玉米生产环境成本及全要素生产率的时空研究

doi:10.11849/zrzyxb.20160673

自然资源学报 ›› 2017, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (7): 1204-1216.doi: 10.11849/zrzyxb.20160673

玉米生产环境成本及全要素生产率的时空研究

王欢¹, 穆月英^{1, *}, 侯玲玲²

1. 中国农业大学经济管理学院,北京 100083;
2. 北京大学现代农学院,北京 100871

收稿日期:2016-06-27 修回日期:2017-01-17 出版日期:2017-08-02 发布日期:2017-08-02
通讯作者: 穆月英（1963- ）,女,山西大同人,博士（后）,教授,博士生导师,主要研究方向为农业经济理论与政策。E-mail:yueyingmu@cau.edu.cn
作者简介:王欢（1991- ）,女,陕西宝鸡人,博士研究生,主要研究方向为农业经济理论与政策。E-mail: abcwanghuan@163.com
基金资助:
国家重点研发计划项目（2016YFD0300210）; 北京市社科基金重点项目（15JGA020）; 现代农业产业技术体系北京市果类蔬菜产业创新团队项目（BAIC01-2016）

Research on Temporal and Spatial Evolutions of Environmental Cost and Total Factor Productivity of Maize Production in China

WANG Huan¹, MU Yue-ying¹, HOU Ling-ling²

1. College of Economics and Management, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100083, China;
2. School of Advanced Agricultural Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China

Received:2016-06-27 Revised:2017-01-17 Online:2017-08-02 Published:2017-08-02
Supported by:
National Key Research and Development Plan, No. 2016YFD0300210Key Project of Beijing Social Science Fund, No. 15JGA020Fruit Vegetables Industry Technology System of Beijing Innovation Team, No. BAIC01-2016.

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 论文在把玉米生产省（区）按生产能力划分为三类产区的基础上,纳入环境成本,系统分析了2004—2014年各地区玉米生产的环境成本全要素生产率及其分解的变化,并明确了三类产区在未来玉米产量保障中的地位和作用。研究结果表明：1）玉米生产环境成本全要素生产率呈现下降趋势,生产方式整体仍属于粗放型,同时玉米生产正转向劳动节约型和环境可持续型;2）第一主产区具有产量和环境可持续性优势,未来仍将是我国玉米供给主要产区,第二主产区和其他产区在要素管理和技术水平以及环境可持续性方面仍有待提高,能够为未来玉米需求提供更高保障。

关键词: DEA-Malmquist, 环境成本, 全要素生产率, 玉米生产

Abstract: This paper focuses on China’s maize production and makes comparison of maize production in different producing districts. The paper divides 20 maize production provinces in China into three production districts, first main producing district, second main producing district and other producing district, based on the production scale and total yield in each province. After calculating the environmental total factor productivity of maize production in each province from 2004 to 2014, including the environment cost of chemical fertilizer, pesticide, machine and electricity, this paper makes comparison among three producing districts. The main results are as follows. Firstly, although the yield per unit area is increasing, the total factor productivity of corn production shows a downward trend, decreasing at the rate of 3.3% per year on average, which is mainly caused by the lack of production capacity exploitation and labor reservation; and maize production in China is still in extensive mode meanwhile it is experiencing a transition to labor-saving and environment-sustainable production. Secondly, the comparison between three producing districts shows that the first main producing district has the advantages in mechanization level, environmental sustainability and environmental total factor productivity and has high yield both in total and per unit area. As this district supplies about 65% of the total maize production in China, maize production in China can maintain at high level in the future. The second main producing district has advantage in maize production foundation and its technical efficiency increases at the rate of 2% on average, thus this district can ensure maize supply security by optimizing management of inputs. The other producing district has advantages in environment-sustainable transition rate and has high yield per unit area, thus it can make supplement of maize supply by applying advanced technology.

Key words: DEA-Malmquist, environmental cost, maize production, total factor productivity

中图分类号:

王欢, 穆月英, 侯玲玲. 玉米生产环境成本及全要素生产率的时空研究[J]. 自然资源学报, 2017, 32(7): 1204-1216.

WANG Huan, MU Yue-ying, HOU Ling-ling. Research on Temporal and Spatial Evolutions of Environmental Cost and Total Factor Productivity of Maize Production in China[J]. JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2017, 32(7): 1204-1216.

