论文利用江西省42个县(区)74个行政村1396户农户的抽样调查数据,通过建立耕地流转行为与各自变量的Logistic回归计量模型,从家庭特征因素、家庭经济因素和资源禀赋因素三方面分析了农户耕地流出和流入行为的影响因素。研究表明:外出打工对耕地流出影响最大,是农户耕地流出的最大驱动力;而经济收入与耕地流转是互为因果的关系,耕地流入户的经济收入存在明显低于流出户的经济收入的趋势;地形特征对耕地流出行为有明显影响,地形越平坦,越容易流出,同样耕地越破碎,越不易被流入户接受。
陈美球, 肖鹤亮, 何维佳, 邓爱珍, 周丙娟
. 耕地流转农户行为影响因素的实证分析——基于江西省1396户农户耕地流转行为现状的调研[J]. 自然资源学报, 2008
, 23(3)
: 369
-374
.
DOI: 10.11849/zrzyxb.2008.03.002
Cultivated land transfer is an essential means for resolving the harmonies between the flaw of household contract responsibility system and the demands of agricultural modernization.In this paper,basing on the survey of 1396 households in 74 villages of 38 counties in Jiangxi province,the Logistic regressive model was set up to analyze factors affecting the households' behavior in cultivated land transfer out and in.And the affecting factors were divided into 3 groups: family characteristic factors,household economic factors and cultivated land resource gift.The family characteristic factors include total population,total labor forces,proportion of employees at non-agriculture to total labor forces;the household economic factors include income per person,the proportion of income from farmland to total income;and resource gift factors include physiognomy,cultivated land area per person,and spatial distribution of cultivated land.The results showed that non-agriculture employment opportunity plays a most important role in the cultivated land transfer out;the household income level and cultivated land transfer are mutually affected,the household income of transfer out is generally higher than that of transfer in;physiognomy is another important factor affecting the households' behavior in cultivated land transfer,the more flat physiognomy is,the more easy the cultivated land transfer out.So,in order to promote cultivated land transfer,some actions should be taken such as accelerating rural labor forces transfer into non-agriculture,increasing support for agriculture,and improving the spatial distribution of cultivated land.
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