为系统掌握江西省水体资源结构和水产养殖基本特征,论文通过遥感技术获取了2012年各县域的水体面积,并划分为不同的水体类型。通过全局和局域空间自相关,分析了89个县(市)水产养殖典型要素的空间异质性以及空间差异程度。针对空间关联及非均质性的现象,运用地理加权回归揭示了水体资源大小、养殖方式、平均单产水平和渔业专业养殖人员数量对养殖产量的影响程度。结果表明:江西省水体资源类型以大水面为主,占总面积的70%,其次为水库山塘,占21.26%,小型池塘面积占9%。水资源结构地区差异明显,北部区域以大水面为主,南部以山塘水库为主。养殖产量和面积表现出空间集聚分布特征(P<0.01),但各县域的聚集性分布也表现出不同的模式,彭泽县、都昌县、鄱阳县、南昌市辖区、南昌县、丰城市、进贤县和余干县8个县域,均为高-高分布类型,养殖面积和产量分别占到总量的34.55%、35.42%。从养殖品种结构上,特种养殖产量主要集中在上饶市、九江市、南昌市和宜春市,占69.84%,但特种养殖产量所占比例与水体资源大小的相关性下降,水资源较少的东部山区丘陵地带依据区位特征发展鳖、蛙产业,特种养殖比例较高。从水产养殖驱动力分析,水体面积对养殖产量的影响程度最大(中位值为0.46),其次是小型池塘面积(中位值为0.36)、专业养殖人口数量(中位值为0.26),3个因素与养殖产量均为正相关,其中水体面积和小型池塘面积对养殖产量的影响程度从南向北递减,专业养殖人口对养殖产量的影响程度从南向北递增。影响程度的空间异质性变化可能与养殖方式和品种结构有关。平均单产水平对养殖产量的贡献较弱(中位值为 -0.003),各地区影响强度差别不明显。分析结果有助于系统了解江西省水体资源分布和养殖结构,对优化产业规划布局有重要的指导意义。
In order to understand the water resource types and aquaculture structure in Jiangxi Province, the area of water resource at county level was obtained with remote sensing images in 2012 and was divided into different water body types. The spatial heterogeneity and spatial variability of typical elements in relation to aquaculture in 89 counties were analyzed based on global and local spatial autocorrelation. Considering the phenomenon of spatial correlation and heterogeneity, we explored the influence of water resource area, aquaculture type, yield per unit and the number of professional fishery population on the production of aquaculture by using geographically weighted regression. The results showed that the water resource is dominated by large water body, accounting for 70% of the total area, followed by ponds and reservoirs, accounting for 21.26%, and small pond area accounted for about 9%. Obvious regional difference of water resource was observed that there was mainly large water bodies in the north region and mainly ponds and reservoirs in the south region. The production and area of aquaculture showed spatial clusters (P<0.01), but with different patterns. It was high-high distribution in Pengze County, Duchang County, Poyang County, Nanchang District, Nanchang County, Fengcheng City, Jinxian County and Yugan County, with significance at the level of 0.01 by Moran analysis, and the area and production in these areas accounted for 34.55% and 35.42%, respectively. According to the aquaculture species, the production of special aquaculture was mainly in Shangrao, Jiujiang, Nanchang and Yichun, whose production accounted for 69.84% of the special aquaculture production, however, the correlation between the proportion of special aquaculture production and water area was low. Turtle and frog industries dominated in the eastern mountain hilly land, therefore, the proportion of special aquaculture was high in Zixi, Nanfeng and Shicheng where there are less water resources. From the driving force of aquaculture, water area had the most important impact on aquaculture production (0.46 at the median level), followed by small pond area (0.36 at the median level), professional aquaculture population (0.26 at the median level), who all were positively correlated with aquaculture production. The impacts of water area and small pond area on aquaculture production declined from south to north, but the impact of professional aquaculture population on aquaculture production increased from south to north. The spatial heterogeneity of the influence degree may be related to aquaculture type and species structure. The influence of average yield per unit area was weak (-0.003 at the median level), and there was little difference among regions. The results of this study contribute to understanding the water resources distribution and aquaculture structure in Jianxi Province, and provide foundational data for the scientific layout of aquaculture.
