JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES ›› 2018, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (5): 879-892.doi: 10.11849/zrzyxb.20170474

• Resource Evaluation • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Analysis on the Spatial and Temporal Evolution of Indirect Carbon Emissions and Its Driving Mechanism in China

CUI Pan-pan, ZHANG Yan-ping, ZHANG Li-jun, SUN Ying-ying, ZHENG Zhi-cheng, WANG Wei, XU Xiao-xia   

  1. College of Environment and Planning, Henan University, Kaifeng 475004, China
  • Received:2017-05-16 Revised:2017-09-29 Online:2018-05-20 Published:2018-05-20
  • Supported by:
    National Science Foundation of China, No. 41501588 and 41671536; China Postdoctoral Science Foundation, No. 2016M600575; Henan Provincial Philosophy and Social Science Foundation, No. 2014CJJ065; Key Scientific Research Project of Henan Higher Education, No. 17A170006.

Abstract: The study of indirect carbon emissions is one of the important foundations for exploring the low-carbon lifestyle and promoting the development of ecological civilization. This paper counted the indirect carbon emissions of the urban residents of 30 provinces (except Hong Kong, Macao, Taiwan and Tibet) based on the input-output analysis and the consumption data of urban residents from 2002 to 2012. Based on the analysis of temporal and spatial evolution characteristics of indirect carbon emissions of urban residents, the paper used the LMDI-I addition form, which belongs to the LMDI method, to quantitatively analyze the driving mechanisms of indirect carbon emissions and its spatial and temporal evolution. The research results showed that the indirect carbon emissions in all provinces showed increasing trends except in Jilin Province. The spatial pattern changes went through the initial phase, the initial differentiation phase, and the rapid evolution phase, and the spatial differentiation degree first declined and then rose. The consumption level is a main factor for indirect carbon emissions’ increasing, and the high value areas mainly gathered in the northern coastal area. The size of the population has a two-way effect on the indirect carbon emissions, and the area of higher positive effect gradually becomes the eastern region which is the same as the area divided by the Hu Huanyong Population Line. The most important factor that caused the reduction of carbon emissions in most provinces is the indirect carbon emission intensity effect with little spatial difference. The changes of residents’ lifestyle contributed little to the indirect carbon emissions, but its spatial evolution characteristics are complicated. According to the differences of four driving mechanisms, the provinces can be divided into vital emission reduction zones, key emission reduction zones and emission reduction concern area. In general, there are differences in the indirect carbon emission characteristics and the driving mechanisms among provinces, and the focus in the future for indirect emission reduction should be different.

Key words: China, indirect carbon emissions, input-output method, LMDI-Ⅰ method, residents' lifestyle

CLC Number: 

  • X502