Farmers&rsquo; Vulnerability in Farmland Conversion:Analytical Framework and Empirical Research on Five Provinces in Central China

doi:10.11849/zrzyxb.2015.11.002

PDF(3347 KB)

JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES ›› 2015, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (11) : 1798-1810. DOI: 10.11849/zrzyxb.2015.11.002

Farmers’ Vulnerability in Farmland Conversion:Analytical Framework and Empirical Research on Five Provinces in Central China

PENG Kai-li^{1, 2, 3}, ZHANG An-lu^{1, 2}

Author information +

History +

Abstract

Farmland conversion is a commonly economic and social phenomenon in China’s rural areas. It is not only related to the overall structure and the change in land supply, but also related to the process of urbanization and industrialization, as well as farmers’ living condition. In order to reduce the risk caused by land use change and to improve farmers’ adaptive ability, scientific assessment of farmers’ vulnerability after land conversion is very necessary. This paper presents a theoretical framework for farmers’ vulnerability assessment and sets up a related index system including exposure index (EI), sensitivity index (SI) and adaptive ability index (AI). According to the quantized SI and AI, farmers’ vulnerability indexes can be calculated. Taking the five provinces—Henan, Hubei, Hunan, Jiangxi and Anhui, which are located in the central economic zone of China, as case study areas, this paper measures the vulnerability indexes of farmers who have farmland transferred in and out respectively based on a large scale survey. Then, the relationships between the vulnerability index (VI) and exposure index including area-based exposure index (EI_A) and time-based exposure index (EI_T) are analyzed sequentially. The study finds that: 1) the vulnerability indexes of farmers who have farmland transferred in are always lower than those of farmers who have farmland transferred out in the same province after farmland conversion, which indicates that compared with transferred out land, transferred in land has lower risks or farmers with farmland transferred in have stronger adaptive abilities; 2) the relationship between the vulnerability index and area-based exposure index of farmers with farmland transferred in (VI-EI_A) presents a “U” shape, while that of farmers with farmland transferred out is opposite, which presents a “inverted U” shape; 3) the relationships between the vulnerability index of farmers with farmland transferred in and out and time-based exposure index (VI-EI_A) are same, which are all positive correlated. The results show that the government should improve the agricultural income of farmers with farmland transferred in and provide surplus rural labor forces more opportunities in urban for reducing farmers’ vulnerability. Only in this way can their adaptive ability be enhanced to resist the risks caused by land use change.

Cite this article

EndNote

Ris (Procite)

Bibtex

Download Citations

PENG Kai-li, ZHANG An-lu. Farmers’ Vulnerability in Farmland Conversion:Analytical Framework and Empirical Research on Five Provinces in Central China[J]. JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2015, 30(11): 1798-1810 https://doi.org/10.11849/zrzyxb.2015.11.002

