JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES ›› 2014, Vol. 29 ›› Issue (1): 27-38.

• Resources Utilization and Management •

### The Research on Economic Development and Carbon Emission Effect of Shenyang

WANG Li-wen, WEI Ya-xing

1. 1. Center for Marine Economic and Sustainable Development, Liaoning Normal University, Dalian 116029, China;
2. Liaoning Key Laboratory of Physical Geography and Geomatics, Liaoning Normal University, Dalian 116029, China;
3. College of Urban and Environmental Science, Liaoning Normal University, Dalian 116029, China
• Received:2012-09-20 Revised:2013-05-20 Online:2014-01-20 Published:2014-01-09

Abstract: The status of urban carbon emissions should be correctly understood, and the effective measures for decreasing carbon emissions are further researched to ensure fast urban economic development. They play an important role to promote the sustainable development of urban economy, constitute various environmental economic policy and ensure harmonious development of environment and society. In this paper, based on thermal infrared remote sensing, GIS, and atmospheric diffuse model technology, the simulation precision of spatial distribution of urban carbon emissions was improved. Based on this, Environment Kuznets Curve (EKC), Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI), and System Dynamics (SD) model were separately adopted. The coupling relationship and evolvement trend were analyzed between urban economic development and carbon emissions. The factors making carbon emission concentration change and production effect, structure effect, and intensity effect of carbon emission by city three industries were researched and analyzed through decomposing carbon emissions. Development and evolvement trend between urban economic development and carbon emissions was simulated under two conditions of natural development model and regulation development model. Research result showed: Shenyang carbon emission concentration and per-capita gross domestic product (GDP) fitting curve conformed N type feature during 1989-2008, but the curve presented a decreasing trend after 2008. Shenyang annual carbon emission concentration has already exceeded the turning point. Economic growth was the main factor inducing Shenyang carbon emission concentration raise. The production effect of carbon emission of Shenyang second industry was the biggest during 1999-2010. The intensity effect of three industries has shown the restraining function towards city carbon emission concentration. GDP gross under regulation development model is higher than under natural development model during the period of 2012-2020. Shenyang carbon emission concentration under regulation development model shows a decreasing trend, and urban carbon emission concentration under natural development model is gradually rising during 2013-2020. Regulation management can ensure economy steadily increasing, at the same time it will be availble to restrain Shenyang carbon emission effectively.

CLC Number:

• X24