自然资源学报 ›› 1998, Vol. 13 ›› Issue (2): 139-144.doi: 10.11849/zrzyxb.1998.02.007

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

供水系统干旱期的水资源风险管理

冯平   

  1. 天津大学水利系
  • 收稿日期:1997-07-02 修回日期:1997-11-03 出版日期:1998-06-25 发布日期:1998-06-25
  • 作者简介:冯平,男,1964年生,工学博士,副教授,毕业于河海大学水文水资源系.现在天津大学水利系工作,主要 从事水文学及水资源工程可靠性分析、水旱灾害演变规律及减灾管理等方面的研究工作,曾发表“河流形态 特征的分维计算方法”“、供水系统水文干旱的识别”等20余篇论文。

RISK MANAGEMENT OF A WATER SUPPLY SYSTEMDURING DROUGHT PERIOD

FENG Ping   

  1. Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072
  • Received:1997-07-02 Revised:1997-11-03 Online:1998-06-25 Published:1998-06-25

摘要: 把风险分析方法用于干旱期的水资源管理,给出了相应的风险、可靠性、恢复性和易损性等具体的风险指标。经实际应用表明,这些风险指标可以从不同的侧面反应干旱的真实危害程度,它较系统优化方法更简单易行,也便于水资源管理者制定和选择有效的干旱管理措施,可为水资源的规划和管理提供新的方法和途径。

关键词: 供水系统, 干旱期, 水资源, 风险分析

Abstract: In this paper, risk theory has been used in the management of water resources during drought period, and the corresponding indexes such as risk, reliability, resiliency and vulnerability have been given. In practice, these risk indexes can reflect the real detrimental level of drought from different aspeects.The method is simpler than system optimization, and is more convenient for water resources administrator to formulate and choice effective measures for drought management. This study can provide a new way for planning and management of water resources.

Key words: water supply system, drought period, water resources, risk analysis