JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES ›› 2021, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (1): 256-269.doi: 10.31497/zrzyxb.20210117
• Resources Distribution and Efficiency • Previous Articles Next Articles
NING Yi-nan1,2(), YANG Xiao-nan3, SUN Wen-yi1,4(
), MU Xing-min1,4, GAO Peng1,4, ZHAO Guang-ju1,4, SONG Xiao-yan5
Received:
2019-11-06
Revised:
2020-06-19
Online:
2021-01-28
Published:
2021-03-28
Contact:
SUN Wen-yi
E-mail:ningyinan18@mails.ucas.ac.cn;sunwy@ms.iswc.ac.cn
NING Yi-nan, YANG Xiao-nan, SUN Wen-yi, MU Xing-min, GAO Peng, ZHAO Guang-ju, SONG Xiao-yan. The trend of runoff change and its attribution in the middle reaches of the Yellow River[J].JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2021, 36(1): 256-269.
Add to citation manager EndNote|Reference Manager|ProCite|BibTeX|RefWorks
Table 1
Accumulated areas of soil and water conservation measures in Hekou-Longmen section in different years (万hm2)"
年份 | 梯田 | 林地 | 草地 | 坝地 |
---|---|---|---|---|
1959 | 3.31 | 15.13 | 3.57 | 0.28 |
1969 | 11.58 | 34.23 | 3.83 | 1.54 |
1979 | 23.05 | 88.18 | 10.45 | 3.95 |
1989 | 34.48 | 198.62 | 21.15 | 5.63 |
1996 | 48.60 | 253.73 | 24.08 | 6.82 |
2006 | 49.26 | 277.11 | 59.05 | 7.11 |
Table 3
Information of hydrology and meteorology"
数据名称 | 数据来源 | 数据说明 |
---|---|---|
降水数据 | 全国气象数据共享网(http://data.cma.gov.cn) 中国地面日值数据集 | 区域气象站点1960—2015年日观测数据 |
水文数据 | 流域水文站实测径流量水文部门水文年鉴 黄河水利委员会(YRCC)水文数据库 | 主要控制水文站点1960—2015年径流数据 |
归一化植被指数 (NDVI) | Land Term Data Record(LTDR) | 1981—1999年,分辨率5 km×5 km |
MODIS MOD16A2 | 2000—2015年,分辨率500 m×5 km | |
潜在蒸散量(ET0) | Numerical Terradynamic Simulation Group (http://www.ntsg.umt.edu) | 1983—1999年,分辨率8 km×8 km |
2000—2015年,分辨率1 km×1 km |
Table 5
Percentage changes in hydrologic and meteorological variables in each basin (%)"
流域 | 降水量变化 | 径流深变化 | 潜在蒸散变化 | 下垫面特征参数变化 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
P1~P2时期 | P1~P3时期 | P1~P2时期 | P1~P3时期 | P1~P2时期 | P1~P3时期 | P1~P2时期 | P1~P3时期 | ||||
皇甫川 | -8.4 | -5.9 | -37.6 | -80.9 | -7.0 | -4.5 | 17.6 | 92.3 | |||
窟野河 | -6.9 | -2.5 | -33.6 | -72.6 | -3.2 | -1.2 | 14.7 | 69.0 | |||
无定河 | -12.4 | -2.2 | -27.9 | -41.9 | -0.9 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 18.0 | |||
延河 | -2.7 | 2.5 | -8.9 | -33.1 | 1.1 | 5.3 | 0.9 | 13.2 |
Table 6
Elasticity coefficients for each variable"
流域 | εp | εET0 | εω | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
P1时期 | P2时期 | P3时期 | P1时期 | P2时期 | P3时期 | P1时期 | P2时期 | P3时期 | |||
皇甫川 | 2.23 | 2.52 | 3.68 | -1.23 | -1.52 | -2.68 | -2.32 | -2.73 | -4.07 | ||
窟野河 | 1.87 | 2.07 | 2.73 | -0.87 | -1.07 | -1.73 | -1.88 | -2.20 | -2.97 | ||
无定河 | 2.32 | 2.40 | 2.65 | -1.32 | -1.40 | -1.65 | -2.36 | -2.63 | -2.83 | ||
延河 | 2.85 | 2.87 | 3.20 | -1.85 | -1.87 | -2.20 | -2.46 | -2.54 | -2.85 |
Table 7
Changes in forest and grassland area in each basin"
流域 | 时期 | 森林面积/km2 | 草地面积/km2 | 植被覆盖度/% | Δveg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
皇甫川 | P2 | 151.0 | 2477.3 | 24.5 | 13.32 |
P3 | 194.5 | 2437.2 | 42.1 | 34.62 | |
窟野河 | P2 | 441.6 | 6339.0 | 26.3 | 12.10 |
P3 | 1054.7 | 5679.8 | 43.8 | 33.17 | |
无定河 | P2 | 925.5 | 15728.1 | 25.1 | 18.86 |
P3 | 1136.1 | 16210.0 | 42.1 | 33.05 | |
延河 | P2 | 1403.9 | 3961.0 | 43.2 | 6.56 |
P3 | 1549.5 | 4694.1 | 64.8 | 40.04 |
[1] | 胡春宏. 黄河水沙变化与治理方略研究. 水力发电学报, 2016,35(10):1-11. |
[ HU C H. Study on the change of sand and management of the Yellow River. Journal of Hydropower, 2016,35(10):1-11.] | |
[2] | WANG H J, YANG Z S, SAITO Y, et al. Stepwise decreases of the Huanghe (Yellow River) sediment load (1950-2005): Impacts of climate change and human activities. Global and Planetary Change, 2007,57:331-354. |
[3] | BATES B C, KUNDZEWICZ Z W, WU S. Climate Changed Water. Technical Paper of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change IPCC Secretariat, Geneva, 2008: 210. |
[4] |
PIAO S L, LIU C Z, TAN K, et al. The impacts of climate change on water resources and agriculture in China. Nature, 2010,467:43-51.
