自然资源学报 ›› 2019, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (3): 646-657.doi: 10.31497/zrzyxb.20190317
孙美平1,2(), 张海瑜1, 巩宁刚1, 闫露霞1, 赵琳林1
收稿日期:
2018-09-29
修回日期:
2018-12-28
出版日期:
2019-03-28
发布日期:
2019-03-28
作者简介:
作者简介:孙美平(1982- ),女,辽宁沈阳人,博士,副教授,主要从事寒区旱区气候变化及水文过程方面研究。E-mail: sunmeiping1982@163.com
基金资助:
SUN Mei-ping1,2(), ZHANG Hai-yu1, GONG Ning-gang1, YAN Lu-xia1, ZHAO Lin-lin1
Received:
2018-09-29
Revised:
2018-12-28
Online:
2019-03-28
Published:
2019-03-28
摘要:
采用TRMM卫星反演月降水数据和气象台站实测降水数据,通过误差评估等数理统计方法验证数据,并结合Kriging法对TRMM降水数据进行订正,以此研究了祁连山地区最大降水高度带的时空变化。结果表明:(1)TRMM降水数据在祁连山地区的整体适用性较好。其中TRMM降水数据与台站实测值的年均降水量相关系数达0.94;季节平均降水量的相关系数分别为春季(0.87)、夏季(0.89)、秋季(0.88)、冬季(0.70)。(2)祁连山地区27个气象台站实测值与TRMM降水数据的相关性较好,但在个别台站误差较大且存在低值高估、高值低估的现象。(3)祁连山地区年均降水量自东向西呈减少趋势。东、中、西三段最大降水高度带分别为4100 m、4500 m、4700 m,年均降水量的垂直变化率分别为16.6 mm/100 m、10.8 mm/100 m、9.8 mm/100 m。(4)1998-2016年祁连山地区东、中、西三段降水量均呈波动增加,最大降水高度带也呈波动上升趋势,祁连山地区年内各季节最大降水高度带按夏、春、秋、冬的次序降低。
孙美平, 张海瑜, 巩宁刚, 闫露霞, 赵琳林. 基于TRMM降水订正数据的祁连山地区最大降水高度带研究[J]. 自然资源学报, 2019, 34(3): 646-657.
SUN Mei-ping, ZHANG Hai-yu, GONG Ning-gang, YAN Lu-xia, ZHAO Lin-lin. Study on maximum precipitation height zone in Qilian Mountains area based on TRRM precipitation data[J]. JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2019, 34(3): 646-657.
表1
祁连山地区1998-2016年TRMM降水与台站实测降水精度评价"
编号 | 站名 | 海拔/m | R | ME/mm | RMSE/mm | 编号 | 站名 | 海拔/m | R | ME/mm | RMSE/mm |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 敦煌 | 1118.5 | 0.86 | 2.9 | 9.6 | 15 | 大柴旦 | 3173.2 | 0.71 | 25.0 | 36.4 |
2 | 瓜州 | 1170.9 | 0.78 | 5.8 | 14.9 | 16 | 德令哈 | 2981.5 | 0.93 | -13.5 | 25.6 |
3 | 玉门 | 1526.0 | 0.92 | 8.8 | 17.6 | 17 | 刚察 | 3301.5 | 0.78 | -6.4 | 41.4 |
4 | 金塔 | 1249.5 | 0.71 | 33.9 | 40.1 | 18 | 门源 | 2850.0 | 0.89 | 19.1 | 35.4 |
5 | 酒泉 | 1477.1 | 0.84 | 58.6 | 61.1 | 19 | 格尔木 | 2807.6 | 0.82 | 64.9 | 68.1 |
6 | 张掖 | 1482.7 | 0.58 | 172.4 | 175.9 | 20 | 诺木洪 | 2790.4 | 0.73 | 53.7 | 58.1 |
