自然资源学报 ›› 2019, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (6): 1157-1170.doi: 10.31497/zrzyxb.20190603
张英浩1,2,3(), 陈江龙1,2(
), 高金龙1,2,4, 蒋伟萱1,2,3
收稿日期:
2018-10-29
修回日期:
2019-02-27
出版日期:
2019-06-20
发布日期:
2019-06-20
作者简介:
作者简介:张英浩(1993- ),男,山东淄博人,硕士,主要从事区域发展与土地利用研究。E-mail:
基金资助:
Ying-hao ZHANG1,2,3(), Jiang-long CHEN1,2(
), Jin-long GAO1,2,4, Wei-xuan JIANG1,2,3
Received:
2018-10-29
Revised:
2019-02-27
Online:
2019-06-20
Published:
2019-06-20
摘要:
经济转型背景下,研究全球化、市场化和分权化等因素对城市土地利用效率的影响机制具有重要的理论价值。基于2000-2015年长三角地区各地区面板数据,构建城市土地利用效率测度指标体系,运用超效率DEA模型测算研究区域城市土地利用效率,利用空间计量模型对城市土地利用效率的影响机制进行实证研究,结果表明:(1)从时间演变特征来看,长三角地区的城市土地利用效率呈现出两阶段波动上升的趋势。(2)从空间分异特征来看,长三角地区城市土地利用效率呈现较为明显的区域差异,城市土地利用效率的高值区沿“沪宁—沪杭—杭甬”交通线分布,且这一空间特征较为稳定。(3)从第一阶段到第二阶段,全球化因素对长三角地区城市土地利用效率的推动作用不断增强;经济市场化因素的总效应呈现减弱趋势;财政分权在第一阶段对本地区的城市土地利用效率有显著的积极作用,对临近地区的城市土地利用效率有显著的消极作用,但到了第二阶段,这两种作用均变为不显著;土地财政在第一阶段对土地利用效率提升具有重要作用,但第二阶段随着土地的资本化加强,反而不利于土地利用效率的提升。(4)控制变量中,产业结构高级化水平对提高城市土地利用效率具有显著的推动作用;人口密度因素对城市土地利用效率的直接影响也愈发显著。
张英浩, 陈江龙, 高金龙, 蒋伟萱. 经济转型视角下长三角城市土地利用效率影响机制[J]. 自然资源学报, 2019, 34(6): 1157-1170.
Ying-hao ZHANG, Jiang-long CHEN, Jin-long GAO, Wei-xuan JIANG. The impact mechanism of urban land use efficiency in the Yangtze River Delta from the perspective of economic transition[J]. JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2019, 34(6): 1157-1170.
表2
空间计量模型的相关检验"
变量 | 2000-2008年 | 2009-2015年 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SLM | SEM | OLS | SLM | SEM | OLS | ||
W*dep.var | -0.279*** | -0.333** | |||||
Spat.aut | -0.016 | -0.078 | |||||
Intercept | -0.56 | -0.427 | |||||
Log.L | 30.168 | 27.887 | 23.427 | 35.842 | 27.887 | 27.851 | |
R-Square | 0.722 | 0.654 | 0.440 | 0.780 | 0.665 | 0.380 | |
LM-Lag | 5.521** | 3.864** | |||||
LM-Error | 1.037 | 0.620 | |||||
R-LM lag | 8.122*** | 7.031*** | |||||
R-LM error | 3.639* | 3.787* |
表3
经济转型视角下城市土地利用效率影响因素的空间面板模型回归结果"
变量 | 2000-2008年 | 2009-2015年 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Direct | Indirect | Total | Direct | Indirect | Total | ||
RFDI | 0.242** | 0.047*** | 0.289** | 0.234* | 0.118** | 0.352* | |
SG | 0.244** | -0.239 | 0.005*** | 0.121* | -0.109** | 0.012 | |
DSC | 0.345*** | -0.282*** | 0.063* | 0.164 | 0.108 | 0.272 | |
CRJ | 0.164* | 0.056 | 0.22** | -0.081* | 0.073** | -0.008** | |
CYJG | 0.174* | 0.161 | 0.335** | 0.370* | 0.158* | 0.528** | |
RKMD | 0.151* | 0.11 | 0.261 | 0.236** | -0.105* | 0.131 |
[1] | 张荣天, 焦华富. 长江经济带城市土地利用效率格局演变及驱动机制研究. 长江流域资源与环境, 2015, 24(3): 387-394. |
[ZHANG R T, JIAO H F.Urban land use efficiency pattern evolution and driving mechanism in the Yangtze River Economic Belt. Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin, 2015, 24(3): 387-394.] | |
[2] | 王良健, 李辉, 石川. 中国城市土地利用效率及其溢出效应与影响因素. 地理学报, 2015, 70(11): 1788-1799. |
