自然资源学报

自然资源学报 ›› 2010, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (6): 1042-1048.doi: 10.11849/zrzyxb.2010.06.016

• 专题论坛 • 上一篇    下一篇

结构与效率因素的节能效果分析——以北京为例

李艳梅1,程晓凌2   

  1. 1. 北京工业大学 循环经济研究院, 北京 100124;
    2. 中国科学院 区域可持续发展分析与模拟重点实验室, 中国科学院 地理科学与资源研究所, 北京 100101
  • 收稿日期:2009-06-15 修回日期:2010-03-22 出版日期:2010-06-30 发布日期:2010-06-30
  • 作者简介:李艳梅(1979- ),女,内蒙古乌兰察布人,讲师,博士,主要研究能源经济和低碳经济。
  • 基金资助:

    教育部人文社会科学研究项目(09YJC790015);北京工业大学青年基金项目(X1104001201001)和博士科研启动基金(X0104001200904)。

Energy Saving Effect of Structure and Efficiency: A Case Study of Beijing

LI Yan-mei1,CHENG Xiao-ling2   

  1. 1. Institute of Recycling Economy, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China;
    2. Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing 100101, China
  • Received:2009-06-15 Revised:2010-03-22 Online:2010-06-30 Published:2010-06-30

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摘要： 近年来,北京市能源强度呈现出不断下降的趋势,准确计量影响能源强度变动的各因素所产生的节能效果,可为未来进一步挖掘节能潜力提供参考。论文采用能源强度变化的完全分解模型,以1985—2007年为样本期,对影响北京市能源强度变化的结构因素和效率因素进行了计量。结果表明:在整个样本期内,效率和结构因素都对北京市的节能产生了正向作用,并且效率因素的节能效果大于结构因素。分阶段分析显示,2000年以后,结构节能效果表现出逐渐增强的趋势。由此可见,目前北京市的效率节能效果良好,结构节能效果有所发挥,但仍有潜力可挖,并且最大潜力在于工业部门内部结构的变化。

关键词: 能源强度, 因素分解, 节能, 北京市

Abstract: Beijing’s energy intensity has decreasing continually in recent years. The quantitative analysis of the factors of energy intensity is precondition of looking for energy saving approach in the future. The paper uses method of complete decomposition model to analyze the influence of structure and efficiency on energy intensity from 1985 to 2007 in Beijing. The result indicates that both structure and efficiency are factors which promote energy intensity decrease during 1985-2007. Energy intensity decreased 6.17 tons of standard coal per ten thousand yuan in 1985-2007, in which contribution rate of structure and efficiency is respectively 24.68% and 75.32%. Further analysis result by stages shows that energy intensity decreased 4.95 tons of standard coal per ten thousand yuan in 1985-2000, in which contribution rate of structure and efficiency is respectively 34.59% and 65.41%; energy intensity decreased 1.22 tons of standard coal per ten thousand yuan in 2000-2007, in which contribution rate of structure and efficiency is respectively 38.29% and 61.71%. Thus, energy saving effect of structure has been strengthened gradually after 2000. Conclusively, efficiency effect for energy saving is good, structure has a little effect for energy saving, but there is still energy saving potential by structure in the future, and the biggest energy saving potential is in industrial departments. Moreover, as a high energy consumption department in the tertiary industry, transportation, storage and posts services’ proportion in total energy consumption is advancing, so its negative effect to energy saving should not be ignored.

Key words: energy intensity, factor decomposition, energy saving, Beijing

中图分类号: 

  • F062.1