长江经济带城市扩张与经济增长脱钩关系及其空间异质性

doi:10.11849/zrzyxb.20161373

PDF(8692 KB)

自然资源学报 ›› 2018, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (2) : 219-232. DOI: 10.11849/zrzyxb.20161373

资源经济

长江经济带城市扩张与经济增长脱钩关系及其空间异质性

黄木易¹, 岳文泽^{2, *}, 何翔¹

作者信息 +

Decoupling Relationship between Urban Expansion and Economic Growth and Its Spatial Heterogeneity in the Yangtze Economic Belt

HUANG Mu-yi¹, YUE Wen-ze², HE Xiang¹

Author information +

文章历史 +

摘要

论文基于GIS平台及探索性空间数据分析方法（Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis, ESDA）和脱钩模型,以地级行政单元为对象,分析2000—2013年长江经济带建设用地扩张、经济增长的时空差异及脱钩关系。研究表明：1）近15 a来,长江经济带建设用地扩张与经济增长具有明显的阶段性和区域性。热点分析显示,建设用地增长热点区呈扩散效应,冷点区逐渐缩小。而经济增长的冷、热点区演变格局与建设用地并不同步。2）2000—2013年,长江经济带建设用地扩张与经济增长耦合关系经历了“增长负脱钩、弱脱钩”为主—“弱脱钩”为主—“弱脱钩、增长连结”为主的变化过程。分析表明,近15 a来长江经济带建设用地扩张与经济增长脱钩程度整体趋于优化,其中,负脱钩类型的城市数量降低17.76%,而脱钩类型数量上升11.22%。3）脱钩程度的空间异质性分析显示,长江经济带各时期的城市扩张与经济增长脱钩关系具有弱空间集聚性。总体上,长三角城市群较长江中游、成渝及滇、黔城市群的脱钩程度表现更优。脱钩程度变化机制与城市产业结构、用地效率和用地模式等密切相关。加强土地利用规划管控力度、严格用途管制规则,引导城市精明增长,走内涵式新型城镇化道路是改变经济发展对建设用地扩张依赖的重要途径。

Abstract

The decoupling relationship between construction land expansion and economic growth and its heterogeneity during 2000-2013 in the Yangtze Economic Belt (YEB) are analyzed at the prefecture-level administrative units based on GIS platform, Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis (ESDA) method and decoupling model. The results indicate that: 1) In recent 15 years, the construction land expansion and the economic growth in the YEB had distinctive stages and regional characteristics. Hot spot analysis shows that the hot spots of construction land growth were diffusive and cold spots of construction land growth gradually shrank. However, the evolution pattern of hot spots and cold spots of economic growth was not in step with the evolution pattern of construction land. 2) During 2000-2013, the coupling relationship between construction land expansion and economic growth in the YEB experienced from the processes of “negative decoupling and weak decoupling” to “weak decoupling” and “weak decoupling and coupling”. According to the calculation, the cities with “negative decoupling” accounted for 12.15% of all cites in the Yangtze River Delta during 2010-2013, decreasing 17.76% compared to the stage from 2000 to 2005. Meanwhile, the cities with “weak decoupling” and “strong decoupling” account for 65.42% of all cites in the Yangtze River Delta during 2010-2013, rising 11.22% compared to the stage from 2000 to 2005. On the whole, the decoupling degree between construction land expansion and economic growth in the YEB improved in recent 15 years. 3) Spatial heterogeneity analysis of decoupling degree indicates that the decoupling relationship between urban expansion and economic growth in the YEB presented weak spatial autocorrelation in all stages. Generally, the decoupling degree of city clusters in the Yangtze River Delta was gradually increasing, better than the decoupling degree of city clusters along the middle reaches of the Yangtze River and city clusters of Chengdu-Chongqing and Yunnan-Guizhou. The evolution mechanism of decoupling degree was closely connected with urban industrial structure, land use efficiency and land use mode.

导出引用

黄木易, 岳文泽, 何翔. 长江经济带城市扩张与经济增长脱钩关系及其空间异质性[J]. 自然资源学报, 2018, 33(2): 219-232 https://doi.org/10.11849/zrzyxb.20161373

HUANG Mu-yi, YUE Wen-ze, HE Xiang. Decoupling Relationship between Urban Expansion and Economic Growth and Its Spatial Heterogeneity in the Yangtze Economic Belt[J]. JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2018, 33(2): 219-232 https://doi.org/10.11849/zrzyxb.20161373

