自然资源学报

自然资源学报 ›› 2015, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (7): 1172-1182.doi: 10.11849/zrzyxb.2015.07.010

• 资源评价 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于公平与效率双重视角的中国农业碳减排潜力分析

吴贤荣1,2, 张俊飚1,2, 田云3, 薛龙飞1,2   

  1. 1. 华中农业大学经济管理学院, 武汉 430070;
    2. 湖北农村发展研究中心, 武汉 430070;
    3. 中南财经政法大学工商管理学院, 武汉 430073
  • 收稿日期:2014-05-16 修回日期:2014-08-13 出版日期:2015-07-20 发布日期:2015-07-14
  • 通讯作者: 张俊飚(1962-),男,博士,教授,博导,主要研究方向为农业经济理论与政策、资源与环境经济。
  • 作者简介:吴贤荣(1987-),女,博士生,研究方向为资源与环境经济、低碳经济。E-mail:bewaily@163.com
  • 基金资助:

    国家自然科学基金“气候框架公约下农业碳排放的增长机理及减排政策研究”(71273105);国家自然科学基金重点项目“现代农业科技发展创新体系研究”(71333006);国家自然科学基金面上项目“作物秸秆资源化利用的减碳潜力与生态环境效应:以水稻为例”(41371520);华中农业大学创新团队培育项目“农业资源与环境经济问题研究”(2013PY042);国家社会科学基金青年项目“碳交易视角下我国低碳农业发展的推进机制与政策创新研究”(14CJY031)。

Analysis on China's Agricultural Carbon Abatement Capacity from the Perspective of Both Equity and Efficiency

WU Xian-rong1,2, ZHANG Jun-biao1,2, TIAN Yun3, XUE Long-fei1,2   

  1. 1. College of Economics & Management, Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan 430070, China;
    2. Hubei Rural Development Research Center, Wuhan 430070, China;
    3. School of Business Administration, Zhongnan University of Economics and Law, Wuhan 430073, China
  • Received:2014-05-16 Revised:2014-08-13 Online:2015-07-20 Published:2015-07-14

RichHTML

PDF (PC)

赞

被引次数

14 | 13

摘要：

科学估算减排潜力是实施减排责任分摊的基础。论文将环境因素纳入到经济生产体系,构建含有期望产出与非期望产出的农业经济核算框架,借助方向距离函数方法,对2000—2011 年中国31 个省(市、区)的农业碳边际减排成本进行估算。在此基础上,利用人均农业碳排放、人均农业生产总值、农业碳排放强度与农业碳排放影子价格4 个指标,构建农业碳减排潜力指数,基于公平与效率双重视角,对各省区农业碳减排潜力水平进行评估与分析。结果显示:① 农业减排成本地区差异较大。其中,海南、福建、山东、辽宁、广东、北京、天津等省区减排成本较高,其年均农业碳排放影子价格居于全国前列,最高值达2.542×108元/104 t;而西藏、青海两地农业碳排放影子价格最低,分别为0.105×108元/104 t 和0.542×108元/104 t,农业减排成本较低。② 基于农业碳减排的公平性与效率性差异,将中国大陆31 个省级行政区域划分为四大类:西藏等1 省2 区属于“高效较公平”型地区;甘肃1 省1 区属于“高效欠公平”型地区;辽宁等8省2 区属于“低效较公平”型地区;北京等12 省4 市属于“低效欠公平”型地区。③ 西藏、海南、青海、内蒙古四地农业碳减排潜力指数在三种情景下均排名前四,北京、黑龙江、山西三地均排名最后。④ 决策者对于公平原则与效率原则的不同偏好会导致各省区减排责任分摊机制不同。

关键词: 低碳农业, 减排潜力, 方向距离函数, 农业碳排放, 边际减排成本

Abstract:

Scientific estimate of abatement capacity is the basis of the implementation of liability-sharing of carbon reduction. This article took into account both the expected outputs and unexpected outputs in the agricultural economic accounting system. The Directional Distance Function was used, and the main objective is to estimate the agriculture marginal abatement cost of 31 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) of China from 2000 to 2011. Further, from the perspective of both equity and efficiency, per capita agricultural carbon emission, per capita gross agricultural production, agricultural carbon intensity and agricultural carbon shadow price are brought into the construction of the index of agricultural carbon emission abatement capacity. The results show that: 1) there are large regional differences in the agricultural marginal abatement cost. Hainan, Fujian, Shandong, Liaoning, Guangdong, Beijing, Tianjin, etc, have high shadow price of agricultural carbon emission, which means that their abatement cost is high; however, Tibet and Qinghai's agricultural carbon emission shadow prices are low. 2) Based on the differences of equity and efficiency, the 31 provinces are divided into four categories. Tibet and other two regions belong to the“high-efficiency & high-equity” type. Gansu and Ningxia belong to the“high-efficiency & low-equity”type. Ten regions including Liaoning belong to the“low-efficiency & high-equity”type. Beijing and other fifteen regions belong to the“low-efficiency & high-equity”type. 3) Tibet, Hainan, Qinghai and Inner Mongolia are the top four regions of agricultural carbon emission abatement capacity in the whole country, while Beijing, Heilongjiang and Shanxi are listed as the bottom three. 4) Different preference on equity or efficiency leads to different regional mechanism of liability-sharing of carbon reduction.

Key words: agricultural carbon emission, marginal abatement cost, direction distance function, low-carbon agriculture, abatement capacity

中图分类号: 

  • F223