土地发展非均衡度测算及其敏感性分析——基于农地非农发展受限视角

doi:10.11849/zrzyxb.20160532

自然资源学报 ›› 2017, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (5): 715-726.doi: 10.11849/zrzyxb.20160532

• 资源利用与管理 • 下一篇

土地发展非均衡度测算及其敏感性分析——基于农地非农发展受限视角

曹瑞芬^1,2, 张安录^2,*

1. 浙江工商大学土地资源管理系,杭州 310018;
2. 华中农业大学土地管理学院,武汉 430070

收稿日期:2016-05-22 修回日期:2017-01-15 出版日期:2017-05-20 发布日期:2017-05-20
通讯作者: 张安录（1964- ）,男,湖北麻城人,博士,教授,博士生导师,主要研究方向为土地资源经济。E-mail: zhanganlu@mail.hzau.edu.cn
作者简介:曹瑞芬（1988- ）,女,湖北钟祥人,讲师,博士,主要研究方向为土地资源经济。E-mail: cao.ruifen@163.com
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金项目（71373095,71573101）; 教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目（14JZD009）; 中央高校科研基本业务费专项资金资助项目（2662016PY078）

Measurement and Sensitivity Analysis of Unbalance Degree of Land Development: From the Perspective of Farmland Development Restriction

CAO Rui-fen^1,2, ZHANG An-lu²

1. Department of Land Resources Management, Zhejiang Gongshang University, Hangzhou 310018, China;
2. College of Land Management, Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan 430070, China

Received:2016-05-22 Revised:2017-01-15 Online:2017-05-20 Published:2017-05-20
Supported by:
National Natural Science Foundation of China, No.71373095 and 71573101; Humanities and Social Science Foundation of Ministry of Education, No.14JZD009; the Special Fund of Basic Service Fee of Scientific Research in Central University, No.2662016PY078

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 论文以农地非农发展受限为研究对象,分别基于用地结构和土地财事权视角构建土地发展非均衡度模型,并在此基础上依据二者对经济发展的贡献度确定权重,进行加权求和,求算土地综合非均衡度。基于我国2009—2013年省级面板数据的实证研究结果表明：总体上,我国的土地发展非均衡度较高,但逐年下降;省级层面上,我国土地发展非均衡度的空间差异显著,且非均衡度呈“东部沿海发达地区—中部地区—西南地区或东北、西北地区”逐级递增趋势。此外,论文就土地发展非均衡度对财政转移支付的敏感性进行分析,为我国财政转移制度改革奠定理论依据。结果表明,财政转移制度有助于减缓土地发展非均衡度,且四大分区的土地发展非均衡度对财政转移支付的敏感性存在显著差异。研究尝试直接量化土地发展非均衡程度,为缓解土地非均衡发展、均衡区域发展奠定理论基础。

关键词: 财政转移支付, 敏感性分析, 土地财事权, 用地结构, 土地非均衡发展

Abstract: With the unbalanced development opportunities of farmland as research object, we constructed model to measure unbalanced land development from the perspective of land structure and financial rights and responsibility of land respectively. After giving weights to the two aspects based on their contribution to the unbalance degree of economic development, we calculated the comprehensive unbalance degree of land development with method of weighted summation. Then, by employing provincial panel data in China during 2009-2013, an empirical analysis was made to explore the spatial and temporal differences of the unbalance degree of land development. The results showed that the overall unbalance degree of land development in China was high, which was 1.156, but it decreased year by year, from 1.235 in 2009 to 1.083 in 2013 with average annual decrease rate of 3.07%; at provincial level, the regional difference of the unbalance degree was significant, and the unbalance degree showed growth trend from the eastern coastal developed regions to central regions, and then to southwest, northeast and northwest regions. Among which, Shanghai got the lowest unbalance degree of land development which was only 0.178, while Heilongjiang got the highest unbalance degree of up to 3.148. Besides, we analyzed the sensitivity of unbalance degree to fiscal transfer payment, so as to provide a theoretical basis for reform of fiscal transfer payment. The results show that fiscal transfer payment system helps decrease the unbalance degree of land development, and the sensitivities of unbalanced degree to fiscal transfer payment were different significantly in different areas. The study attempts to quantify the unbalance degree of land development, which may lay a theoretical foundation for relieving the unbalanced land development and balancing the regional development.

Key words: fiscal transfer payment, land use structure, rights of finance and responsibilities of land, sensitivity analysis, imbalance land development

中图分类号:

F321.1

曹瑞芬, 张安录. 土地发展非均衡度测算及其敏感性分析——基于农地非农发展受限视角[J]. 自然资源学报, 2017, 32(5): 715-726.

CAO Rui-fen, ZHANG An-lu. Measurement and Sensitivity Analysis of Unbalance Degree of Land Development: From the Perspective of Farmland Development Restriction[J]. JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2017, 32(5): 715-726.

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土地发展非均衡度测算及其敏感性分析——基于农地非农发展受限视角

Measurement and Sensitivity Analysis of Unbalance Degree of Land Development: From the Perspective of Farmland Development Restriction

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