EN中文

自然资源学报 >

2018 , Vol. 33 >Issue 7: 1204 - 1217

DOI: https://doi.org/10.31497/zrzyxb.20170658

资源生态

生态脆弱区榆林三维生态足迹动态变化及其驱动因素

展开
  • 西安理工大学经济与管理学院,西安 710054
杨屹（1969- ）,男,贵州遵义人,教授,博士,研究方向为生态足迹、生态政策与管理等。E-mail: yangyi_nwpu@163.com

收稿日期: 2017-07-03

  修回日期: 2017-10-16

  网络出版日期: 2018-07-20

基金资助

国家社会科学基金西部项目（15XJL009）

收起

Dynamic Changes and Driving Factors of Three Dimensional Ecological Footprint in Yulin

Expand
  • School of Economics and Management, Xi’an University of Technology, Xi’an 710054,China

Received date: 2017-07-03

  Revised date: 2017-10-16

  Online published: 2018-07-20

Supported by

National Social Science Foundation of China Western Project, No. 15XJL009

Fold

摘要

榆林能源丰富但生态脆弱,是生态工程的重点实施区域。分析榆林自然资本存量及流量的利用状况,有利于揭示自然资本占用的成因、探讨生态脆弱区环境保护与经济社会可持续发展的问题。在测算榆林2005—2014年人均生态足迹、人均生态承载力、生态压力指数等的基础上,以足迹深度和广度描述了自然资本存量消耗与流量占用的变化关系,并以偏最小二乘法分析了驱动生态足迹变化的因素。结果显示：10 a来榆林人均生态赤字增长幅度为274.18%,其中,能源消耗账户贡献率最高;人均生态承载力增加了61.81%,体现出生态建设的正向作用。榆林对资本存量消耗的速度大于资本流量占用的速度。影响生态足迹变化的显著因素是经济增长和社会消费。这些结论不仅对榆林自然资本利用与经济协调发展具有参考意义,而且对生态脆弱区核算自然资本、探讨生态系统与经济社会系统间的关系有一定的学术价值。

关键词： 三维生态足迹; 生态经济; 榆林; 自然资本利用

本文引用格式

杨屹, 胡蝶 . 生态脆弱区榆林三维生态足迹动态变化及其驱动因素[J]. 自然资源学报, 2018 , 33(7) : 1204 -1217 . DOI: 10.31497/zrzyxb.20170658

Abstract

Yulin is rich in energy but fragile in ecology. It is an important area for ecological engineering. It is necessary to analyze the status of natural capital stock and flow in Yulin and reveal the causes of natural capital occupation for the study of environment protection and sustainable development in ecological fragile areas. Basing on the calculation of ecological footprint per capita, ecological carrying capacity per capita, ecological deficit per capita and ecological pressure index in Yulin during 2005-2014, the paper describes the relationship between natural stock capital occupation and natural flow capital consumption through the depth and size of ecological footprint and studies the factors driving the ecological footprint changes with Partial Least Square (PLS) model. The results showed that the per capita ecological footprint in Yulin increased from 2.684 hm2/cap to 5.932 hm2/cap during 2005-2014, where the energy consumption accounted for the highest contribution. The ecological pressure index showed an overall increase from 1.387 to 1.894, except in 2013. The ecological footprint depth was 1.889 in 2005 and reached 2.380 by 2014, which means that a region as 2.380 times large as Yulin is needed to support the resource depletion in Yulin. The ecological footprint size increased from 1.421 hm2/cap in 2005 to 2.492 hm2/cap in 2014, where the ecological footprint size in 2013 increased significantly. In 2014, the consumption of capital stock in Yulin was 1.380 times of the amount of capital flow. The results of PLS model show that the factors affecting ecological footprint are mainly economic growth and social consumption. Yulin is facing severe ecological pressure, and energy consumption is the main reason for the rise of ecological pressure. The per capita ecological carrying capacity increased by 61.81% over the past 10 years, indicating that the implementation of ecological construction project plays an effective and positive role in improving the ecological carrying capacity. The consumption rate of capital stock in Yulin is faster than the rate of capital flow, and the substantial reduction of natural capital stock has seriously hindered the renewal of capital flow. These conclusions are of practical significance for the coordinated natural capital utilization and economic development in Yulin as well as provide a reference for natural capital utilization accounting in ecologically fragile areas.

