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2025 , Vol. 40 >Issue 8: 2065 - 2091

DOI: https://doi.org/10.31497/zrzyxb.20250805

其他研究论文

新质生产力与国土空间生态修复规模时空演进及门槛效应研究

  • 张中秋 , 1, 2 ,
  • 张裕凤 , 2 ,
  • 韦俊敏 3 ,
  • 张翔 2
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  • 1.北部湾大学资源与环境学院，钦州 535011
  • 2.内蒙古师范大学地理科学学院，呼和浩特 010022
  • 3.广西壮族自治区国土测绘院，南宁 530100
张裕凤（1964- ），女，山东烟台人，教授，博士生导师，研究方向为经济地理学。E-mail:

张中秋（1989- ），男，内蒙古赤峰人，博士研究生，教授，研究方向为土地利用与国土综合整治。E-mail:

收稿日期: 2024-07-08

  修回日期: 2025-01-16

  网络出版日期: 2025-08-05

基金资助

国家自然科学基金项目(42301306)

国家社会科学基金项目(21XGL015)

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Spatiotemporal evolution and threshold effect of new quality productive forces and territorial space ecological restoration scale

  • ZHANG Zhong-qiu , 1, 2 ,
  • ZHANG Yu-feng , 2 ,
  • WEI Jun-min 3 ,
  • ZHANG Xiang 2
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  • 1. College of Resources and Environment, Beibu Gulf University, Qinzhou 535011, Guangxi, China
  • 2. College of Geographical Sciences, Inner Mongolia Normal University, Hohhot 010022, China
  • 3. Guangxi Institute of Land Resources Surveying & Mapping, Nanning 530100, China

Received date: 2024-07-08

  Revised date: 2025-01-16

  Online published: 2025-08-05

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摘要

探究新质生产力与国土空间生态修复规模之间的影响关系对实现人与自然和谐共生的现代化意义重大。借助2005—2022年省级面板数据，运用时空地理加权回归、固定效应、调节效应和门槛模型，测定二者之间的时空演进及非线性相关关系。结果表明：（1）中国新质生产力与国土空间生态修复规模的重心均向东南方向移动。（2）新质生产力能显著正向促进国土空间生态修复的实施规模，作用效果具有滞后性。（3）土地绿色利用效率在新质生产力促进国土空间生态修复规模的作用中具有调节功效。（4）新质生产力对国土空间生态修复规模的影响存在以土地绿色利用效率为门槛的非线性特征，具有双门槛效应。研究结果对国土空间生态修复的新质化转型具有一定的借鉴意义。

关键词： 国土空间生态修复; 新质生产力; 时空演进; 门槛效应; 新质化转型

本文引用格式

张中秋 , 张裕凤 , 韦俊敏 , 张翔 . 新质生产力与国土空间生态修复规模时空演进及门槛效应研究[J]. 自然资源学报, 2025 , 40(8) : 2065 -2091 . DOI: 10.31497/zrzyxb.20250805

Abstract

In China, the utilisation of new quality productive forces (NQPF) and ecological restoration have become key priorities for economic and social development. Under the high-quality development context of new quality production and ecological priority, it is of great significance to explore the spatiotemporal evolution of China's NQPF and territorial space ecological restoration scale (TSERS), and to clarify the influence of NQPF on TSERS, so as to facilitate the modernized framework of harmonious coexistence between humanity and nature. Using the provincial panel data from 2005 to 2022, fixed effects, moderating effects and threshold models were used to determine the nonlinear correlation among them. Additionally, geographically and temporally weighted regression models were applied to analyze the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of factors. The results show that: (1) The centroid of China's NQPF and TSERS has shifted towards the southeast, exhibiting similar trajectories. (2) The NQPF has a significant positive promotion effect on TSERS with time-lagged impacts. (3) Land green use efficiency (LGUE) played a negative regulatory role in the impact of NQPF on the expansion of TSERS. (4) There was a double threshold for the influence of NQPF on TSERS with LGUE as the threshold variable. The influence of NQPF on the expansion of TSERS gradually decreases after crossing the threshold value. From the perspective of NQPF, protecting, restoring and improving the ecological environment can generate direct ecological productive forces, and also generate potential ecological productive forces. NQPF will certainly promote the large-scale implementation of China's territorial space ecological restoration and stimulate the development of potential ecological productive forces in this nation. The study shows that China's NQPF has a positive promotion effect on the territorial space ecological restoration, and the development of new qualitative productivity is conducive to the promotion of new qualitative transformations in territorial space ecological restoration.

Key words： territorial space ecological restoration; new quality productive forces; spatiotemporal evolution; threshold effect; new quality transformation

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