References

[1] 傅伯杰, 赵文武, 陈利顶. 地理-生态过程研究的进展与展望 [J]. 地理学报, 2006, 61(11): 1123-1131.
[2] 廖炜, 李璐, 吴宜进, 等. 丹江口库区土地利用变化与生态环境脆弱性评价 [J]. 自然资源学报, 2011, 26(11): 1879-1889.
[3] 2013年全国承包耕地流转面积达到3.4亿亩 [EB/OL]. http://finance.sina.com.cn/china/20140224/101218309132.shtml, 都市快报, 2014-02-24.
[4] 李鹤, 张平宇, 程叶青. 脆弱性的概念及其评价方法 [J]. 地理科学进展, 2008, 27(2): 18-25.
[5] 林冠慧, 张长义. 巨大灾害后的脆弱性:台湾地震后中部地区土地利用与覆盖变迁 [J]. 地球科学进展, 2006, 21(2): 201-210.
[6] De Lange H J, Sala S, Vighi M, et al . Ecological vulnerability in risk assessment—A review and perspectives [J] . Science of the Total Environment , 2009, 408: 3871-3879.
[7] Metzger M J, Rounsevell M D A, Acosta-Michlik L, et al . The vulnerability of ecosystem services to land use change [J]. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment , 2006, 114: 69-85.
[8] 王佳丽, 黄贤金, 陆汝成, 等. 区域生态系统服务对土地利用变化的脆弱性评估——以江苏省环太湖地区碳储量为例 [J]. 自然资源学报, 2010, 25(4): 556-563.
[9] Huang Y F, Li F Y, Bai X M, et al . Comparing vulnerability of coastal communities to land use change: Analytical framework and a case study in China [J]. Environmental Science & Policy , 2012(23): 133-143.
[10] 普拉提·莫合塔尔, 海米提·依米提. 土地利用变化下的生态系统服务敏感性研究——以克里雅绿洲为例 [J]. 自然资源学报, 2014, 29(11): 1849-1858.
[11] Lankao P R. Water in Mexico City: What will climate change bring to its history of water-related hazards and vulnerabilities [J]? Environmental and Urbanization , 2010, 22: 157-178.
[12] Lindner M, Maroschek M, Netherer S, et al . Climate change impacts, adaptive capacity, and vulnerability of European forest ecosystem [J]. Forest Ecology and Management , 2010, 259: 698-709.
[13] Andrade M M N D, Szlafsztein C F, Souza-Filho P W M, et al . A socioeconomic and natural vulnerability index for oil spills in an Amazonian harbor: A case study using GIS and remote sensing [J] . Journal of Environmental Management , 2010, 91: 1972-1980.
[14] Hahn M, Riederer A, Foster S O. The livelihood vulnerability index: A pragmatic approach to assessing risks from climate variability and change—A case study in Mozambique [J] . Global Environmental Change , 2009(19): 74-88.
[15] 陈传波. 农户风险与脆弱性: 一个分析框架及贫困地区的经验 [J]. 农业经济问题, 2005(8): 47-50.
[16] 李小云, 董强, 饶小龙, 等. 农户脆弱性分析方法及其本土化应用 [J]. 中国农村经济, 2007(4): 32-39.
[17] 韩峥. 广西西部十县农村脆弱性分析及对策建议 [J]. 农业经济, 2002(5): 38-39.
[18] 厉以宁. 城乡收入差距没有缩小有扩大趋势 [EB/OL]. http://finance.china.com.cn/special/lianghui2012/20120304/569742.shtml, 2012-03-04.
[19] 彭开丽, 朱海莲. 农地城市流转对不同年龄阶段失地农民的福利影响研究 [J]. 中国土地科学, 2015, 29(1): 97-105.
[20] Kates R W, Clark W C, Corell R. Environment and development: Sustainability science [J]. Science , 2001, 292: 641-642.
[21] IHDP. IHDP update, Update issue 3/01 focus: Vulnerability [EB/OL]. http://www.ihdp.org, 2001.
[22] IPCC. Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability [M]. Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernment Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2001.
[23] Eriksen S, Adger W N, Brooks N, et al . New indicators of vulnerability and adaptive capacity [R]. Technical Report 7, Tyndall Centre Technical Report, 2004.
[24] Liu C L, Golding D, Gong G. Farmers’ coping response to the low flows in the lower Yellow River: A case study of temporal dimensions of vulnerability [J]. Global Environmental Change , 2008, 18: 543-553.
[25] Dercon S. Assessing Vulnerability to Poverty [M]. Jesus College and Center for the Study of Afican Economies, Department of Economics, Oxford University, 2001.
[26] 刘纪远, 刘明亮, 庄大方, 等. 20世纪90年代中国土地利用变化时空特征及其成因分析 [J]. 地理研究, 2003, 22(1): 1-12.
[27] 赵锐锋, 姜朋辉, 陈亚宁, 等. 塔里木河干流区土地利用/覆被变化及其生态环境效应 [J]. 地理科学, 2012, 32(2): 244-250.
[28] 钱忠好. 农地承包经营权市场流转: 理论与实证分析——基于农户层面的经济分析 [J]. 经济研究, 2003(2): 83-94.
[29] 高强, 孔祥智. 我国农业社会化服务体系演进轨迹与政策匹配: 1978~2013年 [J]. 改革, 2013(4): 5-18.
[30] 宋淑丽, 齐伟娜. 基于多元线性回归的农村剩余劳动力转移研究——以黑龙江省为例 [J]. 农业技术经济, 2014(4): 104-110.
[31] 李振京, 张林山. 我国户籍制度改革的主要问题与总体思路 [J]. 宏观经济管理, 2014(3): 23-26.
[32] 国家统计局. 中国城镇化率为53.7% [EB/OL]. http://www.bj.xinhuanet.com/bjyw/2014-01/21/c_119056314.htm, 2014-01-21.
[33] 吕振宇, 牛灵安, 郝晋珉, 等. 基于层次分析法的耕地细碎化程度多指标综合评价研究 [J]. 中国农学通报, 2014, 30(26): 200-206.
[34] 杨钢桥, 胡柳, 汪文雄. 农户耕地经营适度规模及其绩效研究——基于湖北6县市农户调查的实证分析 [J]. 资源科学, 2011, 33(3): 505-512.
[35] 马晓河, 崔红志. 建立土地流转制度, 促进区域农业生产规模化经营 [J]. 管理世界, 2002(11): 63-77.
[36] 黄祖辉, 王朋. 农村土地流转: 现状、问题及对策——兼论土地流转对现代农业发展的影响 [J]. 浙江大学学报: 人文社会科学版, 2008, 38(2): 38-47.
[37] 叶剑平, 蒋妍, 丰雷. 中国农村土地流转市场的调查研究——基于2005年17省调查的分析和建议 [J]. 中国农村观察, 2006(4): 48-55.
[38] Nicholls. Coastal flooding and wetland loss in the 21st century: Changes under the SRES climate and socioeconomic scenarios [J] . Global Environmental Change , 2004(14): 69-86.