Key words： ecological economics; nature capital utilization; three dimensional ecological footprint; Yulin

参考文献

[1] 牛钰平, 石长春, 封斌, 等. 陕西省榆林市2006年生态足迹计算与分析[J]. 西北林学院学报, 2009, 24(6): 212-215.
[NIU Y P, SHI C C, FENG B, et al.Calculation and analysis of ecological footprint in Yulin in 2006. Journal of Northwest Forestry University, 2009, 24(6): 212-215. ]
[2] 高宇, 曹明明, 邱海军, 等. 榆林市生态安全预警研究[J]. 干旱区资源与环境, 2015, 29(9): 57-62.
[GAO Y, CAO M M, QIU H J, et al.Ecological security warning and control for Yulin. Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment, 2015, 29(9): 57-62. ]
[3] 石建华, 喻理飞, 孙保平. 陕北地区退耕还林生态健康评价分析研究——以吴起县为例[J]. 水土保持学报, 2015, 29(6): 332-336.
[SHI J H, YU L F, SUN B P.Research on ecological health assessment system of grain-for-green project in the northern Shaanxi—A case study of Wuqi County. Journal of Soil and Water Conservation, 2015, 29(6): 332-336. ]
[4] 秦静, 白中科, 周伟. 基于生态足迹与生态服务价值的区域生态环境动态评价[J]. 中国人口·资源与环境, 2016, 26(5): 244-247.
[QIN J, BAI Z K, ZHOU W.Ecological environment evaluation based on ecological footprint model and ecological services value. China Population, Resources and Environment, 2016, 26(5): 244-247. ]
[5] COSTANZA R, DALY H E.Natural capital and sustainable development[J]. Conservation Biology, 1992, 6(1): 37-38.
[6] PEARCE D W, TURNER P K.Economics of Natural Resources and the Environment [M]. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1990.
[7] DALY H E.Beyond Growth: The Economics of Sustainable Development [M]. Boston: Beacon Press, 1996: 25-76.
[8] WACKERNAGEL M, ONISTO L, BELLO P, et al.National natural capital accounting with the ecological footprint concept[J]. Ecological Economics, 1999, 29: 375-390.
[9] 孙艳芝, 沈镭. 关于我国四大足迹理论研究变化的文献计量分析[J]. 自然资源学报, 2016, 31(9): 1463-1473.
[SUN Y Z, SHEN L.Bibliometric analysis on research progress of four footprint methodologies in China. Journal of Natural Resources, 2016, 31(9): 1463-1473. ]
[10] 李昭华, 傅伟, 沈燕. 中美双边货物贸易自然资本的生态足迹分析[J]. 中国人口·资源与环境, 2013, 23(5): 170-176.
[LI Z H, FU W, SHEN Y.A footprint analysis on the natural capital embodied in the goods of China-U.S. bilateral trade. China Population, Resources and Environment, 2013, 23(5): 170-176. ]
[11] 曹淑艳, 谢高地, 陈文辉, 等. 中国主要农产品生产的生态足迹研究[J]. 自然资源学报, 2014, 29(8): 1336-1344.
[CAO S Y, XIE G D, CHEN W H, et al.Ecological footprint of raw and derived agricultural products. Journal of Natural Resources, 2014, 29(8): 1336-1344. ]
[12] 靳相木, 柳乾坤. 自然资源核算的生态足迹模型演进及其评论[J]. 自然资源学报, 2017, 32(1): 163-176.
[JIN X M, LIU Q K.Evolution of ecological footprint models for natural resources accounting. Journal of Natural Resources, 2017, 32(1): 163-176. ]
[13] 方恺, 李焕承. 基于生态足迹深度和广度的中国自然资本利用省际格局[J]. 自然资源学报, 2012, 27(12): 1995-2005.