[WANG L J, LI H, SHI C.Urban land-use efficiency, spatial spillover, and determinants in China. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2015, 70(11): 1788-1799.] | |
[3] | 刘传明, 李红, 贺巧宁. 湖南省土地利用效率空间差异及优化对策. 经济地理, 2010, 30(11): 1890-1896. |
[LIU C M, LI H, HE Q N.The spatial difference and optimizing countermeasures of land use efficiency in Hunan province. Economic Geography, 2010, 30(11): 1890-1896.] | |
[4] | 黎一畅, 周寅康, 吴林, 等. 城市土地集约利用的空间差异研究: 以江苏省为例. 南京大学学报: 自然科学版, 2006, 42(3): 309-315. |
[LI Y C, ZHOU Y K, WU L, et al.Spatial difference of urban land intensive use: A case study of Jiangsu province. Journal of Nanjing University: Natural Science, 2006, 42(3): 309-315.] | |
[5] | 李郇, 徐现祥, 陈浩辉. 20世纪90年代中国城市效率的时空变化. 地理学报, 2005, 60(4): 615-625. |
[LI X, XU X X, CHEN H H.Temporal and spatial changes of urban efficiency in the 1990s. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2005, 60(4): 615-625.] | |
[6] | 杨清可, 段学军, 叶磊, 等. 基于BM-Undesirable模型的城市土地利用效率评价: 以长三角地区16城市为例. 资源科学, 2014, 36(4): 712-721. |
[YANG Q K, DUAN X J, YE L, et al.Efficiency evaluation of city land utilization in the Yangtze River Delta using a SBM-Undesirable model. Resources Science, 2014, 36(4): 712-721.] | |
[7] | 李永乐, 舒帮荣, 吴群. 中国城市土地利用效率: 时空特征、地区差距与影响因素. 经济地理, 2014, 34(1): 133-139. |
[LI Y L, SHU B R, WU Q.Urban land use efficiency in China: Spatial and temporal characteristics, regional difference and influence factors. Economic Geography, 2014, 34(1): 133-139.] | |
[8] | 吴得文, 毛汉英, 张小雷, 等. 中国城市土地利用效率评价. 地理学报, 2011, 66(8): 1111-1121. |
[WU D W, MAO H Y, ZHANG X L, et al.Assessment of urban land use efficiency in China. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2011, 66(8): 1111-1121.] | |
[9] | 林坚, 马珣. 中国城市群土地利用效率测度. 城市问题, 2014, (5): 9-14, 60. |
[LIN J, MA X.Measurement of land use efficiency in Chinese urban agglomerations. Urban Problems, 2014, (5): 9-14, 60.] | |
[10] | 杨海泉, 胡毅, 王秋香. 2001-2012年中国三大城市群土地利用效率评价研究. 地理科学, 2015, 35(9): 1095-1100. |
[YANG H Q, HU Y, WANG Q X.Evaluation of land use efficiency in three major urban agglomerations of China in 2001-2012. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2015, 35(9): 1095-1100.] | |
[11] | 林丽群, 李娜, 李国煜, 等. 基于主体功能区的福建省城镇建设用地利用效率研究. 自然资源学报, 2018, 33(6): 1018-1028. |
[LI L Q, LI N, LI G Y, et al.Urban construction land-use efficiency evaluation based on the plan for major function-oriented zones in Fujian province. Journal of Natural Resources, 2018, 33(6): 1018-1028.] | |
[12] | 庄红卫, 李红. 湖南省不同区域开发区工业用地利用效率评价研究. 经济地理, 2011, 31(12): 2100-2104. |
[ZHUANG H W, LI H.The evaluation research of industrial land use efficiency of different regions development zone in Hunan. Economic Geography, 2011, 31(12): 2100-2104.] | |
[13] | 张立生. 县域城镇化时空演变及其影响因素: 以浙江省为例. 地理研究, 2016, 35(6): 1151-1163. |
