时空交互视角下淮海经济区城乡融合发展水平演化

doi:10.31497/zrzyxb.20200809

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 以淮海经济区为研究对象,界定城乡融合内涵,并构建多维指标体系,测度城乡融合发展水平,并探索时空演化特征及驱动机理。（1）在空间集聚方面,淮海经济区城乡融合发展水平集聚较为明显,并且集聚性整体呈现增强趋势。（2）在时空联动方面,具有相对动态的局部空间结构和相对稳定的空间依赖方向,同时空间格局演化方面具有较强的整合性;城市自身因素对城乡融合发展水平空间结构的改变影响较大,受相邻城市城乡融合发展水平的溢出效应的影响较小。（3）要素驱动模式方面,低分位驱动和高分位驱动城市的城乡融合发展水平变化受经济发展—城镇化驱动,低分位制约类型城市的城乡融合发展水平变化受城镇就业—政府行为制约,高分位制约类型城市的城乡融合发展水平变化受产业—政府行为制约。

关键词: 驱动模式, 城乡融合, 时空跃迁, 淮海经济区, 分位数回归

Abstract: Rural-urban integration is an inevitable trend of the development of rural-urban relations. Studies on urban-rural integration are the requirement for giving play to the comprehensive advantages of geography in order to serve the national strategy. This paper took Huaihai Economic Zone as the research object, constructed multi-dimensional index system, and measured the level of urban-rural integration. The characteristics of spatio-temporal evolution and its driving mechanism were also discussed. Some conclusions were drawn as follows. The difference of urban-rural integration level among cities in Huaihai Economic Zone was relatively small. The level of urban and rural integration showed the characteristics of agglomeration in space. For most cities, local spatial structure of urban-rural integration was more dynamic, and its fluctuation was relatively small. Spatial pattern evolution showed the characteristics of strong integration. Factors of the city itself had more influence on the change of spatial structure of urban-rural integration. It was less affected by the spillover effect of the level of urban-rural integration in neighboring cities. The change of urban-rural integration in the cities was driven by economic development and urbanization. The change of urban-rural integration in the cities, which was at low level, was restrained by urban employment and government action. The change of urban-rural integration in the cities, which was at high level, was restrained by industry and government action. Finally, different countermeasures and suggestions were put forward for different types of cities.

Key words: space-time transition, driving pattern, Huaihai Economic Zone, quantile regression, urban-rural integration

张新林, 仇方道, 朱传耿. 时空交互视角下淮海经济区城乡融合发展水平演化[J]. 自然资源学报, 2020, 35(8): 1867-1880.

ZHANG Xin-lin, QIU Fang-dao, ZHU Chuan-geng. Evolution of urban-rural integration in Huaihai Economic Zone from the perspective of spatio-temporal interaction[J]. JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2020, 35(8): 1867-1880.

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