7 | 山丹 | 1364.6 | 0.81 | 14.3 | 27.5 | 21 | 都兰 | 3191.1 | 0.80 | -24.2 | 42.9 |
8 | 武威 | 1531.5 | 0.15 | 85.1 | 102.2 | 22 | 共和 | 2835.0 | 0.68 | 15.9 | 38.7 |
9 | 临夏 | 1517.2 | 0.76 | -61.8 | 86.9 | 23 | 西宁 | 2295.2 | 0.95 | -2.9 | 18.9 |
10 | 乌鞘岭 | 3045.1 | 0.81 | -15.6 | 40.0 | 24 | 永昌 | 1926.9 | 0.88 | 4.9 | 18.9 |
11 | 景泰 | 1631.0 | 0.64 | 36.6 | 61.0 | 25 | 兰州 | 1630.9 | 0.93 | -5.4 | 54.1 |
12 | 冷湖 | 2770.0 | 0.71 | 11.9 | 14.2 | 26 | 乌兰 | 3087.6 | 0.49 | -40.8 | 68.4 |
13 | 托勒 | 3367.0 | 0.76 | 3.1 | 28.6 | 27 | 祁连 | 2787.4 | 0.69 | 38.4 | 70.8 |
14 | 野牛沟 | 3320.0 | 0.85 | -2.5 | 36.9 |
表1
祁连山地区1998-2016年TRMM降水与台站实测降水精度评价"
编号 | 站名 | 海拔/m | R | ME/mm | RMSE/mm | 编号 | 站名 | 海拔/m | R | ME/mm | RMSE/mm |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 敦煌 | 1118.5 | 0.86 | 2.9 | 9.6 | 15 | 大柴旦 | 3173.2 | 0.71 | 25.0 | 36.4 |
2 | 瓜州 | 1170.9 | 0.78 | 5.8 | 14.9 | 16 | 德令哈 | 2981.5 | 0.93 | -13.5 | 25.6 |
3 | 玉门 | 1526.0 | 0.92 | 8.8 | 17.6 | 17 | 刚察 | 3301.5 | 0.78 | -6.4 | 41.4 |
4 | 金塔 | 1249.5 | 0.71 | 33.9 | 40.1 | 18 | 门源 | 2850.0 | 0.89 | 19.1 | 35.4 |
5 | 酒泉 | 1477.1 | 0.84 | 58.6 | 61.1 | 19 | 格尔木 | 2807.6 | 0.82 | 64.9 | 68.1 |
6 | 张掖 | 1482.7 | 0.58 | 172.4 | 175.9 | 20 | 诺木洪 | 2790.4 | 0.73 | 53.7 | 58.1 |
7 | 山丹 | 1364.6 | 0.81 | 14.3 | 27.5 | 21 | 都兰 | 3191.1 | 0.80 | -24.2 | 42.9 |
8 | 武威 | 1531.5 | 0.15 | 85.1 | 102.2 | 22 | 共和 | 2835.0 | 0.68 | 15.9 | 38.7 |
9 | 临夏 | 1517.2 | 0.76 | -61.8 | 86.9 | 23 | 西宁 | 2295.2 | 0.95 | -2.9 | 18.9 |
10 | 乌鞘岭 | 3045.1 | 0.81 | -15.6 | 40.0 | 24 | 永昌 | 1926.9 | 0.88 | 4.9 | 18.9 |
11 | 景泰 | 1631.0 | 0.64 | 36.6 | 61.0 | 25 | 兰州 | 1630.9 | 0.93 | -5.4 | 54.1 |
12 | 冷湖 | 2770.0 | 0.71 | 11.9 | 14.2 | 26 | 乌兰 | 3087.6 | 0.49 | -40.8 | 68.4 |
13 | 托勒 | 3367.0 | 0.76 | 3.1 | 28.6 | 27 | 祁连 | 2787.4 | 0.69 | 38.4 | 70.8 |
14 | 野牛沟 | 3320.0 | 0.85 | -2.5 | 36.9 |
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