[ZAHNG L S.Spatial-temporal evolution of country urbanization and its influencing factors in Zhejiang province. Geographical Research, 2016, 35(6): 1151-1163.] | |
[14] | 李佳佳, 罗能生. 城镇化进程对城市土地利用效率影响的双门槛效应分析. 经济地理, 2015, 35(7): 156-162. |
[LI J J, LUO N S.The double threshold effects of the urbanization process on urban land use efficiency. Economic Geography, 2015, 35(7): 156-162.] | |
[15] | 黄和平, 彭小琳. 脱钩视角下城市土地利用效率变化与提升策略: 以南昌市为例. 资源科学, 2016, 38(3): 493-500. |
[HUANG H P, PENG X L.Urban land use efficiency changes and improvement strategies from a decoupling perspective in Nanchang city. Resources Science, 2016, 38(3): 493-500.] | |
[16] | 罗能生, 彭郁, 罗富政. 土地市场化对城市土地综合利用效率的影响. 城市问题, 2016, (11): 21-28. |
[LUO N S, PENG Y, LUO F Z.The impact of land marketization on the efficiency of comprehensive utilization of urban land. Urban Problems, 2016, (11): 21-28.] | |
[17] | 李刚. 中国城市土地利用效率: 测度、演变机理与影响因素. 财经理论研究, 2015, (3): 33-38. |
[LI G.China urban land use average efficiency: Measure, evolution mechanism and influencing factors. Journal of Finance and Economics Theory, 2015, (3): 33-38.] | |
[18] | 贺灿飞, 刘作丽, 王亮. 经济转型与中国省区产业结构趋同研究. 地理学报, 2008, 63(8): 807-819. |
[HE C F, LIU Z L, WANG L.Economic transition and convergence of regional industrial structure in China. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2008, 63(8): 807-819.] | |
[19] | WU C, WEI Y D, HUANG X, et al.Economic transition, spatial development and urban land use efficiency in the Yangtze River Delta, China. Habitat International, 2017, 63: 67-78. |
[20] | BANKER R, CHARNES A, COOPER W W.Somemodels for estimating technical and scale in efficiencies in data envelopment analysis. Management Science, 1984, 30(9): 1078-1092. |
[21] | ANDERSEN P, PETERSEN N C.A procedure for ranking units in data envelopment analysis. Management Science, 1993, 39(10): 1261-1264. |
[22] | 曾贤刚, 李琪, 孙瑛, 等. 可持续发展新里程: 问题与探索: 参加“里约+20”联合国可持续发展大会之思考. 中国人口·资源与环境, 2012, 22(8): 41-47. |
[ZENG X G, LI Q, SUN Y, et al.New landmark of sustainable development: Questions and Explorations: Review on United Nations conference on sustainable development (the Rio+20). China Population, Resources and Environment, 2012, 22(8): 41-47.] | |
[23] | HU J L, KAO C H.Efficient energy-saving targets for APEC economies. Energy Policy, 2007, 35(1): 373-382. |
[24] | CHIEN T, HU J L.Renewable energy and macroeconomic efficiency of OECD and non-OECD economies. Energy Policy, 2007, 35(7): 3606-3615. |
[25] | 钱争鸣, 刘晓晨. 中国绿色经济效率的区域差异与影响因素分析. 中国人口·资源与环境, 2013, 23(7): 104-109. |
[QIAN Z M, LIU X C.Regional differences in China's green economic efficiency and their determinants. China Population, Resources and Environment, 2013, 23(7): 104-109.] | |
[26] | 单豪杰. 中国资本存量K的再估算: 1952-2006年. 数量经济技术经济研究, 2008, 25(10): 17-31. |
