气候变化及人类活动对地表径流改变的贡献率及其量化方法研究进展

doi:10.11849/zrzyxb.20170261

自然资源学报 ›› 2018, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (5): 899-910.doi: 10.11849/zrzyxb.20170261

所属专题：气候变化与地表过程

• 综述 • 上一篇

气候变化及人类活动对地表径流改变的贡献率及其量化方法研究进展

黄斌斌¹, 郝成元^1,*, 李若男², 郑华^2,3

1. 河南理工大学测绘与国土信息工程学院,河南焦作 454000;
2. 中国科学院生态环境研究中心城市与区域生态国家重点实验室,北京 100085;
3. 中国科学院大学,北京 100049

收稿日期:2017-03-31 修回日期:2017-09-26 出版日期:2018-05-20 发布日期:2018-05-20
通讯作者: *郝成元（1969- ）,男,山东曹县人,博士,教授,主要研究方向为自然地理综合研究、土地利用/土地覆被变化。E-mail: haocy@hpu.edu.cn
作者简介:黄斌斌（1993- ）,男,安徽合肥人,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为3S理论技术与应用。Email: 1020372231@qq.com
基金资助:
中国科学院科技服务网络计划项目（KFJ-STS-ZDTP-03）; 国家重点研发计划项目（2016YFC0503401）

Research Progress on the Quantitative Methods of Calculating Contribution Rates of Climate Change and Human Activities to Surface Runoff Changes

HUANG Bin-bin¹, HAO Cheng-yuan¹, LI Ruo-nan², ZHENG Hua^2,3

1. College of Surveying and Land Information Engineering, Henan Polytechnic University, Jiaozuo 454000, China;
2. State Key Laboratory of Urban and Regional Ecology, Research Centre for Eco-Environmental Sciences, CAS, Beijing 100085, China;
3. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049

Received:2017-03-31 Revised:2017-09-26 Online:2018-05-20 Published:2018-05-20
Supported by:
Science and Technology Service Network Initiative, No. KFJ-STS-ZDTP-03; National Key Research and Development Programs, No. 2016YFC0503401.

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

地表径流的变化受气候变化和人类活动的双重驱动力作用,定量评估气候变化及人类活动对地表径流变化的影响对水资源管理具有重大意义。论文以水文循环过程为主线,分过程阐述气候变化及人类活动影响地表径流发生变化的机制机理,对各种量化二者对地表径流变化贡献率的方法进行比较,然后分析全球部分流域气候变化和人类活动对地表径流变化影响的差异。研究结果表明：1）气候变化和人类活动参与水文循环的各个过程之中,不同水文过程中气候变化和人类活动影响地表径流变化的途径不同;2）不同量化方法的适用范围和条件不同,不同方法对同一流域的研究结果可能不一致;3）全球不同流域间气候变化和人类活动对地表径流变化贡献率存在明显区域差异。现阶段,综合多种突变检验方法有利于提高识别地表径流突变点的准确率;消除干扰因素（如气象水文等数据选取、模型方法参数设置和方法本身不确定性）有利于提高同一流域不同量化方法评估结果的一致性;如何更好地耦合基于物理的水文模型方法和基于数学的经验统计方法来量化二者对地表径流变化的贡献率是未来研究的重点。

关键词: 地表径流变化, 量化方法, 气候变化, 区域分异, 人类活动

Abstract:

Surface runoff change is affected by climate change and human activities. Quantitative assessment the impacts of climate change and human activities on surface runoff changes is significant for water resources management. This paper analyzes the mechanism that climate change and human activities affect the change of surface runoff based on the process of hydrological cycle and compares the methods that separate the impacts of climate change and human activities. Then, the paper analyzes the differences of the contribution rates of climate change and human activities on surface runoff of some watersheds on globe. At present, integrating multiple mutation test methods is beneficial for improving the accuracy in identifying the abrupt change point of surface runoff. Eliminating the interference factors (such as the selection of meteorological and hydrological data, the parameter setting of model method and inherent uncertainty of methods) is of great significance to improve the consistency of the results of different quantitative methods. The key of future research is to find ways that could better couple the physical hydrological model methods and mathematical empirical methods to separate the impact of climate change and human activities on the change of surface runoff.

Key words: climate change, human activity, quantitative methods, regional difference, surface runoff change

中图分类号:

P333

黄斌斌, 郝成元, 李若男, 郑华. 气候变化及人类活动对地表径流改变的贡献率及其量化方法研究进展[J]. 自然资源学报, 2018, 33(5): 899-910.