参考文献

[1] 翁凌云. 基于生物质能源背景下我国玉米供需平衡分析 [D]. 北京: 中国农业科学院, 2010. [WENG L Y. Analysis on China’s Corn Supply and Demand Balance Based on the Background of Biomass Energy. Beijing: Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, 2010. ]
[2] 杨艳涛, 吴敬学. 基于市场均衡模型的中国玉米供需变化与趋势预测 [J]. 经济问题, 2014(12): 98-103. [YANG Y T, WU J X. Prediction of the changes and trend of Chinese corn supply and demand based on the model of market equilibrium. On Economic Problems, 2014(12): 98-103. ]
[3] 钱克明. 转方式调结构加快“十三五”现代农业发展 [N]. 人民政协报, 2015-06-15(04). [QIAN K M. Adjust the structure to speed up the development of modern agriculture in 13th five-year planning period. People’s Political Consultative Conference Newspaper, 2015-06-15(04). ]
[4] 蔡荣. 农业化学品投入状况及其对环境的影响 [J]. 中国人口·资源与环境, 2010, 20(3): 107-110. [CAI R. Agri-chemicals inputs and its impact on environment. China Population, Resources and Environment, 2010, 20(3): 107-110. ]
[5] LIU X M, CHEN B M. Efficiency and sustainability analysis of grain production in Jiangsu and Shaanxi Provinces of China [J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2007, 15(4): 313-322.
[6] NEUMANN K, VERBURG P H, STEHFEST E, et al. The yield gap of global grain production: A spatial analysis [J]. Agricultural Systems, 2010, 103(5): 316-326.s
[7] YAO S J, LIU Z. Determinants of grain production and technical efficiency in China [J]. Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1998, 49(2): 171-184.
[8] 赵贵玉, 王军, 张越杰. 基于参数和非参数方法的玉米生产效率研究——以吉林省为例 [J]. 农业经济问题, 2009(2): 15-21, 110. [ZHAO G Y, WANG J, ZHANG Y J. Study on the efficiency of maize production based on parametric and non-parametric analysis: Case of Jilin Province. Issues in Agricultural Economy, 2009(2): 15-21, 110. ]
[9] 王千, 金晓斌, 周寅康, 等. 基于DEA_Malmquist的河北省县级粮食生产效率评价 [J]. 地理与地理信息科学, 2010, 26(6): 51-55. [WANG Q, JIN X B, ZHOU Y K, et al. Evaluation of grain production efficiency on county level in Hebei based DEA_Malmquist. Geography and Geo-Information Science, 2010, 26(6): 51-55. ]
[10] SU H T, JIANG R Q, LIN N, et al. Efficiency evaluation of provincial grain production based on DEA [C]// International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Computational Intelligence. Shanghai, 2009: 603-607.
[11] 王军, 徐晓红, 王洪丽, 等. 中国核心优势产区玉米生产效率增长及其分解分析 [J]. 玉米科学, 2010, 18(6): 133-137, 142. [WANG J, XU X H, WANG H L, et al. Study on TFP of maize production in Chinese core advantage area. Journal of Maize Sciences, 2010, 18(6): 133-137, 142. ]
[12] 赵红雷, 贾金荣. 基于随机前沿分析的中国玉米生产技术效率研究 [J]. 统计与信息论坛, 2011, 26(2): 52-58. [ZHAO H L, JIA J R. Research on technical efficiency of maize production in China based on stochastic frontier analysis. Statistics and Information Forum, 2011, 26(2): 52-58. ]
[13] 高建凯. 中国15个主产省区玉米生产技术效率研究 [J]. 西部论坛, 2013, 23(6): 69-75. [GAO J K. Analysis of production technical efficiency of main corn planting areas in 15 provinces of China. West Forum, 2013, 23(6): 69-75. ]
[14] KALIRAJAN K P, HUANG Y P. Does China have a grain problem? An empirical analysis [J]. Oxford Development Studies, 2001, 29(1): 45-55.
[15] 张忠明. 农户粮地经营规模效率研究——以吉林省玉米生产为例 [D]. 杭州: 浙江大学, 2008. [ZHANG Z M. Study on the Efficiency of Farmers’ Grain Land Scale: A Case Study of Maize Production in Jilin Province. Hangzhou: Zhejiang University, 2008. ]
[16] LUIK H. Technical efficiency of Estonian grain farms in 2000-2006 [C]// Proceedings of the International Scientific Conference “Economic Science for Rural Development”. Finances, Taxes, Investment and Support Systems (72-78). Jelgava: Latvia University of Agriculture, 2009.