[SHAN H J.Reestimating the capital stock of China: 1952-2006. The Journal of Quantitative & Technical Economics, 2008, 25(10): 17-31.] | |
[27] | 柯善咨, 向娟. 1996-2009年中国城市固定资本存量估算. 统计研究, 2012, 29(7): 21-26. |
[KE S Z, XIANG J.Estimation of the fixed capital stocks in Chinese cities for 1996-2009. Statistical Research, 2012, 29(7): 21-26.] | |
[28] | 杨海文. 空间计量模型的选择、估计及其应用. 南昌: 江西财经大学博士学位论文, 2015. |
[YANG H W.Selection, estimation and application of spatial econometrics model. Nanchang: Jiangxi University of Finance doctoral dissertation, 2015.] | |
[29] | ANSENLIN L.Spatial effects in econometric practice in environmental and resource economics. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2001, 83(3): 705-710. |
[30] | GOODCHILD M F.The national center for geographic information and analysis. Photogrammetric Engineering and Remote Sensing, 1992, 58(8): 1141. |
[31] | 黄金川, 林浩曦, 陈明. 2000-2013年中国城市群经济绩效动态实证分析: 基于DEA和Malmquist生产率指数法. 地理科学进展, 2017, 36(6): 685-696. |
[HUANG J C, LIN H X, CHEN M.The dynamics and empirical analysis of input and output efficiency of urban agglomerations in China, 2000-2013: Based on the DEA model and Malmquist index method. Progress in Geography, 2017, 36(6): 685-696.] | |
[32] | 裴长洪, 彭磊, 郑文. 转变外贸发展方式的经验与理论分析: 中国应对国际金融危机冲击的一种总结. 中国社会科学, 2011, (1): 77-87. |
[PEI C H, PENG L, ZHENG W.Transforming the foreign trade development mode: An empirical and theoretical analysis. Social Sciences in China, 2011, (1): 77-87.] | |
[33] | 金洪飞, 万兰兰, 张翅. 国际金融危机对中国出口贸易的影响. 国际金融研究, 2011, (9): 58-68. |
[JIN H J, WAN L L, ZHANG C.The impact of international financial crisis on China's export trade. Studies of International Finance, 2011, (9): 58-68.] | |
[34] | GAO J L, WEI Y D, CHEN W, et al.Economic transition and urban land expansion in provincial China. Habitat International, 2014, 44: 461-473. |
[35] | 贺灿飞. 经济转型地理研究. 北京: 经济科学出版社, 2017: 12-36. |
[HE C F.Geographical Research of Transitional Economic in China. Beijing: Economic Science Press, 2017: 12-36.] | |
[36] | GARRERTT R D, LAMBIN E F, NAYLOR R L.The new economic geography of land use change: Supply chain configurations and land use in the Brazilian Amazon. Land Use Policy, 2013, 34: 265-275. |
[37] | YEH G O, FU L W U. The new land development process and urban development in Chinese cities. International Journal of Urban & Regional Research, 1996, 20(2): 330-353. |
[38] | 杨红梅, 刘卫东, 刘红光. 土地市场发展对土地集约利用的影响. 中国人口·资源与环境, 2011, 21(12): 129-133. |
[YANG H M, LIU W D, LIU H G.Economic transition and convergence of regional industrial structure in China. China Population, Resources and Environment, 2011, 21(12): 129-133.] | |
[39] | WEI Y D.Decentralization, marketization, and globalization: The triple processes underlying regional development in China. Asian Geographer, 2001, 20(1-2): 7-23. |