[1] 王金环, 都基隆. 基于粮食安全视角发展海洋渔业的必要性分析[J]. 科技促进发展, 2013(5): 72-76.
[WANG J H, DU J L.Study on the necessity of marine fishery based on food safety. Science & Technology for Development, 2013(5): 72-76. ]
[2] 程家骅. 中国水产养殖区域分布与水体资源图集——江西 [M]. 上海: 上海科学技术出版社, 2016.
[CHENG J H.Regional Distribution of Aquaculture and Water Resources in China—Jiangxi. Shanghai: Shanghai Scientific and Technical Press, 2016. ]
[3] 农业部渔业渔政管理局. 中国渔业统计年鉴 (1985—2012) [M]. 北京: 中国农业出版社, 1985—2012.
[Bureau of Fisheries of Ministry of Agriculture. Statistics of China Fisheries (1985-2012). Beijing: China Agriculture Press, 1985-2012. ]
[4] 李鑫欧, 欧阳勋志, 刘琪璟. 江西省2001—2005年森林植被碳储量及区域分布特征[J]. 自然资源学报, 2011, 26(4): 655-665.
[LI X O, OUYANG X Z, LIU Q J.Carbon storage of forest vegetation and its geographical pattern in China’s Jiangxi Province during 2001-2005. Journal of Natural Resources, 2011, 26(4): 655-665. ]
[5] 孟庆武. 内陆水产养殖业的现状与趋势: 基于金乡县的调查[J]. 中国渔业经济, 2010(6): 56-60.
[MENG Q W.Situation and predicament of aquaculture at the inland areas economy: Elicitation by research of Jinxiang aquaculture. Chinese Fisheries Economics, 2010(6): 56-60. ]
[6] 阮宜兵. 中国湖泊水产养殖存在的问题及发展对策[J]. 水产导刊, 2012(9): 46-49.
[RUAN Y B.Problems and development countermeasures on aquaculture in Chinese lakes. Aquatic Guide, 2012(9): 46-49. ]
[7] 朱长明, 李均力, 张新, 等. 近40 a来博斯腾湖水资源遥感动态监测与特征分析[J]. 自然资源学报, 2015, 30(1): 106-114.
[ZHU C M, LI J L, ZHANG X, et al.Bosten water resource dynamic detection and feature analysis in recent 40 years by remote sensing. Journal of Natural Resources, 2015, 30(1): 106-114. ]
[8] NIE Y, YANG C, ZHANG Y L, et al.Glacier changes on the Qiangtang Plateau between 1976 and 2015: A case study in the Xainza Xiegang Mountains[J]. Journal of Resources and Ecology, 2017, 8(1): 97-104.
[9] 安彬, 肖薇薇. 基于水足迹理论的江西省水资源时空特征分析[J]. 江西农业学报, 2016, 28(8): 74-78.
[AN B, XIAO W W.Analysis of spatial and temporal features of water resources in Jiangxi Province based on water footprint theory. Acta Agriculturae Jiangxi, 2016, 28(8): 74-78. ]
[10] 刘聚涛, 李荣昉. 江西省水资源特征变化分析[J]. 江西水利科技, 2013, 39(1): 61-65.
[LIU J T, LI R F.Trend analysis of water resource characters in Jiangxi Province. Jiangxi Hydraulic Science & Technology, 2013, 39(1): 61-65. ]
[11] 吴敦银, 喻中文, 王凤. 江西省水资源分布与旱灾发生规律初探[J]. 江西水利科技, 2005, 31(1): 31-33.