HUANG Bin-bin, HAO Cheng-yuan, LI Ruo-nan, ZHENG Hua. Research Progress on the Quantitative Methods of Calculating Contribution Rates of Climate Change and Human Activities to Surface Runoff Changes[J]. JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2018, 33(5): 899-910.

参考文献

[1] HUNTINGTON T G.Evidence for intensification of the global water cycle: Review and synthesis[J]. Journal of Hydrology, 2006, 319: 83-95.
[2] 刘佳凯, 张振明, 鄢郭馨, 等. 潮白河流域径流对降雨的多尺度响应[J]. 中国水土保持科学, 2016, 14(4): 50-59.
[LIU J K, ZHANG Z M, YAN G X, et al.Multi-scale analysis on precipitation-runoff relationship in Chaobaihe Basin. Science of Soil and Water Conservation, 2016, 14(4): 50-59. ]
[3] SHRESTHA N K, DU X Z, WANG J Y.Assessing climate change impacts on fresh water resources of the Athabasca River Basin, Canada[J]. Science of the Total Environment, 2017, 601: 425-440.
[4] PIERI L, RONDINI D, VENTURA F.Changes in the rainfall-streamflow regimes related to climate change in a small catchment in northern Italy[J]. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 2017, 129(3/4): 1075-1087.
[5] WU J, MIAO C, ZHANG X, et al.Detecting the quantitative hydrological response to changes in climate and human activities[J]. The Science of the Total Environment, 2017, 586: 328-337.
[6] 刘慧娟, 卫伟, 王金满, 等. 城市典型下垫面产流过程模拟实验[J]. 资源科学, 2015, 37(11): 2219-2227.
[LIU H J, WEI W, WANG J M, et al.Experimental study on typical city underlyings runoff process. Resources Science, 2015, 37(11): 2219-2227. ]
[7] 苏忖安, 松同清, 王文丽, 等. 模拟降雨对亚热带阔叶林土壤坡面产沙产流及养分流失的影响[J]. 水土保持学报, 2016, 30(4): 25-32.
[SU C A, SONG T Q, WANG W L, et al.Research on runoff, sediment and nutrients loss characteristics on soil slope of subtropical evergreen broad-leaved forest under artificial simulated rainfall. Journal of Soil and Water Conservation, 2016, 30(4): 25-32. ]
[8] 王永磊, 李振, 景雪, 等. 均匀降雨条件下不同下垫面产汇流特性试验研究[J]. 中国农村水利水电, 2012(2): 38-41.
[WANG Y L, LI Z, JING X, et al.Research on runoff-producing and flow concentration characteristics of different underlying surfaces under uniform rainfall conditions. China Rural Water and Hydropower, 2012(2): 38-41. ]
[9] SHEM W, SHEPHERD M.On the impact of urbanization on summertime thunderstorms in Atlanta: Two numerical model case studies[J]. Atmospheric Research, 2009, 92(2): 172-189.
[10] NTELEKOS A A, SMITH J A, DONNER L, et al.The effects of aerosols on intense convective precipitation in the northeastern United States[J]. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2009, 135(643): 1367-1391.
[11] SORG A, BOLCH T, STOFFEL M, et al.Climate change impacts on glaciers and runoff in Tien Shan (Central Asia)[J]. Nature Climate Change, 2012, 2(10): 725-731.
[12] DIMRI A P, THAYYEN R J, KIBLER K, et al.A review of atmospheric and land surface processes with emphasis on flood generation in the southern Himalayan rivers[J]. Science of the Total Environment, 2016, 556: 98-115.
[13] ZHANG Y Q, LUO Y, SUN L, et al.Using glacier area ratio to quantify effects of melt water on runoff[J]. Journal of Hydrology, 2016, 538: 269-277.
[14] WU F, ZHAN J Y, WANG Z, et al. Streamflow variation due to glacier melting and climate change in upstream Heihe River Basin, Northwest China [J]. Physics & Chemistry of the Earth, Parts A/B/C, 2015, 79/80/81/82: 11-19.
[15] 卫伟, 陈利顶, 傅伯杰, 等. 半干旱黄土丘陵沟壑区降水特征值和下垫面因子影响下的水土流失规律[J]. 生态学报, 2006, 26(11): 3847-3853.
[WEI W, CHEN L D, FU B J, et al.Mechanism of soil and water loss under rainfall and earth surface characteristics in a semiarid loess hilly area. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2006, 26(11): 3847-3853. ]
[16] 王栋, 张洪江, 程金花, 等. 用灰色关联法分析重庆缙云山林冠截留量影响因素[J]. 水土保持研究, 2007, 14(6): 276-279.
