自然资源学报 ›› 2021, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (6): 1535-1544.doi: 10.31497/zrzyxb.20210614
收稿日期:
2020-05-29
修回日期:
2020-08-30
出版日期:
2021-06-28
发布日期:
2021-08-28
通讯作者:
孙晶(1982- ),男,天津人,博士,研究员,博士生导师,主要从事人地系统耦合机理与模拟研究。E-mail: sunjing@caas.cn作者简介:
刘航(1992- ),女,湖北恩施人,博士研究生,主要从事农情资源遥感研究。E-mail: liuhang@caas.cn
基金资助:
LIU Hang(), SHEN Ge, YANG Jing, WU Wen-bin, SUN Jing(
)
Received:
2020-05-29
Revised:
2020-08-30
Online:
2021-06-28
Published:
2021-08-28
摘要:
中美贸易争端背景下,评估中国大豆贸易对全球水和耕地资源的影响,对粮食安全和环境可持续意义重大。基于GTAP(Global Trade Analysis Project)模型,以中国及其主要大豆供应国(美国、巴西、阿根廷、乌拉圭、加拿大)为研究区,模拟中国对美国大豆加征关税前后的情景,评估相应情景下中国大豆进口对全球水和耕地资源的影响。结果表明:在加征关税前后情景下,中国大豆进口总量保持稳定,进口量中供应国之间占比变化较大,特别是加征关税后美国占比明显减少;虚拟耕地进口总量保持稳定,虚拟水进口总量减少;在全球尺度上,从巴西进口大豆水资源利用率最高、从美国进口大豆耕地资源利用率最高。取消除美国外其他四国关税可同时减少全球水和耕地资源的消耗。
刘航, 申格, 杨婧, 吴文斌, 孙晶. 中国大豆进口关税调整对全球水土资源转移的影响评估[J]. 自然资源学报, 2021, 36(6): 1535-1544.
LIU Hang, SHEN Ge, YANG Jing, WU Wen-bin, SUN Jing. Quantitative assessment of the impact of China's soybean import tariff adjustment on global water and farmland[J]. JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2021, 36(6): 1535-1544.
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