自然资源学报

自然资源学报 ›› 1997, Vol. 12 ›› Issue (3): 282-287.doi: 10.11849/zrzyxb.1997.03.013

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

应用ARID CROP模型对中国黄淮海地区冬小麦气候生产力的数值模拟研究

刘建栋, 傅抱璞, 金之庆, 卢其尧, 林振山   

  1. 南京大学大气科学系, 南京 210093
  • 收稿日期:1996-07-03 修回日期:1996-12-10 出版日期:1997-09-25 发布日期:1997-09-25
  • 作者简介:刘建栋,男,1969年12月26日生,农业气候学学士、硕士,现为南京大学大气科学系(与南京大学自然资 源研究中心联合培养)博士生。主要从事气候资源的数值模拟、开发及利用等研究,目前运用ARID CROP及 CERES等模型进行CO2浓度倍增对中国粮食影响的数值模拟研究,已在《南京大学学报》、《中国农业气象》 等刊物发表论文数篇。
  • 基金资助:

    IPCC(政府间气候专门委员会)国际合作项目,“国家教委跨世纪人才”基金

A STUDY OF THE NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF THE CLIMATICPRODUCTIVITY OF WINTER WHEAT IN THE HUANGHUAIHAIREGION BY USING THE ARID CROP MODEL

Liu Jiandong, Fu Baopu, Jin Zhiqing, Lu Qiyao, Lin Zhenshan   

  1. Department of Atmospheric Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093
  • Received:1996-07-03 Revised:1996-12-10 Online:1997-09-25 Published:1997-09-25

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摘要： 应用ＡＲＩＤＣＲＯＰ模型对黄淮海地区冬小麦气候生产力进行了数值模拟研究,给出了该地区冬小麦气候生产力Ｙｑ分布图,继而研究了水分保持最适状况时的光温生产力Ｙｗ分布状况,在此基础上给出了水分增产力Ｑ（Ｑ＝（Ｙｗ－Ｙｑ）／Ｙｑ）分布图。研究表明,黄淮海地区冬小麦气候生产力变幅在３７５０～９７５０ｋｇ／ｈｍ２之间,总的趋势北低南高,黑龙港地区出现了一个３７５０ｋｇ／ｈｍ２的低值区。水分是黄淮海北部地区冬小麦气候生产力的一个重要限制因子,当水分完全适宜时,南部淮河流域冬小麦气候生产力仅可提高５％～１０％,而黄淮海北部地区气候生产力则可提高７５％～１００％。用黄淮海地区冬小麦高产记录与生产力模拟值进行了对比分析,表明用ＡＲＩＤＣＲＯＰ模型对该地区冬小麦气候生产力进行研究是可行的,该研究为引黄灌溉提供了一定的理论依据。

关键词: ARIDCROP模型, 黄淮海地区, 冬小麦, 气候生产力, 数值模拟

Abstract: he ARID CROP model is used to study the numerical simulation of the climatic productivity of winter wheat in the Huanghuaihai region .The distribution map of the climatic productivity (Yq) is given first. Then the distribution condition of the productivity of photo temperature (Yw) is studied at the time when the moisture condition is most suitable.On the basis of these studies, the distribution map of the increasing production force of moisture Q(Q=(Yw-Yq)/Yq) is given. The results show that the climatic productivity of winter wheat in the Huanghuaihai region changes from 3 750～9 750 kg/ha , the general tendency is that the value is lower in the north but higher in the south, and there is a low value of about 3 750 kg/ha in the Heilonggang Area. Mois ture is a main factor which limits the climatic productivity of winter wheat in the northern part of the Huanghuaihai region.When moisture is suitable for winter wheat growth, the climatic productivity can only increase about 5%～10% in the southern part of the Huaihe River basin, whereas in the northern part of the Huanghuaihai region it can increase about 75%～100%. The high production records of winter wheat in the Huanghuaihai region are used to compare with the simulate value of productivity . The results show that it is feasible to simulate the climatic productivity of winter wheat by using the ARID CROP model in the Huanghuaihai region. This study will provide a theoretical basis for conducting water from the Huanghe River for irrigation to a certain extent.

Key words: ARID CROP model, Huanghuaihai region, winter wheat, climatic productivity, numerical simulation