[WANG D, ZHANG H J, CHENG J H, et al.Grey correlation analysis on factors influencing canopy interception in Jinyun Mountain in Chongqing. Research of Soil and Water Conservation, 2007, 14(6): 276-279. ]
[17] 郝红敏, 路荣, 贾超, 等. 水蚀风蚀交错带黑沙蒿灌丛斑块种群结构及动态特征研究[J]. 西北植物学报, 2017, 37(4): 773-781.
[HAO H M, LU R, JIA C, et al.Structure and dynamic characteristics of shrub patch of Artemisia ordosica in the cross areas of wind-water erosion. Acta Botanica Boreali-Occidentalia Sinica, 2017, 37(4): 773-781. ]
[18] 郑世清, 王占礼, 陈文亮, 等. 坡地开垦对水土流失的影响[J]. 水土保持通报, 1986, 6(3): 55-56.
[ZHENG S Q, WANG Z L, CHEN W L, et al.Effects of slope reclamation on soil and water loss. Bulletin of Soil and Water Conservation, 1986, 6(3): 55-56. ]
[19] 李娟, 高建恩, 张元星, 等. 黄土高原泾河流域梯田对河道径流及生态基流影响[J]. 水土保持通报, 2015, 35(5): 106-110.
[LI J, GAO J E, ZHANG Y X, et al.Effects of terrace on runoff and ecological base flow of Jinghe Watershed in Loess Plateau region. Bulletin of Soil and Water Conservation, 2015, 35(5): 106-110. ]
[20] ZHOU F, XU Y, CHEN Y, et al.Hydrological response to urbanization at different spatio-temporal scales simulated by coupling of CLUE-S and the SWAT model in the Yangtze River Delta region[J]. Journal of Hydrology, 2013, 485: 113-125.
[21] OKI T, KANAE S.Global hydrological cycles and world water resources[J]. Science, 2006, 313(5790): 1068-1072.
[22] MAESTRE-VALERO J F, MARTIN-GORRIZ B, NICOLAS E, et al. Deficit irrigation with reclaimed water in a citrusorchard. Energy and greenhouse-gas emissions analysis[J]. Agricultural Systems, 2018, 159: 93-102.
[23] LECOQ L, FLICK D, LAGUERRE O.Study of the water evaporation rate on stainless steel plate in controlled conditions[J]. International Journal of Thermal Sciences, 2017, 111: 450-462.
[24] DYE P, VERSFELD D.Managing the hydrological impacts of South African plantation forests: An overview[J]. Forest Ecology and Management, 2007, 251(1/2): 121-128.
[25] 丛振涛, 倪广恒, 杨大文, 等. “蒸发悖论”在中国的规律分析[J]. 水科学进展, 2008, 19(2): 147-152.
[CONG Z T, NI G H, YANG D W, et al.Evaporation paradox in China. Advances in Water Science, 2008, 19(2): 147-152. ]
[26] JIANG S H, REN L L, YONG B, et al.Analyzing the effects of climate variability and human activities on runoff from the Laohahe Basin in northern China[J]. Hydrology Research, 2012, 43(1/2): 3-13.
[27] CONG Z T, SHEN Q N, ZHOU L, et al.Evapotranspiration estimation considering anthropogenic heat based on remote sensing in urban area[J]. Science China Earth Sciences, 2017, 60(4): 659-671.
[28] BOERS R, BRANDSMA T, SIEBESMA A P.Impact of aerosols and clouds on decadal trends in all-sky solar radiation over the Netherlands (1966-2015)[J]. Atmospheric Chemistry & Physics, 2017, 17(13): 1-35.
[29] 顾世祥, 何大明, 崔远来, 等. 近50多年来澜沧江流域农业灌溉需水的时空变化[J]. 地理学报, 2010, 65(11): 1355-1362.
[GU S X, HE D M, CUI Y L, et al.Variations of agricultural water requirements in Lancang River Basin in last 50 years. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2010, 65(11): 1355-1362. ]
[30] PIAO S L, CIAIS P, HUANG Y, et al.The impacts of climate change on water resources and agriculture in China[J]. Nature, 2010, 467(7311): 43-51.
[31] GAO C.The impact of climate change on China’s crop production: A CMIP5 ensemble assessment[C]// Proceedings of the International Conference on Agro-Geoinformatics. Shanghai, 2012: 208-212.
[32] LI B, LI C Y, LIU J Y, et al.Decreased streamflow in the Yellow River Basin, China: Climate change or human-induced?[J]. Water, 2017, 9(2): 116, doi: 10.3390/w902011.
[33] 王随继, 闫云霞, 颜明, 等. 皇甫川流域降水和人类活动对径流量变化的贡献率分析——累积量斜率变化率比较方法的提出及应用[J]. 地理学报, 2012, 67(3): 388-397.
[WANG S J, YAN Y X, YAN M, et al.Contributions of precipitation and human activities to the runoff change of the huangfuchuan drainage basin: Application of comparative method of the slope changing ratio of cumulative quantity. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2012, 67(3): 388-397. ]
