自然资源学报

自然资源学报 ›› 2011, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (8): 1323-1332.doi: 10.11849/zrzyxb.2011.08.007

• 资源安全 • 上一篇    下一篇

城市建设用地扩张的驱动力——基于省际面板数据的分析

赵可1,2, 张安录1, 李平3   

  1. 1. 华中农业大学 土地管理学院, 武汉 430070;
    2. 东北大学 文法学院, 沈阳 110004;
    3. 华中农业大学 经济管理学院, 武汉 430070
  • 收稿日期:2010-08-30 修回日期:2011-01-14 出版日期:2011-08-20 发布日期:2011-08-20
  • 通讯作者: 张安录(1964-),博士,教授,博导,主要研究方向为土地资源经济。
  • 作者简介:赵可(1979-),博士,主要研究方向为土地经济、房地产经济。E-mail:ccnuzhaoke@sina.com
  • 基金资助:

    国家自然科学基金项目"农地城市流转中不同利益集团福利变化测度与福利均衡研究"(70773047);国土资源部项目"武汉、长株潭两型社会试验区土地政策研究"。

Driving Forces of Urban Construction Land Expansion: An Empirical Analysis Based on Panel Data of Provinces

ZHAO Ke1,2, ZHANG An-lu1, LI Ping3   

  1. 1. College of Land Management, Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan 430070, China;
    2. School of Hamanities and Law, Northeastern University, Shenyang 110004, China;
    3. College of Economics and Management, Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan 430070, China
  • Received:2010-08-30 Revised:2011-01-14 Online:2011-08-20 Published:2011-08-20

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摘要：

为研究城市建设用地扩张的驱动力,论文利用1999-2008年全国31个省(市、自治区)的数据,使用计量工具分析了城市建设用地扩张与经济发展、城市人口增加和产业结构调整之间的关系,得到以下主要结论:①全国、东部、中部和西部地区城市建设用地扩张速度都很快,东部地区最快,但增长率近年呈现下降趋势,而中部地区和西部地区增长速度相对较慢;②经济发展、城市人口增加和产业结构调整能够非常好地解释全国及东部、中部和西部地区城市建设用地的扩张,3个变量对城市建设用地扩张均有着正影响,但影响力度存在差异;③逐年回归结果表明经济发展、城市人口增加和产业结构调整对城市建设用地的扩张也同样有着正影响,城市人口增加对城市用地扩张的影响基本保持稳定,且力度大于经济发展和产业结构调整的影响,经济发展因素的影响力度越来越大,产业结构调整的影响力度逐渐减弱。

关键词: 土地经济学, 城市建设用地, 省际面板数据, 计量分析

Abstract:

Urban construction land plays an important role in economic development in China. This study explores the driving forces of urban construction land expansion. Panel data econometric method was used to analyze relevant data of China during the period 1999 to 2008. The results showed that: 1) Urban construction land had been expanded very quickly in East China, Central China, West China and the whole country. The rate of expansion was the highest in East China, and was declining in recent years. But it was relatively slow in Central and West China. 2)Economic development, the increasing urban population and industrial structure adjustment can explain the expansion of the urban construction land of East China, Central China, West China and the whole country very well, those three variables all have positive effects on urban construction land expansion, while the influence strength varies in different regions. 3)Year by year regression results show that: economic development, the increasing urban population and industrial structure adjustment also have positive effects on the urban construction land expansion, which indicates the influence of increasing city’s population on urban construction land expansion is stable, while the influence strength of population growth is greater than those of the economic development and industrial structure adjustment, in addition, the effect of the economic development on urban construction land expansion becomes increasingly stronger, while the influence strength of the adjustment of industrial structure on urban construction land expansion becomes increasingly weaker.

Key words: land economics, urban construction land, panel data of provinces, econometric analysis

中图分类号: 

  • F293.2