JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES ›› 2017, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (10): 1744-1754.doi: 10.11849/zrzyxb.20160912

• Resource Evaluation • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Spatial Spillover Effects and Influencing Factors of Forest Carbon Sink in China—Spatial Econometric Analysis Based on Forest Resources Inventory in 31 Provinces of the Mainland of China

XUE Long-fei1, 2, LUO Xiao-feng1, 2, LI Zhao-liang3, WU Xian-rong3   

  1. 1. College of Economics & Management, Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan 430070, China;
    2. Hubei Rural Development Research Center, Wuhan 430070, China;
    3. School of Law and Business,Wuhan Institute of Technology, Wuhan 430205, China
  • Received:2016-08-23 Revised:2016-11-17 Online:2017-10-20 Published:2017-10-20
  • Supported by:
    National Social Science Foundation of China, No.15AZD071

Abstract: Estimating the forest carbon sinks and exploring the spatial characteristics of the carbon sinks are important basis for making differential policy of carbon sink. According to forest resources inventory in 31 provinces (cities and districts) of the mainland of China in the years of 1988, 1993, 1998, 2003, 2008 and 2013, the amount of carbon sequestration was calculated and summarized with the method of forest stock volume expansion. The direction and the strength of the spatial correlation of the total amounts of provincial carbon sink were detected and compared, and the spatial econometric model was used to evaluate and analyze the spillover effects of the carbon sink and the factors affecting the carbon sink. The results show that the overall forest carbon sequestration in each area of the country is increasing during 1988-2013. There are regional differences in the amount of carbon sinks, that Tibet, Heilongjiang and other regions are rich in carbon sink, and Beijing and Shanghai have fast growth of carbon sink. The trend of Moran’s I index shows the inverted “S”, suggesting the spatial relevance of provincial forest carbon sequestration. The forest carbon sinks has obvious spatial spillover effect, and it is affected by forest resources logging, forest disaster and precipitation. Based on the results, this paper argues that the development of forest ecological function in China should be taken into consideration of the geographical location, and we should make differential and harmonious policy for the forest carbon sink development in different provinces.

Key words: forest carbon sinks, spatial correlation, spatial spillover

CLC Number: 

  • S718.55