自然资源学报 ›› 2005, Vol. 20 ›› Issue (6): 891-899.doi: 10.11849/zrzyxb.2005.06.013

• 资源经济 • 上一篇    下一篇

区域农业循环经济发展评价及其实证研究

马其芳1, 黄贤金1, 彭补拙1, 翟文侠1, 刘林旺2   

  1. 1. 南京大学城市与资源学系, 南京 210093;
    2. 江苏省农林厅, 南京 210036
  • 收稿日期:2005-04-21 修回日期:2005-07-28 出版日期:2005-12-25 发布日期:2005-12-25
  • 通讯作者: 黄贤金(1968-),男,教授、博士、博士生导师,主要从事土地资源与资源环境管理研究.E-mail:hxj369@njn.edu.cn E-mail:hxj369@njn.edu.cn
  • 作者简介:马其芳(1979-),女,安徽天长人,博士研究生,主要从事资源环境管理研究,E-mail:recboat@163.com
  • 基金资助:

    霍英东基金优选项目(94001);江苏省软科学基金项目(BR2004003BR2005009);江苏省哲学社会科学研究“十五”规划基金项目(04WWB009)联合资助

A Positive Study of the Evaluation on the Development of Regional Agricultural Recycling Economy

MA Qi-fang1, HUANG Xian-jin1, PENG Bu-zhuo1, ZHAI Wen-xia1, LIU Lin-wang2   

  1. 1. Department of Urban & Resources Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China;
    2. Jiangsu Agriculture & Forestry Bureau, Nanjing 210036, China
  • Received:2005-04-21 Revised:2005-07-28 Online:2005-12-25 Published:2005-12-25

摘要: 运用BPEIR概念模型及特尔菲法选择区域农业循环经济发展评价指标体系,并通过层次分析法,对1985至2003年江苏省农业循环经济发展水平进行综合评价。1985年以来,江苏省农业循环经济发展依次历经缓慢提升、快速发展以及目前的稳定发展阶段,农业循环经济化趋势增强,综合评价指数分布在区间(1,1.5)内;并对2003年影响江苏省农业循环经济发展的障碍因素进行诊断,发现资源减量投入成为主要限制因素。资源减量投入、资源循环利用、经济与社会发展、资源环境安全对江苏省农业循环经济发展的限制作用依次为57%、19%、13%和11%。为提高现阶段江苏省农业循环经济发展水平,提出相关建议,比如减少物质投入,推广适合本区域的生态农业、有机农业生产模式,稳步推进农业产业化与工业化,构建经济激励机制等。

关键词: 农业, 循环经济, 综合评价, 障碍度分析

Abstract: At present,conventional agriculture is confronted with a series of problems,such as en-vironmental pollution,ecological damage,resources waste,etc.People begin to focus on the deve-lopment of regional agricultural recycling economy,for improving efficiency in use of resources and economic benefit.The index system for evaluating agricultural recycling economy was finished by BPEIR model and Delphi method.This paper studies the index system for evaluating the development about regional agricultural recycling economy,taking Jiangsu Province as a case.Based on the quantitative analysis by AHP method,it makes a comprehensive evaluation on the development of agricultural recycling economy in Jiangsu Province from 1985 to 2003.The result shows the development process of agricultural recycling economy in Jiangsu can be divided into three phrases.At first stage,the level of agricultural recycling economy improved slowly.Then,it developed quickly.Presently,the development of agricultural recycling economy in Jiangsu Province is in a steady situation.As a whole,the level of agricultural recycling economy in Jiangsu Province goes up continuously.The indexes of evaluation fasten on the section from 1 to 1.5.Secondly,he limiting factors to the development of agricultural recycling economy are disclosed in 2003.The primary obstacle was the reduction of resources input.The proportions of the obstacle to resources input,reduction recycling use of resources,development of economy and society,safety of resources and environment are respectively 57%,19%,13% and 11%.In order to improve the level of agricultural recycling economy of Jiangsu Province,some advices are put forward,such as the reduction of resources input,construction of eco-agriculture and organic agriculture,development of agricultural industrializa-tion.

Key words: agriculture, recycling economy, comprehensive evaluation, analysis on obstacle a-mounts

中图分类号: 

  • S181