doi: 10.1038/nature09364 pmid: 20811450 |
[5] | 刘剑宇, 张强, 陈喜, 等. 气候变化和人类活动对中国地表水文过程影响定量研究. 地理学报, 2016,71(11):1875-1885. |
[ LIU J Y, ZHANG Q, CHEN X, et al. Quantitative evaluations of human-and climate-induced impacts on hydrological processes of China. Geography Journal, 2016,71(11):1875-1885.] | |
[6] | 张丽梅, 赵广举, 穆兴民, 等. 基于Budyko假设的渭河径流变化归因识别. 生态学报, 2018,38(21):7607-7617. |
[ ZHANG L M, ZHAO G J, MU X M, et al. Attribution of runoff variation in the Wei River Basin based on the Budyko hypothesis. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2018,38(21):7607-7617.] | |
[7] | 白琪阶, 宋志松, 王红瑞, 等. 基于SWAT模型定量分析自然因素与人为因素对水文系统的影响: 以漳卫南运河流域为例. 自然资源学报, 2018,33(9):1575-1587. |
[ BAI Q J, SONG Z S, WANG H R, et al. Quantitative analysis of the impact of natural factors and human factors on hydrological system using the SWAT model: The Zhangweinan Canal Basin case. Journal of Natural Resources, 2018,33(9):1575-1587.] | |
[8] | CHANG J X, WANG Y M, ISTANBULLUOGLU E, et al. Impact of climate change and human activities on runoff in the Weihe River Basin, China. Quaternary International, 2015,380(1):169-179. |
[9] | 张淑兰. 土地利用和气候变化对流域水文过程影响的定量评价. 北京: 中国林业科学研究院, 2011. |
[ ZHANG S L. Quantitative evaluation of the impact of land use and climate change on the hydrological process of river basin. Beijing: Chinese Academy of Forestry Sciences, 2011.] | |
[10] | 林娴, 陈晓宏, 何艳虎, 等. 气候变化和人类活动对武江流域年径流及最大日流量影响的定量分析. 自然资源学报, 2018,33(5):828-839. |
[ LIN X, CHEN X H, HE Y H, et al. Quantitative analysis of the influence of climate change and human activities on annual runoff and maximum daily flow in Wujiang River Basin. Journal of Natural Resources, 2018,33(5):828-839.] | |
[11] | ZHAO G J, TIAN P, MU X M, et al. Quantifying the impact of climate variability and human activities on streamflow in the middle reaches of the Yellow River Basin, China. Journal of Hydrology, 2014,519:387-398. |
[12] | LIANG W, BAI D, WANG F Y, et al. Quantifying the impacts of climate change and ecological restoration on streamflow changes based on a Budyko hydrological model in China's Loess Plateau. Water Resources Research, 2015,51:6500-6519. |
[13] | 杨大文, 张树磊, 徐翔宇. 基于水热耦合平衡方程的黄河流域径流变化归因分析. 中国科学: 技术科学, 2015,45(10) : 1024-1034. |
[ YANG D W, ZHANG S L, XU X Y. Attribution analysis of runoff change in the Yellow River Basin based on the water-heat coupling balance equation. Technical Science of Science in China, 2015,45(10):1024-1034.] | |
[14] | 冉大川, 吴永红, 李雪梅, 等. 河龙区间近期人类活动减水减沙贡献率分析. 人民黄河, 2012,34(2):84-86. |
[ RAN D C, WU Y H, LI X M, et al. Analysis on the contribution rate of recent human activities water reduction and sediment reduction in Helong section. Yellow River, 2012,34(2):84-86.] | |
[15] | 张建梅, 马燮铫, 李艳忠. 1980—2016年黄河中游河龙区间植被动态及其对径流的影响. 南水北调与水利科技, 2020,18(3):91-109. |
[ ZHANG J M, MA X D, LI Y Z. Vegetation dynamics and its impact on runoff in the middle reaches of the Yellow River from 1980 to 2016. South-to-North Water Transfer and Water Science & Technology, 2020,18(3):91-109.] | |
[16] | 李艳忠, 刘昌明, 刘小莽, 等. 植被恢复工程对黄河中游土地利用/覆被变化的影响. 自然资源学报, 2016,31(12):2005-2020. |
[ LI Y Z, LIU C M, LIU X M, et al. Impact of the grain for green project on the land use/cover change in the Middle Yellow River. Journal of Natural Resources, 2016,31(12):2005-2020.] | |
[17] | 吴珍妮. 黄土区基流分割适宜性方法及基流特征分析. 杨凌: 西北农林科技大学, 2019. |
