JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES ›› 2020, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (4): 799-813.doi: 10.31497/zrzyxb.20200405

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Spatio-temporal evolution and driving factors of land marketization in the Yellow River Basin since 2000

SONG Yang1,2, ZHU Dao-lin1,3, ZHANG Li-xin4,5, ZHANG Hui1   

  1. 1. College of Land Science and Technology, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193, China;
    2. Department of Geography, National University of Singapore, Singapore 117570, Singapore;
    3. Center for Land Policy and Law, Beijing 100193, China;
    4. College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China;
    5. Peking University-Lincoln Institute of Land Policy, Beijing 100871, China
  • Received:2019-06-13 Online:2020-04-28 Published:2020-04-28


From the perspective of transaction structure, this paper measured the degree of the marketization of primary land market in 104 cities above the prefecture level of the Yellow River Basin from 2000 to 2016, and analyzed its spatio-temporal pattern evolution by spatial statistical model such as the Global Moran's I and G*i index. Grey correlation analysis model was used to explore the main influencing factors of the spatial-temporal evolution of land marketization level in the study area. The results of this study showed that, from 2000 to 2016, the land marketization level of the Yellow River Basin continued to rise at first and then decreased constantly, presenting a pattern "high level in the east, but low level in the west", which showed significant periodic differences. The land marketization of the whole Yellow River Basin had significant spatial autocorrelation. After accelerated expansion, the hotspots area of land marketization centered on downstream major cities shrank slowly. Several factors, such as the level of economic development, upgrading of industrial structure, investment in fixed assets, government revenue and expenditure ratio, foreign direct investment, and location conditions, influenced the evolution of the spatial-temporal pattern of the land marketization level in the river basin. However, due to the impact of social and economic development of China, the influence degree of various factors significantly changed in different years.

Key words: land marketization, Yellow River Basin, spatio-temporal evolution, driving factor