JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES ›› 2017, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (4): 606-619.doi: 10.11849/zrzyxb.20160432

• Resource Evaluation • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Gravity Center Evolution Paths and Growth Factor Decomposition of Residential Natural Gas Consumption in China

LI Lan-lan, XU Ting-ting, LI Fang-yi, JIAO Jian-ling   

  1. School of Management, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei 230029, China
  • Received:2016-04-26 Revised:2016-08-16 Online:2017-04-20 Published:2017-04-20
  • Supported by:

    National Natural Science Foundation of China, No.71271074 and 71503065; Social Science Foundation of Ministry of Education, No.14YJC630061; the Central University Basic Scientific Research Business Expenses Special Fund of China, No.JZ2014HGBZ0027

Abstract:

Based on the research and analysis about the characteristics of the evolution path of China’s residential natural gas consumption during 2000-2014, we calculated the contribution rate of China’s eight regions to the evolution of the gravity center with Shapley value. Then, using the method of LMDI decomposition, the growth of China’s residential natural gas consumption was decomposed into three influencing factors, which were infrastructure, service efficiency and demand, and the reasons and rules of regional contribution to the gravity center evolution were discussed. The results show that: the migration of the gravity center has undergone three stages: to northwest, to southeast and to northeast during 2000-2014. The main forces of gravity center migration of residential natural gas consumption were the northwest, the southwest and the northeast during 2000-2003, the east coast and the southern coast during 2003-2008, the east coast, the northern coast and the middle reach of Yangtze River during 2008-2014. During 2000-2014, infrastructure factor was always the main driving force of the growth of residential natural gas consumption in China and in each region, while service efficiency and demand factor will gradually become the main driving forces in most regions in the future.

Key words: gravity center of natural gas consumption, LMDI, resident, Shapley value

CLC Number: 

  • F426.22