中国矿产资源基地划定指标体系构建与应用——以铁矿为例

doi:10.31497/zrzyxb.20211108

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

矿产资源基地是优化中国矿产资源勘查开发布局、保障国内资源有效供应的战略核心区域。在分析基地布局影响因素的基础上,从资源基础、开发条件、市场需求和国家战略等方面构建了矿产资源基地划定指标体系。其中资源基础包括预测资源量、查明资源储量和设计开采规模,开发条件包括缺水程度和交通优势度,市场需求包括后续冶炼加工企业布局与产值,国家战略主要体现为区域协调发展战略对矿产资源基地布局的要求。在此基础上,以铁矿为例开展了实证研究,采用聚类分析、核密度估计等方法对各单项指标进行了分析评价,在全国识别了辽宁鞍山—本溪等12个铁矿资源基地。研究结果可以为“十四五”时期中国矿产资源基地调整优化提供参考,对其他矿产资源空间政策区的划定具有一定借鉴意义。

关键词: 矿产资源基地, 指标体系, 铁矿, 核密度估计

Abstract:

Mineral resources bases are the strategic core area to optimize the layout of mineral resources exploration and development in China and ensure resources security. Based on the analysis of the influencing factors of mineral resources bases layout, this study formulated an index system to delimitate the mineral resources bases from the following four aspects: resource endowment, development conditions, market demand and national strategy. The resource endowment includes three indexes, namely, forecast resources, identified resources and development & utilization status quo; the development conditions include water shortage degree and transportation superiority; the market demand includes both the layout and output values of subsequent smelting and processing enterprises; the national strategy can be mainly reflected by the requirements of regional coordinated development strategy for the layout of mineral resources bases. On this basis, taking iron ore as an example, this paper carried out an empirical study on the delimitation of mineral resources bases to test the rationality of the index system. After evaluation of the resource endowment indexes by cluster analysis and kernel density estimation, and analysis of all the other indexes, twelve iron ore resources bases were identified through comprehensive judgment, including Anshan-Benxi of Liaoning, Eastern Hebei, Panzhihua-Xichang of Sichuan, Xinzhou-Luliang of Shanxi, Central-Western Shandong, Baotou of Inner Mongolia, Huoqiu and Ningwu-Luzong of Anhui, Southwest Hubei, Lancang of Yunnan, Tianshan and Western Kunlun of Xinjiang. The results provide some references for the adjustment and optimization of China's mineral resources bases for the "14th Five-year Plan", and might be significative to the delimitation of other mineral resources spatial policy areas.

Key words: mineral resources bases, index system, iron ore, kernel density estimation

张玉韩, 吴尚昆, 张寿庭, 王成福, 赵玉. 中国矿产资源基地划定指标体系构建与应用——以铁矿为例[J]. 自然资源学报, 2021, 36(11): 2825-2835.

ZHANG Yu-han, WU Shang-kun, ZHANG Shou-ting, WANG Cheng-fu, ZHAO Yu. The formulation and application of the index system for the delimitation of mineral resources bases in China: A case study of iron ore[J]. JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2021, 36(11): 2825-2835.

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目标层	准则层	指标层	指标功能
矿产资源基地布局	资源基础	预测资源量	反映矿产资源潜力
		查明资源储量	反映矿产资源储量
		设计开采规模	反映矿产资源产能
	开发条件	交通优势度	反映交通基础设施发展水平
	开发条件	缺水程度	反映支撑矿产开发的水资源供给条件
	市场需求	冶炼与压延加工业布局	反映产业链下游市场分布
	市场需求	冶炼与压延加工业产值	反映产业链下游市场需求程度
	国家战略	区域协调发展战略	反映国家发展战略对矿产资源勘查开发的需求