关中地区清洁能源供暖综合效益评价——西安某商业建筑的案例实证

doi:10.31497/zrzyxb.20201115

自然资源学报 ›› 2020, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (11): 2759-2769.doi: 10.31497/zrzyxb.20201115

关中地区清洁能源供暖综合效益评价——西安某商业建筑的案例实证

丁月清¹(), 洪增林¹^,²^,³(), 金光⁴, 张亚鸽⁴, 薛旭平², 杨建华¹

1.西北工业大学自动化学院,西安 710072
2.陕西省地质调查院,西安 710054
3.长安大学地球科学与资源学院,西安 710054
4.陕西省水工环地质调查中心,西安 710054

收稿日期:2019-06-05 修回日期:2020-04-07 出版日期:2020-11-28 发布日期:2021-01-28
通讯作者: 洪增林 E-mail:342129843@qq.com;lhqhzl@163.com
作者简介:丁月清（1979- ）,女,山东菏泽人,博士研究生,研究方向为系统工程等。E-mail: 342129843@qq.com
基金资助:
陕西省公益性地质工作项目(20170201)

Calculation and evaluation of the comprehensive benefit ratio of clean energy utilization: Taking clean energy heating in Guanzhong Plain as an example

DING Yue-qing¹(), HONG Zeng-lin¹^,²^,³(), JIN Guang⁴, ZHANG Ya-ge⁴, XUE Xu-ping², YANG Jian-hua¹

1. School of Automation, Northwestern Polytechnical University, Xi'an 710072, China
2. Shaanxi Institute of Geological Survey, Xi'an 710054, China
3. School of Earth Science and Resources, Chang'an University, Xi'an 710054, China
4. Shaanxi Hydrogeology Engineering Geology and Environment Geology Survey Center, Xi'an 710054, China

Received:2019-06-05 Revised:2020-04-07 Online:2020-11-28 Published:2021-01-28
Contact: Zeng-lin HONG E-mail:342129843@qq.com;lhqhzl@163.com

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

随着中国发展方式转变与能源结构转型的深入推进,能源消耗“双控”与燃煤替代供热清洁化、集中化成为必然趋势。清洁供暖效益评价研究是一个动态的系统性问题,涉及技术、财务、经济和社会评价等方面。目前,有关供热模式评价一般集中在经济和技术视角,难以系统反映经济社会、环境资源等深层次问题。以空气源热泵、燃气锅炉和浅层地热能为主多能互补的供暖方案为评价对象,采用系统评价的方法,基于DPSIR模型构建清洁能源供暖综合效益评价指标体系,利用AHP-POS灰色关联度模型定量评价西安市商业建筑清洁能源供暖方案综合效益和D-P-S-I-R子系统的影响作用。结果表明：在经济、技术和投资环境等条件允许情况下,应优先实施以浅层地热能为主的多能互补供暖方案,依次实施煤改电和煤改气方案。进而提出关中地区清洁能源供暖监管体系对策建议,以供决策者和投资者参考。

关键词: 清洁能源, 综合效益, 灰色关联度评价, 多能互补

Abstract:

With the transformation of China's development mode and energy structure, "double control" of energy consumption and clean and centralized alternative heating by burning coal have become an inevitable trend. The study focuses on efficiency evaluation of clean heating, a dynamic and systematic problem, which involves technical, financial, economic and social evaluation. At present, the evaluation of heating mode generally focuses on the economic and technical perspectives, which, to a certain degree, cannot reflect the deep problems of economy, society, environment and resources. Taking Xi'an as an example, this paper evaluates the air source heat pump, gas-fired boiler and the multi-energy complementary heating scheme based on shallow geothermal energy. By adopting the method of systematic evaluation, based on the DPSIR model, we determined the factor indexes of each subsystem in the evaluation model, constructed the comprehensive performance evaluation index system of clean energy heating, and calculated the single-level and comprehensive evaluation values of each subsystem of clean energy heating by using the grey relational degree model of AHP-POS, and analyzed the relationship and interaction mechanism of the influencing factors.

Key words: clean energy, integrative benefits, grey relational analysis, balanced energy mix

丁月清, 洪增林, 金光, 张亚鸽, 薛旭平, 杨建华. 关中地区清洁能源供暖综合效益评价——西安某商业建筑的案例实证[J]. 自然资源学报, 2020, 35(11): 2759-2769.

