吉林省限制开发区域资源环境承载力综合评价

doi:10.31497/zrzyxb.20210308

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

综合运用P-S-R模型、熵权TOPSIS模型与障碍度模型等方法,以吉林省限制开发区域为研究对象,分析了2008—2016年吉林省限制开发区域资源环境承载力时空格局特征及其影响因素。结果表明：（1）研究期内吉林省限制开发区域资源环境承载力呈不断下降态势,资源环境承载力状况不尽理想;相反,吉林省限制开发区域资源环境承载力变异系数却逐步提升,区域差异逐渐扩大。（2）吉林省限制开发区域资源环境承载力空间上总体呈现出自西向东不断升高的特点。其中,压力指数空间上呈现中部高、东西两翼低的格局;状态指数则呈现中部低、东西两端高的空间格局;而响应指数东西空间分异特征显著,东部明显高于中、西部地区。（3）农村居民人均纯收入、人均粮食产量、人口密度、工业废水中COD去除率、森林覆盖率、城镇化率是阻碍吉林省限制开发区域资源环境承载力水平提升的关键因素。

关键词: 资源环境承载力, 时空格局, 限制开发区域, 吉林省

Abstract:

Based on the PSR model, the entropy weight TOPSIS model and the obstacle degree model, taking the restricted development zone of Jilin province as the research area, this paper analyzes the spatial-temporal pattern characteristics and the influencing factors of resources and environment carrying capacity in this province from 2008 to 2016. The results indicate that: (1) During the study period, resources and environment carrying capacity in restricted development zone of Jilin showed a gradual downward trend, and the resources and environment carrying capacity was not high. On the contrary, the variation coefficient of resources and environment carrying capacity in the study area continued to increase, and the difference of resources and environment carrying capacity of each county (city, district) gradually expanded. (2) The spatial differentiation of resources and environment carrying capacity in the restricted development zone is generally widening from west to east. In addition, the pressure index is high in the middle and low in the east and west, and the state index is low in the middle and high on both sides, and the response index east-west spatial differentiation is remarkable, and the difference in the east part is obviously higher than that of the central and western parts. (3) The per capita net income of rural residents, per capita food production, population density, removal rate of COD in industrial wastewater, forest coverage and urbanization rate are the key influencing factors that hinder the improvement of resources and environment carrying capacity in the study area.

Key words: resources and environment carrying capacity, spatial-temporal pattern, restricted development zone, Jilin province

孙永胜, 佟连军. 吉林省限制开发区域资源环境承载力综合评价[J]. 自然资源学报, 2021, 36(3): 634-645.

SUN Yong-sheng, TONG Lian-jun. Comprehensive evaluation of resources and environment carrying capacity in restricted development zone of Jilin province[J]. JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2021, 36(3): 634-645.

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目标层	准则层	指标层	作用方向	权重（2008年）	权重（2012年）	权重（2016年）
资源环境承载力	压力（P）	X₁人口密度/(人/km²)	-	0.0333	0.0347	0.0351
		X₂地均GDP/(万元/km²)	+	0.0736	0.0667	0.0749
		X₃固定资产投资密度/(万元/km²)	+	0.0874	0.0487	0.0772
		X₄万元GDP电耗/(kW·h/万元)	-	0.0085	0.0083	0.0133
		X₅万元GDP水耗/(m³/万元)	-	0.0144	0.0112	0.0169
		X₆万元工业增加值废水排放量/(t/万元)	-	0.0215	0.0108	0.0100
		X₇万元工业增加值废气排放量/(万标m³/万元)	-	0.0072	0.0160	0.0178
		X₈化肥使用强度/(t/hm²)	-	0.0222	0.0144	0.0181
	状态（S）	X₉森林覆盖率/%	+	0.1008	0.1021	0.1014
		X₁₀人均耕地面积/(hm²/人)	+	0.0509	0.0619	0.0630
		X₁₁人均水资源量/(m³/人)	+	0.1225	0.1293	0.1305
		X₁₂人均粮食产量/(t/人)	+	0.0612	0.0639	0.0597
		X₁₃非农产业产值占GDP比例/%	+	0.0232	0.1202	0.0143
		X₁₄城镇化率/%	+	0.0534	0.0597	0.0603
		X₁₅农村居民人均纯收入/元	+	0.0382	0.0369	0.0477
	响应（R）	X₁₆环境保护支出占GDP比例/%	+	0.0725	0.0624	0.0987
		X₁₇工业废水中COD去除率/%	+	0.0611	0.0367	0.0244
		X₁₈工业废气中烟粉尘去除率/%	+	0.0215	0.0089	0.0224
		X₁₉工业固体废物综合利用率/%	+	0.0280	0.0211	0.0212
		X₂₀人均社会消费品零售总额/(元/人)	+	0.0495	0.0389	0.0402
		X₂₁财政自给率/%	+	0.0490	0.0472	0.0529

年份	压力	状态	响应	资源环境承载力
2008	0.3365	0.2406	0.2308	0.1489
2012	0.2604	0.2856	0.2204	0.1844
2016	0.3135	0.2387	0.2689	0.1691