of the 15 categories of major crops carbon sink species. On the basis of the above the net carbon sink is concluded. The results showed that: 1)The overall net carbon sink of agricultural production maintains an upward trend from 267.3613 million ton in 1995 to 376.9719 million ton in 2010 with an average annual increasing rate of 2.32%. Carbon emissions increased from 249.5239 million ton in 1995 to 291.1691 million ton in 2010 with an average annual increasing rate of 1.05%; and carbon sink rises from 516.8851 million ton in 1995 to 668.1410 million ton in 2010 with an average annual increasing rate of 1.73%. From the above fact the growth rate of carbon sink is significantly faster than that of carbon emission. This indicates that China has gained certain achievement in agricultural energy reduction. Additionally, it shows "up-down-up" phase-change characteristics. 2) Compared horizonally, the regional difference of net carbon effect is obvious: in the absolute amount of net carbon sink of agricultural production, the top 10 regions accounted for 73.02% of the national overall net carbon sink of agricultural production while that of the last 10 regions was only 1.59%. The level of carbon sinks on agricultural production in Heilongjiang, Jilin and Guangxi come to the top three of 410.81%, 400.94% and 356.79% respectively; Tibet, Qinghai and Fujian are the last three with only 25.57%, 41.55% and 103.80%; among which 12 regions including Jilin are higher than the national average level during the same period (229.47%).
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邹晓霞, 张晓军, 王月福, 等. 山东省小麦—夏直播花生种植体系碳足迹. 应用生态学报, 2018, 29(3): 850-856.
明确小麦-夏直播花生(W-P)种植体系的主要碳排放环节,可为采取有效措施实现该体系高产与低碳排放的协同效益提供参考.本文依据全生命周期方法,构建碳足迹模型,并核算了山东省W-P种植体系生命周期碳排放.结果表明: 山东省W-P种植体系的净收益较小麦-玉米(W-M)种植体系高71.2%~88.3%;W-P种植体系的单位面积碳排放达6977.9~8018.5 kg·hm<sup>-2</sup>,较W-M种植体系高6.2%,但单位净产值的碳排放为每元0.23~0.28 kg CO<sub>2</sub>-eq,较W-M种植体系低37.4%~44.1%.综合2种种植体系的净收益和单位净产值碳排放发现,W-P种植体系可以实现高产出与低碳排放的协同效益,符合优化供给、提质增效、农民增收的农业供给侧结构性改革目标.
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朱永昶. 土地规模化经营对农业减缓和适应气候变化的影响研究. 北京: 中国农业科学院, 2017.
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王梁, 赵杰, 陈守越. 山东省农田生态系统碳源、碳汇及其碳足迹变化分析. 中国农业大学学报, 2016, 21(7): 133-141.
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周淑梅, 武菁, 王国贞. 华北平原农田生态系统服务评价及灌溉效益分析. 中国生态农业学报, 2017, 25(9): 1360-1370.
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In this article, we attempt to distinguish between the properties of moderator and mediator variables at a number of levels. First, we seek to make theorists and researchers aware of the importance of not using the terms moderator and mediator interchangeably by carefully elaborating, both conceptually and strategically, the many ways in which moderators and mediators differ. We then go beyond this largely pedagogical function and delineate the conceptual and strategic implications of making use of such distinctions with regard to a wide range of phenomena, including control and stress, attitudes, and personality traits. We also provide a specific compendium of analytic procedures appropriate for making the most effective use of the moderator and mediator distinction, both separately and in terms of a broader causal system that includes both moderators and mediators.
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牛善栋. 农户尺度耕地可持续集约利用机理研究: 以山东省典型农户调查为例. 日照: 曲阜师范大学, 2018.
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郑沃林, 罗必良, 钟文晶. 农户气候风险认知、政策工具干预与农业保险市场扭曲. 广东财经大学学报, 2020, 35(5): 101-111.
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赵立娟, 牛庭. 耕地转入、农业保险与农户收入的实证分析. 河南农业大学学报, 2022, 56(6): 1052-1060.
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牛文浩, 申淑虹, 罗岚, 等. 地形差异视角下耕地流转对农户收入差距的影响及其分解: 以黄河流域中上游1879份农户数据为例. 自然资源学报, 2023, 38(5): 1262-1282.
基于黄河流域中上游1879份农户调研数据,从地形差异的视角,借助无条件分位数回归模型和RIF回归分解法揭示了耕地流转对农户收入差距的影响及其作用机制。结果表明:(1)耕地流转对高收入农户群体增收效应大于低收入农户群体,从而导致农户收入差距扩大,其中系数效应是造成该差距扩大的主因,在耕地转入中贡献度达90%以上,在耕地转出中贡献度达60%以上。(2)耕地转入在平原和山区对高收入农户群体增收效应均大于低收入农户群体,从而导致平原和山区农户收入差距扩大,且该现象在山区更加显著,其中系数效应也是造成该差距扩大的主因,在平原的贡献度达90%以上,在山区的贡献度达80%以上。(3)耕地转出仅对平原中等收入农户群体具有显著增收效应,从而导致平原中低收入农户群体间的收入差距扩大,其中系数效应同样也是造成该差距扩大的主因,贡献度达70%以上。因此,应针对不同收入水平农户和地形特征实施差异化的耕地流转支持政策,以促进耕地流转对农户的增收均衡,缩小农村贫富差距。
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