DING Yue-qing, HONG Zeng-lin, JIN Guang, ZHANG Ya-ge, XUE Xu-ping, YANG Jian-hua. Calculation and evaluation of the comprehensive benefit ratio of clean energy utilization: Taking clean energy heating in Guanzhong Plain as an example[J]. JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2020, 35(11): 2759-2769.

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方案		动力设备	型号及规格	备注
方案A₁	煤改电	空气源热泵机组	型号：TASD440AH 制热量：475 kW 制热性能系数：3.28 制冷量：440 kW 制冷性能系数：3.02	冬季+夏季
方案A₂	煤改气	天然气锅炉	型号：CWNS1.4-85/65-Y 额定回水/出水温度：85/65 ℃	仅冬季制热
方案A₃	浅层地热能	螺杆式地源热泵机组	型号：WPS405.2CFFST-B 制热量：1416.7 kW 制热性能系数：4.76 制冷量：1440.8 kW 制冷性能系数：6.81	冬季+夏季
		竖井	井深：120 m 孔径：200 mm 孔间距：4.5 m
		空气源热泵机组	型号：LSQWRF520M/A 制热量：552 kW 制热性能系数：3.29 制冷量：520 kW 制冷性能系数：3.02	冬季+夏季
		冷水机组	型号：30HXC-350AH 制冷量：1218 kW 制冷性能系数：5.21
		冷却塔	型号：DFT350 进出水温度：35/30 ℃ 流量：275 m³/h
		蓄能池

X_ij	K₁				K₂				K₃				K₄				K₅
X_ij	X_i₁	X_i₂	X_i₃	X_i₄	X_i₅	X_i₆	X_i₇	X_i₈	X_i₉	X_i₁₀	X_i₁₁	X_i₁₂	X_i₁₃	X_i₁₄	X_i₁₅	X_i₁₆	X_i₁₇	X_i₈	X_i₁₉	X_i₂₀
X₁_j	7.46	8.33	17.86	971.8	7.54	375.33	7.95	8.58	106.06	0	0	0	7.38	7.54	7.38	8.64	8.78	8.85	8.24	8.29
X₂_j	7.23	7.74	6.56	203.27	6.87	148.32	7.52	7.32	42.15	62.95	62.95	151.08	7.96	8.35	7.13	7.29	8.35	8.85	8.18	7.74
X₃_j	8.68	8.63	17.98	1399.7	8.93	175.12	7	8.86	166.1	0	0	0	8.79	8.87	8.45	8.95	8.56	8.7	8.47	8.46
X₀_j	8.68	8.63	17.98	1399.7	8.93	148.32	7.95	8.86	166.1	0	0	0	8.79	8.87	8.45	8.96	8.78	8.85	8.47	8.46

ξ_ij	K₁				K₂				K₃				K₄				K₅
ξ_ij	X_i₁	X_i₂	X_i₃	X_i₄	X_i₅	X_i₆	X_i₇	X_i₈	X_i₉	X_i₁₀	X_i₁₁	X_i₁₂	X_i₁₃	X_i₁₄	X_i₁₅	X_i₁₆	X_i₁₇	X_i₈	X_i₁₉	X_i₂₀
ξ₁_j	0.3727	0.5973	0.9794	0.5829	0.4256	0.3333	1	0.7333	0.5079	1	1	1	0.3333	0.3333	0.3815	0.7316	1	1	0.3867	0.6792
ξ₂_j	0.3333	0.3333	0.3333	0.3333	0.3333	1	0.5249	0.3333	0.3333	0.3333	0.3333	0.3333	0.4593	0.5612	0.3333	0.3373	0.3333	1	0.3333	0.3333
ξ₃_j	1	1	1	1	1	0.6639	0.3333	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0.4942	0.3333	1	1

ξ_i	DPSIR影响因子					效益属性因子			ζ_i
ξ_i	K₁	K₂	K₃	K₄	K₅	Ec	En	S	ζ_i
A₁	0.1298	0.1197	0.1812	0.0861	0.1267	0.1324	0.1721	0.3801	0.6435
A₂	0.0682	0.1042	0.0683	0.0812	0.1034	0.0974	0.0735	0.2543	0.4254
A₃	0.2048	0.1458	0.205	0.0922	0.1449	0.1834	0.203	0.5063	0.7927

关中地区清洁能源供暖综合效益评价——西安某商业建筑的案例实证

Calculation and evaluation of the comprehensive benefit ratio of clean energy utilization: Taking clean energy heating in Guanzhong Plain as an example

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