[40] | 贺灿飞, 王俊松. 经济转型与中国省区能源强度研究. 地理科学, 2009, 29(4): 461-469. |
[HE C F, WANG J S.Economic transition and energy intensity in China. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2009, 29(4): 461-469.] | |
[41] | ZHU J.Governance over land development during rapid urbanization under institutional uncertainty, with reference to peri-urbanization in Guangzhou metropolitan region, China. Environment and Planning C: Government and Policy, 2013, 31(2): 257-275. |
[42] | ZHOU H.Fiscal decentralization and the development of the tobacco industry in China. China Economic Review, 2000, 11(2): 114-133. |
[43] | LI H, ZHOU L A.Political turnover and economic performance: The incentive role of personnel control in China. Journal of Public Economics, 2005, 89(9-10): 1743-1762. |
[44] | 曲福田, 冯淑怡, 诸培新, 等. 制度安排、价格机制与农地非农化研究. 经济学季刊, 2004, 4(4): 229-248. |
[QU F T, FENG S Y, ZHU P X, et al.Institutional arrangements, price system and farmland conversion. China Economic Quarterly, 2004, 4(4): 229-248.] | |
[45] | TIAN L, MA W.Government intervention in city development of China: A tool of land supply. Land Use Policy, 2009, 26(3): 599-609. |
[46] | 曲福田, 陈江龙, 陈雯. 农地非农化经济驱动机制的理论分析与实证研究. 自然资源学报, 2005, 20(2): 231-241. |
[QU F T, CHEN J L, CHEN W.Theoretical and empirical study on the land conversion economic driving forces. Journal of Natural Resources, 2005, 20(2): 231-241.] | |
[47] | HO S P S, LIN G C S. Emerging land markets in rural and urban China: Policies and practices. The China Quarterly, 2003, 175: 681-707. |
[48] | 朱丽娜, 石晓平. 中国土地出让制度改革对地方财政收入的影响分析. 中国土地科学, 2010, 24(7): 23-29. |
[ZHU L N, SHI X P.Impacts of land transfer system reform on local fiscal revenues in China. China Land Sciences, 2010, 24(7): 23-29.] | |
[49] | ZHANG T, ZOU H F.Fiscal decentralization, public spending, and economic growth in China. Journal of Public Economics, 1998, 67(2): 221-240. |
[50] | 张志辉. 中国城市土地利用效率研究. 数量经济技术经济研究, 2014, 31(7): 134-149. |
[ZHANG Z H.Study of Chinese urban land use efficiency. The Journal of Quantitative & Technical Economics, 2014, 31(7): 134-149.] | |
[51] | CHEN J, GAO J, CHEN W.Urban land expansion and the transitional mechanisms in Nanjing, China. Habitat International, 2016, 53: 274-283. |
[52] | 赵小风, 黄贤金, 陈逸, 等. 城市土地集约利用研究进展. 自然资源学报, 2010, 25(11): 1979-1996. |
[ZHAO X F, HUANG X J, CHEN Y, et al.Research progress in urban land intensive use. Journal of Natural Resources, 2010, 25(11): 1979-1996.] |
[1] | 车冰清, 朱传耿, 仇方道. 淮海经济区城乡空间融合格局及形成机制[J]. 自然资源学报, 2020, 35(8): 1897-1907. |
[2] | 蒋海兵, 张文忠, 余建辉. 可达性对资源枯竭城市经济转型发展成效的作用机制[J]. 自然资源学报, 2020, 35(2): 257-268. |
[3] | 徐美, 刘春腊. 区域经济转型度的内涵及其评价——以湘西地区为例[J]. 自然资源学报, 2015, 30(10): 1675-1685. |
[4] | 孙才志, 赵良仕, 邹玮. 中国省际水资源全局环境技术效率测度及其空间效应研究[J]. 自然资源学报, 2014, 29(4): 553-563. |
|