[WU D Y, YU Z W, WANG F.Discussion of the drought law and the distribution of water resources in Jiangxi Province. Jiangxi Hydraulic Science & Technology, 2005, 31(1): 31-33. ]
[12] 杨宁生, 欧阳海鹰, 杜宁. 利用GIS评估地区水产养殖发展潜力的研究[C]// 中国农业信息科技创新与学科发展大会论文汇编. 北京, 2007.
[YANG N S, OUYANG H Y, DU N.Determination on potential areas for aquaculture development with GIS technology // Proceeding of China Agricultural Information Technology Innovation and Discipline Development Conference. Beijing, 2007. ]
[13] KABACOFF R I.R in action: Data analysis and graphics with R[M]. USA: Manning Publications Co., 2015.
[14] SOKAL R R, ODEN N L.Spatial autocorrelation in biology: 1. Methodology[J]. Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 1978, 10(2): 199-228.
[15] 庞瑞秋, 腾飞, 魏冶. 基于地理加权回归的吉林省人口城镇化动力机制分析[J]. 地理科学, 2014, 34(10): 1210-1217.
[PANG R Q, TENG F, WEI Y.A GWR-based on dynamic mechanism of population urbanization in Jilin Province. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2014, 34(10): 1210-1217. ]
[16] 瞿明凯, 李卫东, 张传荣, 等. 地理加权回归及其在土壤和环境科学上的应用前景[J]. 土壤, 2014, 46(1): 15-22.
[QU M K, LI W D, ZHANG C R, et al.Geographically weighted regression and its application prospect in soil and environmental sciences. Soils, 2014, 46(1): 15-22. ]
[17] BIVAND R, YU D L, NAKAYA T, et al.Spwgr: Geographically weighted regression: R package version 0.6-30 [CP/OL]. 2017.
[18] 杨国胜, 黄介生, 李建, 等. 基于SWAT模型的绿水管理生态补偿标准研究[J]. 水利学报, 2016, 47(6): 809-815.
[YANG G S, HUANG J S, LI J, et al.Study on ecological compensation standard of green water management based on SWAT model. Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, 2016, 47(6): 809-815. ]
[19] 高凤杰, 单培明, 马泉来, 等. 黑土耕作区土壤含水量空间自相关及农业生产分区[J]. 自然资源学报, 2017, 32(11): 1930-1941.
[GAO F J, SHAN P M, MA Q L, et al.Spatial autocorrelation of soil moisture and agricultural zoning in a mollisol tillage area of Northeast China. Journal of Natural Resources, 2017, 32(11): 1930-1941. ]
[20] 福建省海洋与渔业厅. 福建省“十三五”渔业发展专项规划 [EB/OL]. http://www.fjof.gov.cn/xxgk/ghjh/zxgh, 2017.
[Fujian Provincial Department of Ocean and Fisheries. The 13th five-year plan for fisheries development of the Fujian Province. http://www.fjof.gov.cn/xxgk/ghjh/zxgh, 2017. ]
[21] 张益峰, 王大鹏, 雷建军, 等. 广西大化岩滩库区网箱养殖容量分析[J]. 南方农业学报, 2012, 43(11): 1775-1778.
[ZHANG Y F, WANG D P, LEI J J, et al.Cage culture capacity analysis of Dahua Yantan Resvoir in Guangxi. Guangxi Agricultural Sciences, 2012, 43(11): 1775-1778. ]
[22] 王三洲, 张瑞斌, 赵言文. 基于混合模型的灌河水环境容量研究[J]. 江西农业学报, 2010, 22(10): 141-143.
[WANG S Z, ZHANG R B, ZHAO Y W.Study on water environmental capacity of Guan River based on mixed model. Acta Agricultural Jiangxi, 2010, 22(10): 141-143. ]
[23] 李振龙. 我国内陆水产养殖发展路在何方[J]. 中国水产, 2006(9): 9-12.
[LI Z L.Where is the road for the development of inland aquaculture in China. China Fisheries, 2006(9): 9-12. ]