[ WU Z N. Suitability method and base flow characteristics analysis of base flow segmentation in Loess Area. Yangling: Northwest A&F University, 2019.] | |
[18] | 王国庆, 张建云, 李岩, 等. 窟野河流域径流演变及其驱动因素分析. 水资源与水工程学报, 2014,25(2):7-11, 16. |
[ WANG G Q, ZHANG J Y, LI Y, et al. Analysis of runoff evolution and its driving factors in the Kuye River Basin. Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering, 2014,25(2):7-11, 16.] | |
[19] | 赵娟, 穆兴民, 高鹏, 等. 基于VAR模型分析径流对降水和水土保持措施的响应. 泥沙研究, 2017,42(4):37-44. |
[ ZHAO J, MU X M, GAO P, et al. Analysis of runoff response to precipitation and soil and water conservation measures based on VAR model. Sediment Research, 2017,42(4):37-44.] | |
[20] | 宋小燕, 穆兴民, 高鹏, 等. 松花江哈尔滨站近100年来径流量变化趋势. 自然资源学报, 2009,24(10):1803-1809. |
[ SONG X Y, MU X M, GAO P, et al. Trends of runoff variation from 1900 to 2005 at Harbin station of Songhua River. Journal of Natural Resources, 2009,24(10):1803-1809.] | |
[21] | 穆兴民, 张秀勤, 高鹏, 等. 双累积曲线方法理论及在水文气象领域应用中应注意的问题. 水文, 2010,30(4):47-51. |
[ MU X M, ZHANG X Q, GAO P, et al. The theory of double cumulative curve method and the problems that should be paid attention to in the application of hydrometeorology. Hydrology, 2010,30(4):47-51.] | |
[22] | 刘晓燕, 刘昌明, 杨胜天, 等. 基于遥感的黄土高原林草植被变化对河川径流的影响分析. 地理学报, 2014,69(11):1595-1603. |
[ LIU X Y, LIU C M, YANG S T, et al. Analysis of the effect of vegetation change on river runoff in Loess Plateau based on remote sensing. Geography Journal, 2014,69(11):1595-1603.] | |
[23] | WANG, S, FU B J, PIAO S L, et al. Reduced sediment transport in the Yellow River due to anthropogenic change. Nature Geoscience, 2015,9:38-41. |
[24] | 田磊. 变化环境下黄土高原水文气候要素数值模拟及未来预测. 杨凌: 西北农林科技大学, 2019. |
[ TIAN L. Numerical simulation and future prediction of hydrological and climatic factors in the Loess Plateau under changing environment. Yangling: Northwest A&F University, 2019.] | |
[25] | 杨晓楠. 黄土高原多尺度景观格局对径流及输沙过程的影响. 杨凌: 西北农林科技大学, 2019. |
[ YANG X N. Effects of landscape pattern on runoff and sediment in the Loess Plateau: A multi-scale study. Yangling: Northwest A&F University, 2019.] | |
[26] | 吴普特, 赵西宁, 张宝庆, 等. 黄土高原雨水资源化潜力及其对生态恢复的支撑作用. 水力发电学报, 2017,36(8):1-11. |
[ WU P T, ZHAO X N, ZHANG B Q, et al. Rainwater resources potential in the loess plateau and its supporting role in ecological restoration. Journal of Hydroelectric Engineering, 2017,36(8):1-11.] | |
[27] | SAFT M, WESTERN A, ZHANG L, et al. The influence of multiyear drought on the annual rainfall-runoff relationship: An Australian perspective. Water Resources Research, 2015,51(4):2444-2463. |
[28] | 郭爱军. 考虑不确定性的流域水文过程及水库调度研究. 西安: 西安理工大学, 2018. |
[ GUO A J. Study on watershed hydrological process and reservoir dispatching considering uncertainty. Xi'an: Xi'an University of Technology, 2018.] |
[1] | DENG Jin-ling, YIN Hai-wei, QIU Shi, ZHU Jie, CHEN Jia-yu, FEI Fan, KONG Fan-hua. Water environmental response under varying implication of stormwater management measures: Based on cases in China [J]. JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2021, 36(3): 771-782. |
[2] | LI Yan-hong, ZHANG Li-juan, ZHU Wen-bo, ZHANG Jing-jing, XU Shuai-bo, ZHU Lian-qi. Changes of Taxus chinensis var. mairei habitat distribution under global climate change [J]. JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2021, 36(3): 783-792. |
[3] | PANG Yan-mei, CHEN Chao, GUO Xiao-yi, XU Fu-xian. Analysis of annual climate types and potential yield for single cropping rice in Southwest China during 1961-2015 [J]. JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2021, 36(2): 476-489. |
