南方稻区农户适应气候变化行为实证分析 ——基于江西省36县(市)346份农户调查数据

doi:10.11849/zrzyxb.2011.07.004

自然资源学报 ›› 2011, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (7): 1119-1128.doi: 10.11849/zrzyxb.2011.07.004

南方稻区农户适应气候变化行为实证分析 ——基于江西省36县(市)346份农户调查数据

朱红根¹, 周曙东²

1. 江西农业大学经贸学院,南昌 330045;
2. 南京农业大学经济管理学院,南京210095

收稿日期:2010-12-24 修回日期:2011-03-10 出版日期:2011-07-20 发布日期:2011-07-20
通讯作者: 周曙东(1961- ),男,江苏江都人,教授,博士,博士生导师,主要研究资源与环境经济、农业技术经济。 E-mail:zhgen2004@163.com
作者简介:朱红根(1976- ),男,江西吉水人,教授,博士,主要研究资源与环境经济、农业经济理论与政策。E-mail: zhgen2004@163.com
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金项目(70963005);国家社会科学基金重大项目(08&zd015);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(KYT201005);教育部人文社科项目(09YJC790128);教育部人文社科项目(10YJC790119);江西农业大学自由申请项目。

Factors Influencing Southern Rice Farmers Adapting to Climate Change Behavior—Based on 346 Household Survey Data of 36 Counties in Jiangxi Province

ZHU Hong-gen¹, ZHOU Shu-dong²

1. College of Economics and Trade, Jiangxi Agricultural University, Nanchang 330045, China;
2. College of Economics and Management, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095, China

Received:2010-12-24 Revised:2011-03-10 Online:2011-07-20 Published:2011-07-20

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 利用江西省36县346个农户调查数据,运用Heckman Probit选择模型实证分析了影响农户气候变化感知及其适应行为决策的因素,结果表明,户主年龄、文化程度、与村民交流频率、来往亲戚数、赶集频率、看电视频率、距离市场远近及气象信息服务等因素能显著影响农户对气候变化的感知;而户主性别、年龄、文化程度、可借款人数、来往亲戚数、赶集频率、看电视频率及气象信息服务等因素对农户气候变化适应行为决策有显著影响。最后,根据实证分析结果,提出了促进农户采用气候变化适应行为的政策建议。

关键词: 资源环境, 农户适应行为, Heckman Probit选择模型, 气候变化

Abstract: Obtaining 346 household survey data from 36 counties in Jiangxi Province, with the aid of Heckman Probit selection model, this paper analyzes the factors influencing the farmers’ perception on climate change and adaptive behavior. According to the empirical results, factors such as the age of the head of a household, educational level, communication frequency with the villagers, the number of relatives, being in contact with frequency of going to a fair, frequency of watching television, distance from the market and weather information services can all significantly affect the farmers’ perception on climate change;while factors such as the gender, age and educational level of the head of a household,the number of people that can lend mney, the number of the relatives being in contact with, freguency of going to a fair, frequency of watching television and weather information services have significant effect on the decision-making behavior adaptable to climate change. Finally, based on empirical results, we put forward policies and recommendations facilitating farmers to adapt to climate change behavir.

Key words: resources and environment, adaptive behavior, Heckman Probit Selection Model, climate change

中图分类号:

S162

朱红根, 周曙东. 南方稻区农户适应气候变化行为实证分析 ——基于江西省36县(市)346份农户调查数据[J]. 自然资源学报, 2011, 26(7): 1119-1128.

ZHU Hong-gen, ZHOU Shu-dong. Factors Influencing Southern Rice Farmers Adapting to Climate Change Behavior—Based on 346 Household Survey Data of 36 Counties in Jiangxi Province[J]. JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES, 2011, 26(7): 1119-1128.

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南方稻区农户适应气候变化行为实证分析 ——基于江西省36县(市)346份农户调查数据

Factors Influencing Southern Rice Farmers Adapting to Climate Change Behavior—Based on 346 Household Survey Data of 36 Counties in Jiangxi Province

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