[FANG K, LI H C.Provincial pattern of China’s natural capital use: A modification and application of ecological footprint depth and size. Journal of Natural Resources, 2012, 27(12): 1995-2005. ]
[14] NICCOLUCCI V, GALLI A, REED A, et al.Towards a 3D national ecological footprint geography[J]. Ecological Modelling, 2011, 222(16): 2939-2944.
[15] 方恺. 1999—2008年G20国家自然资本利用的空间格局变化[J]. 资源科学, 2014, 36(4): 793-800.
[FANG K.Changes in the spatial distribution of natural capital use among G20 countries from 1999 to 2008. Resources Science, 2014, 36(4): 793-800. ]
[16] 方恺. 生态足迹深度和广度: 构建三维模型的新指标[J]. 生态学报, 2013, 33(1): 267-274.
[FANG K.Ecological footprint depth and size: New indicators for a 3D model. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2013, 33(1): 267-274. ]
[17] 方恺, HEIJUNGS R.自然资本核算的生态足迹三维模型研究进展[J]. 地理科学进展, 2012, 31(12): 1700-1707.
[FANG K, HEIJUNGS R.A review on three-dimensional ecological footprint model for natural capital accounting. Progress in Geography, 2012, 31(12): 1700-1707. ]
[18] PENG J, DU Y Y, MA J, et al.Sustainability evaluation of natural capital utilization based on 3D EF model: A case study in Beijing City, China[J]. Ecological Indicators, 2015, 58: 254-266.
[19] 马明德, 马学娟, 谢应忠, 等. 宁夏生态足迹影响因子的偏最小二乘回归分析[J]. 生态学报, 2014, 34(3): 682-689.
[MA M D, MA X J, XIE Y Z, et al.Analysis the relationship between ecological footprint (EF) of Ningxia and influencing factors: Partial Least-Squares Regression. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2014, 34(3): 682-689. ]
[20] 胡美娟, 周年兴, 李在军, 等. 南京市三维生态足迹测算及驱动因子[J]. 地理与地理信息科学, 2015, 31(1): 91-95.
[HU M J, ZHOU N X, LI Z J, et al.Calculation and driving factor analysis of three-dimensional ecological footprint in Nanjing City. Geography and Gre-information Science, 2015, 31(1): 91-95. ]
[21] 张星星, 曾辉. 珠江三角洲城市群三维生态足迹动态变化及驱动力分析[J]. 环境科学学报, 2017, 37(2): 771-778.
[ZHANG X X, ZENG H.Dynamic of three dimensional ecological footprint in the Pearl River Delta and its driving factors. Acta Scientiae Circumstantiae, 2017, 37(2): 771-778. ]
[22] VENETOULIS J, TALBERTH J. Ecological footprint of nations 2005 update [R/OL]. http://aeromt.org/PDFs/ecological%20footprint%20of%20nations%202005.pdf. Oakland California USA: Redefining Progress, 2005.
[23] NICCOLUCCI V, BASTIANONI S, TIEZZI E B P, et al. How deep is the footprint? A 3D representation[J]. Ecological Modelling, 2009, 220(20): 2819-2823.
[24] 吴开亚, 王玲杰. 生态足迹及其影响因子的偏最小二乘回归模型与应用[J]. 资源科学, 2006, 28(6): 182-188.
[WU K Y, WANG L J.Partial least square regression model of ecological footprint and its influencing factors. Resources Science, 2006, 28(6): 182-188. ]
