自然资源学报

自然资源学报 ›› 2015, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (1): 78-91.doi: 10.11849/zrzyxb.2015.01.007

• 资源经济 • 上一篇    下一篇

辽宁沿海经济带水资源边际效益测度及影响因素分析

盖美1, 郝慧娟2, 柯丽娜2, 田成诗3   

  1. 1. 辽宁师范大学 海洋经济与可持续发展中心, 辽宁大连116029;
    2. 辽宁师范大学 城市与环境学院, 辽宁大连116029;
    3. 东北财经大学统计学院, 辽宁大连116025
  • 收稿日期:2013-11-04 修回日期:2014-04-11 出版日期:2015-01-20 发布日期:2015-01-20
  • 作者简介:盖美(1971-),女,大连人,博士,教授,主要从事资源经济与可持续发展方面的研究.Email:gaimei71@163.com
  • 基金资助:
    辽宁省教育厅人文社会科学研究项目(ZJ2013024);国家社科基金重大项目(14ZDB130);辽宁经济社会发展研究基地项目(2015lsljdwt-20).

The Marginal Benefit of Water Resource Measure and Its Influence Factors in Liaoning Coastal Economic Belt

GAI Mei1, HAO Hui-juan2, KE Li-na2, TIAN Cheng-shi3   

  1. 1. Center for Studies of Marine Economy and Sustainable Development, Dalian 116029, China;
    2. College of Urban and Environmental Science, Liaoning Normal University, Dalian 116029, China;
    3. School of Statistics, Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, Dalian 116025, China
  • Received:2013-11-04 Revised:2014-04-11 Online:2015-01-20 Published:2015-01-20

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摘要： 水资源边际效益的研究对于辽宁沿海经济带可持续发展具有重要意义.基于边际效益的理论,将水资源作为生产要素,利用柯布-道格拉斯生产函数对辽宁沿海经济带2002—2011年的水资源利用边际效益进行了测算及时空差异分析,结果显示三次产业水资源利用边际效益逐年提高,农业、工业、第三产业用水边际效益多年平均值分别为4.11、82.30、154.93 元/m3,农业用水的边际效益明显低于工业和第三产业用水.在此基础上构建多元线性回归模型,探求水资源利用边际效益的关键性影响因素,得到农业用水边际效益影响因素:农业万元产值用水量、政府影响力、单位面积产量、化肥使用量,其中农业万元产值用水量对于农业用水边际效益的影响程度最强且为负向作用;工业用水边际效益影响因素:工业万元产值用水量、政府影响力、市场需求程度、工业废水排放达标量,且工业万元产值用水量对于工业用水边际效益的影响最大且为负向作用;第三产业用水边际效益影响因素:第三产业万元产值用水量、政府影响力、城市化水平、人均公园绿地面积,第三产业万元产值用水量和人均公园绿地面积对于第三产业用水边际效益影响程度较高,第三产业万元产值用水量为负向作用,人均公园绿地面积作用为正向作用.

Abstract: Water shortage has become a bottleneck to restrict the sustainable development of China's economy, especially in the Liaoning Coastal Economic Belt (LCEB). So the research on marginal effect of water resources is important and necessary for the sustainable development of LCEB. The theory of marginal effect is the cornerstone of this paper. To quantitatively analyze the impact of water resources on the regional output value based the three industries, the paper took water resource as the factors of production. And, in this study, the Cobb-Douglas function was employed in the computation of marginal revenues of water in LCEB over the period of 2002-2011. The results indicated that, in 2002-2011, the marginal effect of three industries increased year after year, and the marginal effects of agriculture, industry and the tertiary industry water was 4.11, 82.30 and 154.93 yuan/m3 respectively. The marginal effect of agriculture water was significantly less than that of industry and the tertiary industry water. Due to the different nature of the three industries, their influence factors are abundant and varied. To investigate the key factors of marginal effect for water resources, multiple linear regression model was built based on the results. Our model showed that the influence factors exactly revealed the impact of marginal effect of water resources, and the factors had both positive and negative effects. The results showed that: the factors that affected agricultural water were the water consumption of agricultural output value per ten thousand yuan, the influence of government, the yield per unit area, and the amount of fertilizer consumption; the factors affected marginal effect of industry were the water consumption of industrial output value per ten thousand yuan, the amount of industrial wastewater emission, the influence of government, and the degree of market demand; the factors affect marginal effect of the tertiary industrial water were the water consumption of the tertiary industry output value per ten thousand yuan, the level of urbanization, the influence of government, and park green area per capita.

中图分类号: 

  • F323.213