自然资源学报 ›› 1995, Vol. 10 ›› Issue (2): 140-147.doi: 10.11849/zrzyxb.1995.02.006

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

气候变化与持续农业浅析

王石立   

  1. 中国气象科学研究院, 北京 100081
  • 出版日期:1995-09-25 发布日期:1995-09-25

A PRELIMINARY STUDY OF CLIMATIC CHANGE AND SUSTAINED AGRICULTURE

Wang Shili   

  1. Chinese Academy of Meteorological Science, Beijing
  • Online:1995-09-25 Published:1995-09-25

摘要: 从持续农业的内涵出发,讨论了气候变化与持续农业的关系。并从农作物生产力和产量、种植制度、区域农业生产及生产费用等几方面分析了气候变化对中国持续农业的影响。指出温室效应引起的气候变化可能使我国农业生产的不稳定性加剧,自然资源短缺,农业成本增加,对农业生产有一定的不利影响,不应盲目乐观。

关键词: 气候变化, 持续农业, 影响

Abstract: The relationship between climatic change and sustained agriculture is discussed from the standpoint of the connotation of sustained agriculture. The impact of climatic change on sustained agriculture in China is analysed according to the crop productivity and yield,cropping system,regional agricultural production and production cost. It is pointed out that climatic change induced by green house effects may cause the intensification of the agricultural instability,the shortage of natural resources and the increase of agricultural cost. Therefore this will have certain unfavorable impact on sustained agriculture and can not be treated in a blind optimatic altitude.

Key words: climatic change, sustained agriculture, impact