[34] WANG Y, DING Y J, YE B S, et al.Contributions of climate and human activities to changes in runoff of the Yellow and Yangtze rivers from 1950 to 2008[J]. Science China Earth Sciences, 2012, 56(8): 1398-1412.
[35] LI Y G, HE D M, LI X, et al.Contributions of climate variability and human activities to runoff changes in the upper catchment of the Red River Basin, China[J]. Water, 2016, 8(9): 414, doi: 10.3390/w8090414.
[36] LI F P, ZHANG G X, XU Y J.Separating the impacts of climate variation and human activities on runoff in the Songhua River Basin, Northeast China[J]. Water, 2014, 6(11): 3320-3338. doi: 10.3390/w6113320.
[37] 梁国付, 丁圣彦. 气候和土地利用变化对径流变化影响研究——以伊洛河流域伊河上游地区为例[J]. 地理科学, 2012, 32(5): 635-640.
[LIANG G F, DING S Y.The impacts of climate and landuse changes on the runoff effects: Case in the upper reaches of the Yihe River, the Yiluo River Basin. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2012, 32(5): 635-640. ]
[38] 柏玲. 气候变化对天山南坡典型流域径流过程的影响 [D]. 上海: 华东师范大学, 2016.
[BO L.Climate Change and Its Impacts on Runoff Process for Typical River Basin in the Southern Slopes of Tianshan Mountains. Shanghai: East China Normal University, 2016. ]
[39] KONG D X, MIAO C Y, WU J W, et al.Impact assessment of climate change and human activities on net runoff in the Yellow River Basin from 1951 to 2012[J]. Ecological Engineering, 2016, 91: 566-573.
[40] 王国庆, 张建云, 贺瑞敏. 环境变化对黄河中游汾河径流情势的影响研究[J]. 水科学进展, 2006, 17(6): 853-858.
[WANG G Q, ZHANG J Y, HE R M.Impacts of environmental change on runoff in Fenhe River Basin of the middle Yellow River. Advances in Water Science, 2006, 17(6): 853-858. ]
[41] GUO H, HU Q, JIANG T.Annual and seasonal streamflow responses to climate and land-cover changes in the Poyang Lake Basin, China[J]. Journal of Hydrology, 2008, 355: 106-122.
[42] 陈利群, 刘昌明. 黄河源区气候和土地覆被变化对径流的影响[J]. 中国环境科学, 2007, 27(4): 559-565.
[CHEN L Q, LIU C M.Influence of climate and land-cover change on runoff of the source regions of Yellow River. China Environmental Science, 2007, 27(4): 559-565. ]
[43] BUDYKO M I.Climate and Life [M]. New York: Academic Press, 1974.
[44] ZHANG L, DAWES W R, WALKER G R.Response of mean annual evapotranspiration to vegetation changes at catchment scale[J]. Water Resources Research, 2001, 37(3): 701-708.
[45] 傅抱璞. 论陆面蒸发的计算[J]. 大气科学, 1981, 5(1): 23-31.
[FUH B P.On the calculation of the evaporation from land surface. Scientia Atmospherica Sinica, 1981, 5(1): 23-31. ]
[46] 赵阳, 余新晓, 郑江坤, 等. 气候和土地利用变化对潮白河流域径流变化的定量影响[J]. 农业工程学报, 2012, 28(22): 252-260.
[ZHAO Y, YU X X, ZHENG J K, et al.Quantitative effects of climate variations and land-use changes on annual streamflow in Chaobai River Basin. Transactions of the CSAE, 2012, 28(22): 252-260. ]
[47] 陈宁, 赵红莉, 蒋云钟. 汉江上游不同气候情景下土地利用变化对径流的影响研究[J]. 北京师范大学学报(自然科学版), 2010, 46(3): 366-370.
[CHEN N, ZHAO H L, JIANG Y Z.Effects of land-use changes on runoff in the upper stream of the Han River Basin in different climate scenarios. Journal of Beijing Normal University (Natural Science Edition), 2010, 46(3): 366-370. ]
[48] ZHAO A, ZHU X, LIU X, et al.Impacts of land use change and climate variability on green and blue water resources in the Weihe River Basin of Northwest China[J]. Catena, 2016, 137: 318-327.
[49] LI Z, LIU W Z, ZHANG X C, et al.Impacts of land use change and climate variability on hydrology in an agricultural catchment on the Loess Plateau of China[J]. Journal of Hydrology, 2009, 377(1/2): 35-42.
[50] 周俊菊, 雷莉, 石培基, 等. 石羊河流域河川径流对气候与土地利用变化的响应[J]. 生态学报, 2015, 35(11): 3788-3796.
[ZHOU J J, LEI L, SHI P J, et al.Response of runoff to the climate and land use pattern changes in Shiyang River Basin. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2015, 35(11): 3788-3796. ]
