[1] 朱诚, 姜逢清, 吴立, 等. 对全球气候变化背景下长三角地区城镇化发展科学问题的思考[J]. 地理学报, 2017, 72(4): 633-645. [ZHU C, JIANG F Q, WU L, et al.On the problems of urbanization in the Yangtze River Delta under the background of global change. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2017, 72(4): 633-645. ] [2] 刘敏, 许世远, 侯立军, 等. 长江三角洲土地利用/覆被动态变化及其环境效益[J]. 资源科学, 2010, 32(8): 1533-1537. [LIU M, XU S Y, HOU L J, et al.Dynamic variations and environmental effects of land use and land cover change in the Yangtze Delta Region. Resources Science, 2010, 32(8): 1533-1537. ] [3] QUAN R S.Risk assessment of flood disaster in Shanghai based on spatial-temporal characteristics analysis from 251 to 2000[J]. Environmental Earth Sciences, 2014, 72(11): 4627-4638. [4] QUAN R S.Rainstorm waterlogging risk assessment in central urban area of Shanghai based on multiple scenario simulation[J]. Natural Hazards, 2014, 73(3): 1569-1585. [5] 权瑞松, 刘敏, 侯立军, 等. 土地利用动态变化对地表径流的影响——以上海浦东新区为例[J]. 灾害学, 2009, 24(1): 44-49. [QUAN R S, LIU M, HOU L J, et al.Impact of land use dynamic change on surface runoff: A case study on Shanghai Pudong New District. Journal of Catastrophology, 2009, 24(1): 44-49. ] [6] QUAN R S, LIU M, LU M, et al.Waterlogging risk assessment based on land use/cover change: A case study in Pudong New Area, Shanghai[J]. Environmental Earth Sciences, 2010, 61(6): 1113-1121. [7] 丁文峰, 张平仓, 陈杰. 城市化过程中的水环境问题研究综述[J]. 长江科学院院报, 2006, 23(4): 21-24. [DING W F, ZHANG P C, CHEN J.Review of water environment problem during process of urbanization. Journal of Yangtze River Scientific Research Institute, 2006, 23(4): 21-24. ] [8] 权瑞松, 刘敏, 张丽佳, 等. 基于情景模拟的上海中心城区建筑暴雨内涝暴露性评价[J]. 地理科学, 2011, 31(2): 148-152. [QUAN R S, LIU M, ZHANG L J, et al.Exposure assessment of rainstorm waterlogging on buildings in central urban area of Shanghai based on scenario simulation. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2011, 31(2): 148-152. ] [9] 程江, 杨凯, 刘兰岚, 等. 上海中心城区土地利用变化对区域降雨径流的影响研究[J]. 自然资源学报, 2010, 25(6): 914-925. [CHENG J, YANG K, LIU L L, et al.Impact of 60 years land use change on rainfall-runoff in central Shanghai. Journal of Natural Resources, 2010, 25(6): 914-925. ] [10] 刘兰岚. 上海市中心城区土地利用变化对径流的影响及其水环境效应研究 [D]. 上海: 华东师范大学, 2007. [LIU L L.Impacts of Land Use Change on Runoff of Shanghai Central City and Relevant Environmental Effects. Shanghai: East China Normal University, 2007. ] [11] 欧定华, 夏建国. 城市近郊区景观格局变化特征、潜力与模拟——以成都市龙泉驿区为例[J]. 地理研究, 2016, 35(3): 534-550. [OU D H, XIA J G.Characteristics, potential and simulation of landscape pattern change in peri-urban areas: A case of Longquanyi District, Chengdu city. Geographical Research, 2016, 35(3): 534-550. ] [12] YULIANTO F, PRASASTI I, PASARIBU J M, et al.The dynamics of land use/land cover change modeling and their implication for the flood damage assessment in the Tondano Watershed, North Sulawesi, Indonesia[J]. Modeling Earth Systems and Environment, 2016, 2(1), 47. doi: 10.1007/s40808-016-0100-3. [13] 张俊平, 李净. 基于CA-Markov模型的甘州区土地利用变化预测分析[J]. 中国农学通报, 2017, 33(4): 105-110. [ZHANG J P, LI J.Prediction and analysis of land use change based on CA-Markov model in Ganzhou District. Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin, 2017, 33(4): 105-110. ] [14] 陈学, 朱康文, 雷波. 基于CA-Markov模型的土地利用/覆被变化模拟[J]. 环境影响评价, 2016, 38(4): 61-65. [CHEN X, ZHU K W, LEI B.Spatial and temporal variation characteristics of fractional vegetation coverage in Chongqing from 2000 to 2015. Environmental Impact Assessment, 2016, 38(4): 61-65. ] [15] FEINSTEIN A R, CICCHETTI D V.High agreement but low Kappa: I. The problems of two paradoxes[J]. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 1990, 43(6): 543-549. [16] CICCHETTI D V, FEINSTEIN A R.High agreement but low Kappa: II. Resolving the paradoxes[J]. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 1990, 43(6): 551-558. [17] YIN J, YIN Z E, HU X M, et al.Multiple scenario analyses forecasting the confounding impacts of sea level rise and tides from storm induced coastal flooding in the city of Shanghai, China[J]. Environmental Earth Sciences, 2011, 63(2): 407-414. [18] 方创琳. 改革开放30年来中国的城市化与城镇发展[J]. 经济地理, 2009, 29(1): 19-25. [FANG C L.The urbanization and urban development in China after the reform and opening-up. Economic Geography, 2009, 29(1): 19-25. ] [19] 刘敏, 王军, 殷杰, 等. 上海城市安全与综合防灾系统研究[J]. 上海城市规划, 2016(1): 1-8. [LIU M, WANG J, YIN J, et al.Study on the urban safety and comprehensive disaster prevention in Shanghai. Shanghai Urban Planning, 2016(1): 1-8. ] [20] CHEN X S, WANG W B, LIANG H, et al.Dynamics of ruderal species diversity under the rapid urbanization over the past half century in Harbin, Northeast China[J]. Urban Ecosystems, 2014, 17(2): 455-472. |