中图分类号： F062.1

参考文献

[1] 林目轩, 陈秧分, 师迎春, 等. 大城市内部建设用地扩张差异及其原因——以长沙市区为例 [J]. 经济地理, 2006, 26(5): 836-842. [LIN M X, CHEN Y F, SHI Y C, et al. Analysis on the difference of construction land expansion among the inner districts of big city and its cause—A case study of Changsha City. Economic Geography, 2006, 26(5): 836-842. ]
[2] 李学文, 卢新海. 经济增长背景下的土地财政与土地出让行为分析 [J]. 中国土地科学, 2012, 26(8): 42-47. [LI X W, LU X H. Analysis on the land finance and land conveyance in the context of economic growth. China Land Sciences, 2012, 26(8): 42-47. ]
[3] LIU S H, SYLVIA P, LI X B. Spatial patterns of urban land use growth in Beijing [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2002, 12(3): 266-274.
[4] LIU Y S, WANG L J, LONG H L. Spatio-temporal analysis of land-use conversion in the eastern coastal China during 1996-2005 [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2008, 18(3): 274-282.
[5] 方创琳. 中国新型城镇化发展报告 [M]. 北京: 科学出版社, 2014. [FANG C L. China’s New Urbanization Development Report. Beijing: Science Press, 2014. ]
[6] 李效顺, 曲福田, 张绍良, 等. 基于国际比较与策略选择的中国城市蔓延治理 [J]. 农业工程学报, 2011, 27(10): 1-10. [LI X S, QU F T, ZHANG S L, et al. Urban sprawl control in China based on international comparison and strategy selection. Transactions of the CSAE, 2011, 27(10): 1-10. ]
[7] MA LAURENCE J C. Urban administrative restructuring, changing scale relations and local economic development in China [J]. Political Geography, 2005, 24(4): 477-497.
[8] JOSEPH O. Economics, real estate & the supply of land [J]. Journal of Property Investment & Finance, 2005, 23(5): 471-472.
[9] 王丰龙, 刘云刚. 中国城市建设用地扩张与财政收入增长的面板格兰杰因果检验 [J]. 地理学报, 2013, 68(12): 1595-1606. [WANG F L, LIU Y G. Panel Granger Test on urban land expansion and fiscal revenue growth in China’s prefecture-level cities. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2013, 68(12): 1595-1606. ]
[10] 张俊凤, 刘友兆. 城市建成区扩张与经济增长间的关系——以长三角地区为例 [J]. 城市问题, 2013(2): 11-15. [ZHANG J F, LIU Y Z. Analysis on relationship between urban land use expansion and economic growth—A case study of Yangtze Delta Area. Urban Problems, 2013(2): 11-15. ]
[11] OECD. Indicators to measure decoupling of environmental pressures for economic growth [R]. Paris: OECD, 2002: 4.
[12] 李效顺, 曲福田, 郭忠兴, 等. 城乡建设用地变化的脱钩研究 [J]. 中国人口·资源与环境, 2008, 18(5): 179-184. [LI X S, QU F T, GUO Z X, et al. Decoupling between urban and rural construction land. China Population, Resources and Environment, 2008, 18(5): 179-184. ]
[13] 仇方道, 沈正平, 张敬, 等. 基于脱钩模型的煤炭城市可持续发展动态分析——以徐州市为例 [J]. 地域研究与开发, 2011, 30(3): 67-72. [QIU F D, SHEN Z P, ZHANG J, et al. Dynamics of coal city sustainable development based on decoupling analysis method: A Case study in Xuzhou City. Areal Research and Development, 2011, 30(3): 67-72. ]
[14] LU I J, LIN S J, LEWIS C. Decomposition and decoupling effects of carbon dioxide emission from highway transportation in Taiwan, Germany, Japan and South Korea [J]. Energy Policy, 2007, 35(6): 3226-3235.
[15] ZHANG M, SONG Y, SU B, et al. Decomposing the decoupling indicator between the economic growth and energy consumption in China [J]. Energy Efficiency, 2015, 8(6): 1231-1239.
[16] 宋伟, 陈百明, 陈曦炜. 常熟市耕地占用与经济增长的脱钩评价 [J]. 自然资源学报, 2009, 24(9): 1532-1540. [SONG W, CHEN B M, CHEN X W. Decoupling evaluation between cultivated land occupation and economic growth in Changshu City. Journal of Natural Resources, 2009, 24(9): 1532-1540. ]
[17] 钟太洋, 黄贤金, 王柏源. 经济增长与建设用地扩张的脱钩分析 [J]. 自然资源学报, 2010, 25(1): 18-31. [ZHONG T Y, HUANG X J, WANG B Y. On the degrees of decoupling and recoupling of economic growth and expansion of construction land in China from 2002 to 2007. Journal of Natural Resources, 2010, 25(1): 18-31. ]
[18] 白忠菊, 藏波, 杨庆媛. 基于脱钩理论的城市扩张速度与经济发展的时空耦合研究——以重庆市为例 [J]. 经济地理, 2013, 33(8): 52-60. [BAI Z J, ZANG B, YANG Q Y. On the degrees of decoupling and recoupling of spatial and temporal evolution of urban expansion speed and economic development from 2000 to 2010: A case study of Chongqing City. Economic Geography, 2013, 33(8): 52-60. ]
