自然资源学报 ›› 2014, Vol. 29 ›› Issue (5): 868-874.doi: 10.11849/zrzyxb.2014.05.014

• 资源研究方法 • 上一篇    下一篇

水资源承载力评价的升半Г型分布指数公式

汪嘉杨, 李祚泳, 余静   

  1. 成都信息工程学院, 成都610041
  • 收稿日期:2013-03-14 修回日期:2013-06-18 出版日期:2014-05-20 发布日期:2014-05-20
  • 作者简介:汪嘉杨(1980-),女,博士,副教授,主要研究方向为水资源利用与管理。E-mail:wjj@cuit.edu.cn
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目(51209024);国家社会科学基金项目(13BGL009);四川省科技厅项目(2013ZR0080);成都信息工程学院科研基金(J201214, KYTZ201303)。

Water Resources Carrying Capacity Evaluation Based on Γ-Type Distribution Function

WANG Jia-yang, LI Zuo-yong, YU Jing   

  1. Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu 610041, China
  • Received:2013-03-14 Revised:2013-06-18 Online:2014-05-20 Published:2014-05-20
  • About author:10.11849/zrzyxb.2014.05.014

摘要: 正确评价区域水资源承载能力,对合理、充分利用水资源以及促进区域社会、经济的可持续发展具有重要的现实意义。论文采用升半Г型分布曲线模拟水资源承载力各指标对评价过程的影响,并通过区域水资源承载力评价指标体系规范化处理,对升半Г型分布函数进行改进,提出用于水资源承载力评价的升半Г型分布指数公式。经过规范化数据处理方式,升半Г型分布指数公式就可以忽略指标个数的影响,具有普适性。公式中的参数采用粒子群算法优化后,得到适用于多区域、多项指标的具有通用性和普适性的水资源承载力评价公式。将优化好的指数公式应用到玛纳斯河流域和塔里木河流域水资源承载力评价等实例分析,研究结果表明:指数公式的评价结果与其他多种方法的评价结果一致,消除了评价指标数目多少的限制和区域性评价指标各异性的限制,省去了复杂的编程计算工作,具有实用性和可行性。在实际评价中,待评价区域的水资源承载力评价指标体系即使与论文选定的评价指标体系不同,也能经过规范化处理后直接采用该指数公式进行评价,为评价模型的普适化、简单化提供了一条途径。

Abstract: Correct evaluation of regional water resources carrying capacity has practical significance not only to the efficient and reasonable utilization of the water resources but also to the sustainable development of regional socio-economy. Γ-type distribution curve was adopted to simulate water resources carrying capacity evaluation. A universal Γ-type distribution function for water resources carrying capacity evaluation was proposed based on the selected reference value of all indicators and the appropriate standardization transformation formula. The universal Γ- type distribution function can ignore the influence of index number by means of normalization data processing mode. Particle swarm optimization was used in optimization of the parameters in the formula. The optimized Γ- type distribution function was used in water resources carrying capacity evaluation of the Manas River Valley and the Tarim River Basin. Results of the two cases agreed with that of other evaluation methods, and showed that the formula was not restricted by the number of the evaluation indexes and by the differences of the index system. The evaluation method can save the complex programming calculation work and provided a new approach to the evaluation model which is universal and simplified. In the practical evaluation, even water resources carrying capacity index system of testing sample was different from the index system in the article, the Γ-type distribution function can also evaluate it directly by means of normalization data processing mode.

中图分类号: 

  • TV213.4