[51] 王根绪, 张钰, 刘桂民, 等. 马营河流域1967~2000年土地利用变化对河流径流的影响[J]. 中国科学D辑地球科学, 2005, 35(7): 671-681.
[WANG G X, ZHANG Y, LIU G M, et al.Impacts of land use change on river runoff in Maying River Basin from 1967 to 2000. Scientia Sinica Terrae, 2005, 35(7): 671-681. ]
[52] 王随继, 李玲, 颜明. 气候和人类活动对黄河中游区间产流量变化的贡献率[J]. 地理研究, 2013, 32(3): 395-402.
[WANG S J, LI L, YAN M.The contributions of climate change and human activities to the runoff yield changes in the middle Yellow River Basin. Geographical Research, 2013, 32(3): 395-402. ]
[53] WANG S, WANG Y, RAN L, et al.Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on runoff changes in the Songhua River Basin over the last 56 years (1955-2010), northeastern China[J]. Catena, 2015, 127: 258-269.
[54] 夏智宏, 刘敏, 王苗, 等. 1990s 以来气候变化和人类活动对洪湖流域径流影响的定量辨识[J]. 湖泊科学, 2014, 26(4): 515-521.
[XIA Z H, LIU M, WANG M, et al.Quantitative identification of the impact of climate change and human activity on runoff in Lake Honghu Basin since 1990s. Journal of Lake Sciences, 2014, 26(4): 515-521. ]
[55] HUANG S Z, HUANG Q, CHEN Y T.Quantitative estimation on contributions of climate changes and human activities to decreasing runoff in Weihe River Basin, China[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2015, 25(5): 569-581.
[56] WANG S, YAN M, YAN Y, et al.Contributions of climate change and human activities to the changes in runoff increment in different sections of the Yellow River[J]. Quaternary International, 2012, 282: 66-77.
[57] MUSSARD M.Solar energy under cold climatic conditions: A review[J]. Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2017, 74: 733-745.
[58] LATRUBESSE E M, ARIMA E Y, DUNNE T, et al.Damming the rivers of the Amazon Basin[J]. Nature, 2017, 546(7658): 363-369.
[59] WARD J.Water, agriculture and poverty in the Niger River Basin[J]. Water International, 2010, 35(5): 594-622.
[60] ANGELINA A, DJIBO A G, SEIDOU O, et al.Changes to flow regime on the Niger River at Koulikoro under a changing climate[J]. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 2015, 60(10): 1709-1723.
[61] JAIN S K, AGARWAL P K, SINGH V P.Hydrology and Water Resources of India[M]. Springer Netherlands, 2007.
[62] KUMAR D.River Ganges—Historical, cultural and socioeconomic attributes[J]. Aquatic Ecosystem Health & Management, 2017, 20(1): 8-20.
[63] GAO G Y, FU B J, WANG S, et al. Determining the hydrological responses to climate variability and land use/cover change in the Loess Plateau with the Budyko framework [J]. Science of the Total Environment, 2016, 557/558: 331-342.
[64] WADA Y, DE GRAAF I E M, VAN BEEK L P H. High-resolution modeling of human and climate impacts on global water resources[J]. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2016, 8(2): 735-763.
[65] CHEN X F, SHEN Z Y, YANG Y.Response of the turbidity maximum zone in the Yangtze River Estuary due to human activities during the dry season[J]. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 2016, 23(18): 18466-18481.
[66] WANG D B, HEJAZI M. Quantifying the relative contribution of the climate and direct human impacts on mean annual streamflow in the contiguous United States [J]. Water Resources Research, 2011, 47(10): W00J12, doi:10.1029/2010WR010283.
[67] LI S, XIONG L, LI H Y, et al.Attributing runoff changes to climate variability and human activities: Uncertainty analysis using four monthly water balance models[J]. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 2016, 30(1): 251-269.
[68] GUO Q L, YANG Y S, XIONG X E.Using hydrologic simulation to identify contributions of climate change and human activity to runoff changes in the Kuye River Basin, China[J]. Environmental Earth Sciences, 2016, 75(5): 417, doi: 10.1007/s12665-016-5280-7.