[25] 鲁凤, 徐建华, 王占永, 等. 生态足迹影响因子定量分析及其动态预测比较研究——以新疆为例[J]. 地理与地理信息科学, 2010, 26(6): 70-74.
[LU F, XU J H, WANG Z Y, et al.Qualitatively analysis on influence factors of ecological footprint and dynamic prediction of ecological footprint: A case study in Xinjiang. Geography and Geo-Information Science, 2010, 26(6): 70-74. ]
[26] 黄宝荣, 崔书红, 李颖名. 中国2000—2010年生态足迹变化特征及影响因素[J]. 环境科学, 2016, 37(2): 420-426.
[HUANG B R, CUI S H, LI Y M.Ecological footprint evolution characteristics and its influencing factors in China from 2000 to 2010. Environmental Science, 2016, 37(2): 420-426. ]
[27] 陕西省气象局. 近10年来红碱淖水体面积首次实现正增长 [EB/OL]. http://www.sxmb.gov.cn/index.php/cms/item-view-id-73160.shtml.
[The Meteorological Bureau of Shaanxi Province. The water area of Hongjiannao has achieved positive growth for the first time in the past 10 years. http://www.sxmb.gov.cn/index.php/cms/item-view-id-73160.shtml. ]
[28] 王建龙, 文湘华. 现代环境生物技术 [M]. 北京: 清华大学出版社, 2008.
[WANG J L, WEN X H. Modern Environmental Biotechnology. Beijing: Tsinghua University Press, 2008. ]
[29] 赵同谦, 欧阳志云, 郑华, 等. 中国森林生态系统服务功能及其价值评价[J]. 自然资源学报, 2004, 19(4): 480-491.
[ZHAO T Q, OUYANG Z Y, ZHENG H, et al.Forest ecosystem services and their valuation in China. Journal of Natural Resources, 2004, 19(4): 480-491. ]
[30] 赵岩, 司继涛, 田保国, 等. 城市固体废物处理处置技术政策方法Ⅰ: 模型研究[J]. 北京大学学报(自然科学版), 2007, 43(6): 834-838.
[ZHAO Y, SI J T, TIAN B G, et al.Method of technology choosing of municipal solid waste treatment and disposal1: Model study. Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis, 2007, 43(6): 834-838. ]
[31] 杜吴鹏, 高庆先, 张恩琛, 等. 中国城市生活垃圾处理及趋势分析[J]. 环境科学研究, 2006, 19(6): 115-120.
[DU W P, GAO Q X, ZHANG E C, et al.The treatment and trend analysis of municipal solid waste in China. Research of Environmental Sciences, 2006, 19(6): 115-120. ]
[32] 凤凰网陕西. 榆林植被覆盖度两年升4.54% [EB/OL]. http://sn.ifeng.com/shanxidifangzixun/yulin/news/detail_2014_03/24/2026065_0.shtml.
[Phoenix Nets, Shaanxi Channel. The vegetation coverage in Yulin rose 4.54% in two years. http://sn.ifeng.com/shanxidifangzixun/yulin/news/detail_2014_03/24/2026065_0.shtml. ]
[33] 郭存芝, 黄青, 何荧非. 资源型城市能耗增长因素分解及差异分析[J]. 中国人口·资源与环境, 2017, 27(1): 73-82.
[GUO C Z, HUANG Q, HE Y F.Analysis on factor decomposition and differences of energy consumption growth of resource-based cities. China Population, Resources and Environment, 2017, 27(1): 73-82. ]
[34] 杨建林, 徐君. 经济区产业结构变动对生态环境的动态效应分析——以呼包银榆经济区为例[J]. 经济地理, 2015, 35(10): 179-186.
[YANG J L, XU J.Analysis of dynamic effect of industrial structure change on ecological environment in economic zones—Taking Hu-Bao-Yin-Yu economic zone as an example. Economic Geography, 2015, 35(10): 179-186. ]
Options
文章导航

/

〈 〉