自然资源学报 ›› 1992, Vol. 7 ›› Issue (1): 36-42.doi: 10.11849/zrzyxb.1992.01.005

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

应用马尔可夫链分析预测福建以林为主的土地利用趋势

陈平留, 黄清麟   

  1. 福建林学院
  • 出版日期:1992-03-25 发布日期:1992-03-25

ANALYSIS OF LAND USE SITUATION AND FORECAST OF ITS DEVELOPMENT TENDENCY IN FUJIAN PROVINCE BY MARKOV CHAIN

Chen Pingliu Huang Qinglin   

  1. Fujian Forestry College
  • Online:1992-03-25 Published:1992-03-25

摘要: 土地利用状况的研究是国土整治及林业发展规划的重要研究内容,本文根据森林资源连续清查的资料,应用马尔可夫链理论,建立预测模型,分析、预测土壤利用的动态状况,提出宏观控制的对策,为土地利用规划,林业生产决策提供科学的方法与依据。

关键词: 土地利用, 分析, 预测, 马尔可夫链

Abstract: The study of land use situation is the important content of studies of the national land regulation and the forestry development plan. Applying the data of Continuous Forest Inven tory (CFI) and Markov Chain theory, the author has established the model of land use forecast, analysed the land use situation, forecasted its development tendency, and put forward the countermeasures of macroscopic control. The study can provide scientific method and basis for land use plan and making policy.

Key words: land use, analysis, forecast, markov chain