[17] TOZER P R. Measuring the efficiency of wheat production of western Australian growers [J]. Agronomy Journal, 2010, 102(2): 642-648.
[18] 刘树坤. 中国玉米生产技术效率分析 [D]. 北京: 中国农业大学, 2004. [LIU S K. The Analysis on Technical Efficiency of Chinese Maize. Beijing: China Agricultural University, 2004. ]
[19] 杨春, 陆文聪. 中国玉米生产率增长、技术进步与效率变化: 1990—2004年 [J]. 农业技术经济, 2007(4): 34-40. [YANG C, LU W C. Maize productivity growth, technical progress and efficiency change in China: From 1990 to 2004. Journal of Agrotechnical Economics, 2007(4): 34-40. ]
[20] 肖红波, 王济民. 新世纪以来我国粮食综合技术效率和全要素生产率分析 [J]. 农业技术经济, 2012(1): 36-46. [XIAO H B, WANG J M. Analysis on grain comprehensive technical efficiency and total factor productivity in China since the new century. Journal of Agrotechnical Economics, 2012(1): 36-46. ]
[21] 赵红雷, 贾金荣. 中国玉米生产技术效率分析: 2001—2008——基于随机前沿生产函数 [J]. 西北农林科技大学学报(社会科学版), 2011, 11(5): 56-61. [ZHAO H L, JIA J R. Research on technical efficiency of maize production in China from 2001-2008: Based on stochastic frontier production function. Journal of Northwest A & F University (Social Science Edition), 2011, 11(5): 56-61. ]
[22] 高鸣, 宋洪远. 粮食生产技术效率的空间收敛及功能区差异——兼论技术扩散的空间涟漪效应 [J]. 管理世界, 2014(7): 83-92. [GAO M, SONG H Y. The spatial convergence of the technical efficiency of grain production and the difference of functional area: On the spatial ripple effect of technology diffusion. Management World, 2014(7): 83-92. ]
[23] 马林静, 王雅鹏, 吴娟. 中国粮食生产技术效率的空间非均衡与收敛性分析 [J]. 农业技术经济, 2015(4): 4-12. [MA L J, WANG Y P, WU J. Spatial non-equilibrium and convergence analysis of the technical efficiency of grain production in China. Journal of Agrotechnical Economics, 2015(4): 4-12. ]
[24] SHEPHARD R W. Theory of Cost and Production Functions [M]. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1970.
[25] HENDERSON D J, RUSSELL R R. Human capital and convergence: A production-frontier approach [J]. International Economic Review, 2005, 46(4): 1167-1205.
[26] SHESTALOVA V. Sequential Malmquist indices of productivity growth: An application to OECD industrial activities [J]. Journal of Productivity Analysis, 2003, 19(2): 211-226.
[27] 王兵, 颜鹏飞. 技术效率、技术进步与东亚经济增长——基于APEC视角的实证分析 [J]. 经济研究, 2007(5): 91-103. [WANG B, YAN P F. Technical efficiency, technical progress and East-Asian economic growth: Empirical analysis based on APEC’s view. Economic Research Journal, 2007(5): 91-103. ]
[28] 向平安, 周燕, 黄璜. 洞庭湖湿地稻区化肥环境影响评估 [J]. 中国人口·资源与环境, 2007, 17(1): 81-84. [XIANG P A, ZHOU Y, HUANG H. The evaluation of environmental impact of fertilizer in wetland rice region of Dongting Lake area. China Population, Resources and Environment, 2007, 17(1): 81-84. ]
[29] 赖力, 黄贤金, 王辉, 等. 中国化肥施用的环境成本估算 [J]. 土壤学报, 2009, 46(1): 63-69. [LAI L, HUANG X J, WANG H, et al. Estimation of environmental costs of chemical fertilizer utilization in China. Acta Pedologica Sinica, 2009, 46(1): 63-69. ]
[30] 赵志坚, 胡小娟, 彭翠婷, 等. 湖南省化肥投入与粮食产出变化对环境成本的影响分析 [J]. 生态环境学报, 2012, 21(12): 2007-2012. [ZHAO Z J, HU X J, PENG C T, et al. The effect of fertilizer usage on grain output and environmental cost: An empirical study in Hunan Province. Ecology and Environmental Sciences, 2012, 21(12): 2007-2012. ]
[31] 刘建霞, 徐卫华, 黄璜, 等. 中国夏秋粮生产化肥施用环境成本估算 [J]. 中国农业大学学报, 2015, 20(6): 225-232. [LIU J X, XU W H, HUANG H, et al. Estimation of environmental cost of chemical fertilizer usage in China’s summer and autumn grain production. Journal of China Agricultural University, 2015, 20(6): 225-232. ]
[32] 鲁如坤, 时正元, 熊礼明. 我国磷矿磷肥中镉的含量及其对生态环境影响的评价 [J]. 土壤学报, 1992, 29(2): 150-157. [LU R K, SHI Z Y, XIONG L M. Cadmium contents of rock phosphates and phosphate fertilizers of China and their effects on ecological environment. Acta Pedologica Sinica, 1992, 29(2): 150-157. ]