[4] | LI Dong-sheng, ZHANG Ren-yong, CUI Bu-li, ZHAO Yun-duo, WANG Ying, JIANG Bao-fu. Response of lake dynamics to climate change in the Hala Lake Basin of Tibetan Plateau from 1986 to 2015 [J]. JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2021, 36(2): 501-512. |
[5] | WU Li-yu, ZHANG Xuan, LI Chong, HAO Fang-hua. Impacts of climate change and human activities on runoff variations in Yixun River Basin [J]. JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2020, 35(7): 1744-1756. |
[6] | REN Zheng-chao, ZHU Hua-zhong, SHI Hua, LIU Xiao-ni. Spatio-temporal distribution pattern of potential natural vegetation and its response to climate change from Last Interglacial to future 2070s in China [J]. JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2020, 35(6): 1484-1498. |
[7] | FANG Zi-hang, HE Chun-yang, LIU Zhi-feng, ZHAO Yuan-yuan, YANG Yan-jie. Climate change and future trends in the Agro-Pastoral Transitional Zone in Northern China: The comprehensive analysis with the historical observation and the model simulation [J]. JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2020, 35(2): 358-370. |
[8] | MA Wei-dong, LIU Feng-gui, ZHOU Qiang, CHEN Qiong, LIU Fei, CHEN Yong-ping. Characteristics of extreme precipitation over the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from 1961 to 2017 [J]. JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2020, 35(12): 3039-3050. |
[9] | HUANG Rong, ZHANG Jian-mei, LIN Yi-xue, BU Tian-hui, WANG Xin, XUE Zi-yue, LI Yan-zhong, MA Xie-yao, YU Zhi-guo, BAI Peng. Variation of streamflow and its drivers in Xin'an River Basin [J]. JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2019, 34(8): 1771-1781. |
[10] | LI Lin, LI Xiao-dong, XIAO Rui-xiang, SHEN Hong-yan. The heterogeneity of climate change and its genesis in the Northeastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau [J]. JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2019, 34(7): 1496-1505. |
[11] | LI Long, YAO Xiao-jun, LIU Shi-yin, BU Ya-ping, GONG Peng, LI Xiao-feng. Glacier changes along the Silk Road Economic Belt in China in the past 50 years: Based on the revised First and Second Chinese Glacier Inventory [J]. JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2019, 34(7): 1506-1520. |
[12] | Rong-jie LU, Ying WANG, Jia-sen WU, Pei-kun JIANG. Effect of management intensity on runoff losses of nitrogen and phosphorus in bamboo forests in Zhejiang province [J]. JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2019, 34(6): 1296-1305. |
[13] | Jun CHEN, Yong-feng WANG, Jia-jia ZHENG, Li-guo CAO. The changes in the water volume of Ayakekumu Lake based on satellite remote sensing data [J]. JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2019, 34(6): 1331-1344. |
[14] | Sai-nan WANG, Jian-hong LI, Jun-bing PU, Wei-jie HUO, Tao ZHANG, Si-yu HUANG, Dao-xian YUAN. Impacts of climate change and human activities on the interannual flow changes in a typical karst subterranean river, South China [J]. JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2019, 34(4): 759-770. |
[15] | Yan-qiang WANG, Jun ZHAO, Zhong-qin LI, Ming-jun ZHANG. Glacier changes in the Sawuer Mountain during 1977-2017 and their response to climate change [J]. JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2019, 34(4): 802-814. |
|