气候变化及人类活动对地表径流改变的贡献率及其量化方法研究进展

Research Progress on the Quantitative Methods of Calculating Contribution Rates of Climate Change and Human Activities to Surface Runoff Changes

RichHTML

PDF (PC)

赞

可视化

被引次数

摘要/Abstract

引用本文

使用本文

参考文献

相关文章 15

Metrics

本文评价

推荐阅读 0

[1]	袁源, 张小林, 李红波, 胡晓亮, 王亚华. 基于位置大数据的村域尺度多功能性评价——以苏州市为例[J]. 自然资源学报, 2021, 36(3): 674-687.
[2]	李艳红, 张立娟, 朱文博, 张静静, 徐帅博, 朱连奇. 全球变化背景下南方红豆杉地域分布变化[J]. 自然资源学报, 2021, 36(3): 783-792.
[3]	庞艳梅, 陈超, 郭晓艺, 徐富贤. 1961—2015年西南区域单季稻生长季气候年型及其生产潜力分析[J]. 自然资源学报, 2021, 36(2): 476-489.
[4]	李东昇, 张仁勇, 崔步礼, 赵云朵, 王莹, 姜宝福. 1986—2015年青藏高原哈拉湖湖泊动态对气候变化的响应[J]. 自然资源学报, 2021, 36(2): 501-512.
[5]	宁怡楠, 杨晓楠, 孙文义, 穆兴民, 高鹏, 赵广举, 宋小燕. 黄河中游河龙区间径流量变化趋势及其归因[J]. 自然资源学报, 2021, 36(1): 256-269.
[6]	吴立钰, 张璇, 李冲, 郝芳华. 气候变化和人类活动对伊逊河流域径流变化的影响[J]. 自然资源学报, 2020, 35(7): 1744-1756.
[7]	任正超, 朱华忠, 史华, 柳小妮. 最后间冰期至未来2070s中国潜在自然植被时空分布格局及其对气候变化的响应[J]. 自然资源学报, 2020, 35(6): 1484-1498.
[8]	方梓行, 何春阳, 刘志锋, 赵媛媛, 杨延杰. 中国北方农牧交错带气候变化特点及未来趋势——基于观测和模拟资料的综合分析[J]. 自然资源学报, 2020, 35(2): 358-370.
[9]	马伟东, 刘峰贵, 周强, 陈琼, 刘飞, 陈永萍. 1961—2017年青藏高原极端降水特征分析[J]. 自然资源学报, 2020, 35(12): 3039-3050.
[10]	黄蓉, 张建梅, 林依雪, 卜添荟, 王鑫, 薛紫月, 李艳忠, 马燮铫, 于志国, 白鹏. 新安江上游流域径流变化特征与归因分析[J]. 自然资源学报, 2019, 34(8): 1771-1781.
[11]	李林, 李晓东, 校瑞香, 申红艳. 青藏高原东北部气候变化的异质性及其成因[J]. 自然资源学报, 2019, 34(7): 1496-1505.
[12]	李龙, 姚晓军, 刘时银, 卜亚平, 宫鹏, 李晓锋. 近50年丝绸之路经济带中国境内冰川变化[J]. 自然资源学报, 2019, 34(7): 1506-1520.
[13]	陈军, 汪永丰, 郑佳佳, 曹立国. 中国阿牙克库木湖水量变化及其驱动机制[J]. 自然资源学报, 2019, 34(6): 1331-1344.
[14]	王赛男, 李建鸿, 蒲俊兵, 霍伟杰, 张陶, 黄思宇, 袁道先. 气候和人类活动对典型岩溶地下河系统径流年际变化的影响[J]. 自然资源学报, 2019, 34(4): 759-770.
[15]	王炎强, 赵军, 李忠勤, 张明军. 1977-2017年萨吾尔山冰川变化及其对气候变化的响应[J]. 自然资源学报, 2019, 34(4): 802-814.