西北少数民族地区人地关系演变动态仿真研究——以甘南州为例

doi:10.11849/zrzyxb.2013.07.017

Abstract

Abstract:

The paper built a dynamic simulation model of human-natural evolution by using dynamic model to have an empirical study on the law of human-natural system in Gannan based on the human-natural relationship, which described the potential situation of the evolution of human-natural relationship in Gannan and provided a theoretical basis for coordinating the human-natural relationship to change direction to sustainable development. The results indicate that the human-natural relationship of Gannan was in the maladjusted state and the human-natural system presents an unsustainable evolutionary trend in the future,economic development can only be lasted about 35 years. From the evolvement of the human-natural relation, according to the conditions of Gannan area, some ideas of optimizing the human-natural relationship are put forward. Accelerating the transformation of economic development is the inevitable choice to coordinate the Gannan’s human-natural relationship to move towards the sustainable development, reduce the dependence of economic growth on natural resources and the pressures on the environment can effectively delay the speed of exhaustion of resources, which has the positive impetus function to the human-natural system moving towards the sustainable development. Speeding up technical progress and increased environmental protection investment has a significant role to the coordination of the Gannan’s human-natural relationship. Gannan’s efforts to develop the economy must be accompanied by equally vigorous efforts to control the population, and improve its quality, which ultimately to coordinate the human-natural relationship of Gannan.

Key words: human-natural relationship, human-natural system, dynamic model, sustainable development, Gannan

CLC Number:

K901

LU Cheng-peng, CHEN Xing-peng, WANG Hong-juan, LI Heng-ji, ZHANG Zi-long, LI Yong-jin. A Study on Dynamic Simulation of Human-natural Relationship Evolution in Northwest Ethnic Minority: Case of Gannan[J].JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2013, 28(7): 1255-1263.

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A Study on Dynamic Simulation of Human-natural Relationship Evolution in Northwest Ethnic Minority: Case of Gannan

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