自然资源学报 ›› 2021, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (8): 2051-2064.doi: 10.31497/zrzyxb.20210811
收稿日期:
2020-04-27
修回日期:
2020-06-18
出版日期:
2021-08-28
发布日期:
2021-10-28
通讯作者:
张平宇(1966- ),男,吉林柳河人,博士,研究员,博士生导师,研究方向为城市与区域发展。E-mail: zhangpy@iga.ac.cn作者简介:
张梦朔(1994- ),男,山东济南人,硕士,研究方向为城市与区域发展。E-mail: zhangmengshuo_1994@163.com
基金资助:
ZHANG Meng-shuo1,2(), ZHANG Ping-yu1,2(
), LI He1,2
Received:
2020-04-27
Revised:
2020-06-18
Online:
2021-08-28
Published:
2021-10-28
摘要:
资源型城市经济转型仍然是当前我国城市发展的重大问题。基于资源型城市经济转型核心内涵,采用平衡计分卡和关键绩效指标思想方法,概括出资源型城市经济转型的绩效特征,进而构建包括“资源依赖、经济水平、生态效率、社会福利、创新驱动”五方面关键特征的五维评价法,选择能够准确反映经济转型关键过程和结果的少数关键参数作为评价指标,运用脱钩分析、超效率数据包络分析、回归分析、耦合度模型、熵权法、典型相关分析等计量模型,使绩效评价结果与经济转型真实机制相一致。以东北地区7个典型煤炭城市作为案例,运用五维评价法对这些城市2003年以来的经济转型进行绩效评价。结果发现:从转型效果看,7个城市都初步实现了经济增长驱动力的转换,其中辽源的第二产业发展绩效较好,辽源和阜新的产业演替绩效较好;从转型质量看,生态效率均显著提升,其中辽源、阜新、双鸭山提升了经济相对发展水平,实证检验表明7个城市的经济转型中,改善经济对社会福利的支持力不够;从最终目标实现程度看,7个城市的科技和创新水平都严重不足,经济增长趋缓,都未能实现经济转型最终目标。
张梦朔, 张平宇, 李鹤. 资源型城市经济转型绩效特征与评价方法——基于东北地区的实证研究[J]. 自然资源学报, 2021, 36(8): 2051-2064.
ZHANG Meng-shuo, ZHANG Ping-yu, LI He. Characteristics and evaluation methods of economic transformation performance of resource-based cities: An empirical study of Northeast China[J]. JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2021, 36(8): 2051-2064.
表2
东北地区煤炭城市2003—2017年就业结构演进情况
城市 | 就业增加最多的产业/万人 | 就业增长率最大的产业/% | 2017年就业比例最大的产业/% |
---|---|---|---|
抚顺 | 卫生、社会保险和社会福利业(0.44);房地产业(0.17) | 房地产业(72.74);卫生、社会保险和社会福利业(43.37) | 制造业(25.06);采掘业(12.74) |
阜新 | 金融业(0.52);卫生、社会保险和社会福利业(0.52) | 房地产业(120.22);金融业(74.70) | 公共管理和社会组织业(15.94);教育业(13.97) |
辽源 | 制造业(2.90);公共管理和社会组织业(0.33) | 制造业(163.76);房地产业(115.20) | 制造业(35.39);采掘业(13.56) |
鸡西 | 水利、环境和公共设施管理业(0.63);金融业(0.56) | 水利、环境和公共设施管理业(203.23);金融业(95.54) | 农林牧渔业(25.80);采掘业(16.14) |
鹤岗 | 卫生、社会保险和社会福利业(0.41);电力煤气及水生产供应业(0.29) | 租赁和商业服务业(200.00);信息传输、计算机服务和软件业(166.40) | 农林牧渔业(29.75);采掘业(19.03) |
双鸭山 | 公共管理和社会组织业(1.59);房地产业(0.66) | 房地产业(550.00);租赁和商业服务业(215.89) | 公共管理和社会组织业(24.11);采掘业(17.38) |
七台河 | 公共管理和社会组织业(0.30);卫生、社会保险和社会福利业(0.25) | 卫生、社会保险和社会福利业(106.21);信息传输、计算机服务和软件业(99.83) | 采掘业(39.45);公共管理和社会组织业(13.10) |
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