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2025 , Vol. 40 >Issue 7: 1880 - 1899

DOI: https://doi.org/10.31497/zrzyxb.20250709

其他研究论文

城市群规划对土地资源承载力的影响及溢出效应——来自长江经济带的证据

  • 余亮亮 , 1 ,
  • 廖东明 1 ,
  • 陈丹玲 2 ,
  • 蔡银莺 2
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  • 1.华南理工大学公共管理学院，广州 510641
  • 2.华中农业大学公共管理学院，武汉 430070

余亮亮（1989- ），男，河南汝南人，博士，副教授，研究方向为土地科学和自然资源管理。E-mail:

收稿日期: 2024-10-28

  修回日期: 2025-04-16

  网络出版日期: 2025-06-20

基金资助

国家自然科学基金项目(42301290)

国家自然科学基金项目(72374080)

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The impact and spillover effect of urban agglomeration planning on the carrying capacity of land resources: Evidence from the Yangtze River Economic Belt

  • YU Liang-liang , 1 ,
  • LIAO Dong-ming 1 ,
  • CHEN Dan-ling 2 ,
  • CAI Yin-ying 2
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  • 1. School of Public Administration, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510641, China
  • 2. College of Public Administration, Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan 430070, China

Received date: 2024-10-28

  Revised date: 2025-04-16

  Online published: 2025-06-20

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摘要

为提升区域集聚和承载功能，中华人民共和国国务院和各省级政府相继批复了多个城市群规划，然而，城市群规划能否提高土地资源承载力还有待实证检验。基于2005—2022年长江经济带五大城市群规划内外117个城市的面板数据，采用多期双重差分模型和中介效应模型实证分析了城市群规划对土地资源承载力的影响、作用机制以及空间溢出效应。研究发现：（1）城市群规划总体上能有效提升城市群内城市的土地资源承载力，但对土地资源承载力的各个子系统具有不同的影响，具体来看，城市群规划能显著提高城市群内城市的土地经济承载力，但对土地生态承载力则有显著的负向影响；（2）城市群规划通过提升城市创新力、地方政府竞争力和公共服务供给能力来提高城市群内城市的土地资源承载力；（3）城市群规划对邻近城市的土地资源承载力具有显著的正向溢出效应，但这种积极的涓滴效应主要集中在发育程度较为成熟的城市群。在高质量发展背景下，研究结果可为完善城市群规划政策和提升土地资源承载力提供理论支撑和经验证据。

关键词： 土地资源承载力; 城市群规划; 空间溢出效应; 多期双重差分模型; 长江经济带

本文引用格式

余亮亮 , 廖东明 , 陈丹玲 , 蔡银莺 . 城市群规划对土地资源承载力的影响及溢出效应——来自长江经济带的证据[J]. 自然资源学报, 2025 , 40(7) : 1880 -1899 . DOI: 10.31497/zrzyxb.20250709

Abstract

To enhance regional agglomeration and carrying capacity, the State Council and provincial governments have successively approved several urban agglomeration plans. However, the impact of urban agglomeration planning on land resource carrying capacity needs to be tested. Therefore, based on panel data from 117 cities both within and outside the planning scope of the five major urban agglomerations in the Yangtze River Economic Belt during the period of 2005-2022, this paper employs multi-period difference-in-differences model and mediation effect model to empirically explore the effect and mechanism of urban agglomeration planning on land resource carrying capacity, and analyzes spatial spillover effect through the spatial Durbin model. The main findings are as follows: (1) Urban agglomeration planning can effectively enhance the land resource carrying capacity, but it has different impacts on its subsystems. The results indicate that urban agglomeration planning significantly enhances the land economic carrying capacity, but it has a significant negative effect on the land ecological carrying capacity. (2) Urban agglomeration planning will enhance the land resource carrying capacity of cities within the urban agglomeration by enhancing urban innovativeness, government competitiveness, and public service supply capacity. (3) Urban agglomeration planning has a significant positive spillover effect on the land resource carrying capacity of neighboring cities, but this effect is spatially confined to the urban agglomerations, which are more mature in terms of development. These findings provide theoretical support and empirical evidence for improving urban agglomeration planning policies and enhancing land resource carrying capacity within the context of high-quality development.

Key words： land resource carrying capacity; urban agglomeration planning; spatial spillover effect; multi-period difference-in-differences model; Yangtze River Economic Belt

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