[19] 张文斌, 陈英, 张仁陟, 等. 基于脱钩分析方法的耕地占用与经济发展的关系研究——以甘肃省康乐县为例 [J]. 自然资源学报, 2013, 28(4): 560-570. [ZHANG W B, CHEN Y, ZHANG R B, et al. Study on the relationship between cultivated land occupation and economic growth based on the decoupling method—Taking Kangle County of Gansu Province as an example. Journal of Natural Resources, 2013, 28(4): 560-570. ]
[20] 陈修颖, 陆林. 长江经济带空间结构形成基础及优化研究 [J]. 经济地理, 2004, 24(3): 326-329. [CHEN X Y, LU L. Study on forming base and optimization of spatial structure in Yangtze River Zone. Economic Geography, 2004, 24(3): 326-329. ]
[21] 张宇, 曹卫东, 梁双波, 等. 长江经济带城镇化协同演化时空格局研究 [J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2016, 25(5): 716-723. [ZHANG Y, CAO W D, LIANG S B, et al. Research on the co-evolution temporal and spatial patterns of urbanization in Yangtze River Economic Belt. Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin, 2016, 25(5): 716-723. ]
[22] OECD. Modeling the impact of agricultural policies on farm investments under uncertainty: the case of the cap of arable crop regime [R]. Paris: OECD, 2005.
[23] 彭佳雯, 黄贤金, 钟太洋, 等. 中国经济增长与能源碳排放的脱钩研究 [J]. 资源科学, 2011, 33(4): 626-633. [PENG J W, HUANG X J, ZHONG T Y, et al. Decoupling analysis of economic growth and energy carbon emissions in China. Resources Science, 2011, 33(4): 626-633. ]
[24] TAPIO P. Towards a theory of decoupling: degrees of decoupling in the EU and the case of road traffic in Finland between 1970 and 2001 [J]. Transport Policy, 2005, 12(2): 137-151.
[25] 李坚明, 孙一菱, 庄敏芳. 台湾二氧化碳排放脱钩指标建立与评估 [C]// 中华发展基金管理委员会: 两岸环境保护与永续发展研讨会论文集. 台北, 2005. [LI J M, SUN Y L, ZHUANG M F. Establishment and evaluation of decoupling index about CO 2 emission in Taiwan // China Development Fund Management Committee: Symposium of Environment Protection and Sustainable Development in Chinese Mainland and Taiwan Area. Taibei, 2005. ]
[26] 盖美, 曹桂艳, 田成诗, 等. 辽宁沿海经济带能源消费碳排放与区域经济增长脱钩分析 [J]. 资源科学, 2014, 36(6): 1267-1277. [GAI M, CAO G Y, TIAN C S, et al. Decoupling analysis of energy carbon emissions and regional economic growth in the Liaoning Coastal Economic Belt. Resources Science, 2014, 36(6): 1267-1277. ]
[27] 王婧, 方创琳, 李裕瑞. 中国城乡人口与建设用地的时空变化及其耦合特征研究 [J].自然资源学报, 2014, 29(8): 1271-1281. [WANG J, FANG C L, LI Y R. Spatio-temporal analysis of population and construction land change in urban and rural China. Journal of Natural Resources, 2014, 29(8): 1271-1281. ]
[28] 刘惠敏. 中国经济增长与能源消耗的脱钩——东部地区的时空分异研究 [J]. 中国人口·资源与环境, 2016, 26(12): 157-163. [LIU H M. Can economic growth decouple with energy consumption: A temporal and spatial study of eastern China. China Population, Resources and Environment, 2016, 26(12): 157-163. ]
[29] 马荣华, 蒲英霞, 马晓冬. GIS空间关联模式发现 [M]. 北京: 科学出版社, 2007: 103-107. [MA R H, PU Y X, MA X D. GIS Spatial Association and Pattern Discovery. Beijing: Science Press, 2007: 103-107. ]
[30] KYRIAKIDIS P, JOURNEL A G. Geostatistics models: A review [J]. Mathematical Geology, 1999, 31(6): 615-684.
[31] 彭翀, 常黎丽. 湖南省县域城镇化时空格局及其经济发展相关性研究 [J]. 经济地理, 2013, 33(8): 73-78. [PENG C, CHANG L L. Spatial-temporal pattern of county urbanization and its relationship with economic development in Hunan Province. Economic Geography, 2013, 33(8): 73-78. ]
[32] 赵可, 徐唐奇, 张安录. 城市用地扩张、规模经济与经济增长质量 [J]. 自然资源学报, 2016, 31(3): 390-401. [ZHAO K, XU T Q, ZHANG A L. Urban land expansion, economies of scale and quality of economic growth. Journal of Natural Resources, 2016, 31(3): 390-401. ]
[33] 王颖, 顾朝林, 李晓江. 中外城市增长边界研究进展 [J]. 国际城市规划, 2014, 29(4): 1-11. [WANG Y, GU C L, LI X J. Research progress of urban growth boundary at home and abroad. Urban Planning International, 2014, 29(4): 1-11. ]
[34] 席强敏. 城市效率与城市规模关系的实证分析——基于2001—2009年我国城市面板数据 [J]. 经济问题, 2012(10): 37-41. [XI Q M. Empirical research on the relationship between city efficiency and city size: Based on city panel data from 2001 to 2009 in China. Economic Problems, 2012(10): 37-41. ]