[33] LEGG J O, MEISINGER J J. Soil nitrogen budgets [M]// STEVENSON F J. Nitrogen in Agricultural Soils. Madison, Wisconsin: American Society of Agronomy, 1982: 530-566.
[34] ODUM H T. Environmental Accounting: Emergy and Environmental Decision Making [M]. New York: Wiley and Sons, 1996.
[35] 李双成, 傅小锋, 郑度. 中国经济持续发展水平的能值分析 [J]. 自然资源学报, 2001, 16(4): 297-304. [LI S C, FU X F, ZHENG D. Emergy analysis for evaluation sustainability of Chinese economy. Journal of Natural Resources, 2001, 16(4): 297-304. ]
[36] 向平安, 黄璜, 燕惠民, 等. 湖南洞庭湖区水稻生产的环境成本评估 [J]. 应用生态学报, 2005, 16(11): 2187-2193. [XIANG P A, HUANG H, YAN H M, et al. Environmental cost of rice production in Dongting Lake area of Hunan Province. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2005, 16(11): 2187-2193. ]
[37] LEACH A W, MUMFORD J D. Pesticide environmental accounting: A method for assessing the external costs of individual pesticide applications [J]. Environmental Pollution, 2008, 151(1): 139-147.
[38] KOVACH J, PETZOLDT C, DEGNI J, et al. A method to measure the environmental impact of pesticides [J]. New York’s Food and Life Sciences Bulletin, 1992(139): 1-8.
[39] PRANEETVATAKUL S, SCHREINEMACHERS P, PANANURAK P, et al. Pesticides, external costs and policy options for Thai agriculture [J]. Environmental Science and Policy, 2013, 27(2): 103-113.
[40] 张一宾. 近年来全球玉米用农药的市场及品种的发展 [J]. 农药市场信息, 2016(2): 46-47. [ZHANG Y B. Development of global maize pesticide market in recent years. Pesticide Market News, 2016(2): 46-47. ]
[41] WEST T O, MARLAND G. A synthesis of carbon sequestration, carbon emission, and net carbon flux in agriculture: Comparing tillage practices in the United States [J]. Agriculture Ecosystems and Environment, 2002, 91(1/3): 217-232.
[42] 宋文质, 王少彬, 苏维翰, 等. 我国农田土壤的主要温室气体CO 2 、CH 4 和N 2 O排放研究 [J]. 环境科学, 1996, 17(1)： 85-92. [SONG W Z, WANG S B, SU W H, et al. Agricultural activities and emissions of greenhouse gases in China Region. Environmental Science, 1996, 17(1): 85-92. ]
[43] 郭庆海. 中国玉米主产区的演变与发展 [J]. 玉米科学, 2010, 18(1): 139-145. [GUO Q H. The development and evolution of the major maize producing areas in China. Journal of Maize Sciences, 2010, 18(1): 139-145. ]
[44] 栾江, 仇焕广, 井月, 等. 我国化肥施用量持续增长的原因分解及趋势预测 [J]. 自然资源学报, 2013, 28(11): 1869-1878. [LUAN J, QIU H G, JING Y, et al. Decomposition of factor contributed to the increase of China’s chemical fertilizer use and projections for future fertilizer use in China. Journal of Natural Resources, 2013, 28(11): 1869-1878. ]
[45] 李庆, 林光华, 何军. 农民兼业化与农业生产要素投入的相关性研究——基于农村固定观察点农户数据的分析 [J]. 南京农业大学学报(社会科学版), 2013(3): 27-32. [LI Q, LIN G H, HE J. A correlation study on farmer’s concurrent business behavior and changes in factors of production: Analysis based on a survey of farmers form rural fixed obsewation points. Journal of Nanjing Agricultural University (Social Sciences Edition), 2013(3): 27-32. ]
[46] 修孟源. 兼业化程度对农户水稻种植技术选择的影响分析 [D]. 重庆: 西南大学, 2012. [XIU M Y. The Effect of Diversified Industry Degree on Farmers’ Rice Cultivation Technology Adoption: A Case Study of Qian Yang Town. Chongqing: Southwest University, 2012. ]

玉米生产环境成本及全要素生产率的时空研究

Research on Temporal and Spatial Evolutions of Environmental Cost and Total Factor Productivity of Maize Production in China

RichHTML

PDF (PC)

赞

可视化

被引次数

摘要/Abstract

引用本文

使用本文

参考文献

相关文章 3

Metrics

本文评价

推荐阅读 0

[1]	薛龙飞, 罗小锋, 吴贤荣. 中国四大林区固碳效率：测算、驱动因素及收敛性[J]. 自然资源学报, 2016, 31(8): 1351-1363.
[2]	赵可, 徐唐奇, 张安录. 城市用地扩张,规模经济与经济增长质量[J]. 自然资源学报, 2016, 31(3): 390-401.
[3]	时乐乐, 赵军. 煤炭资源开采外部成本与应交税费比较分析——以新疆为例[J]. 自然资源学报, 2015, 30(12): 2005-2017.