中国居民能源消费的间接回弹效应分析及双碳目标下的政策启示

许光清, 张文丹, 刘海博

Indirect rebound effect analysis of Chinese residential energy consumption and policy recommendations for the carbon peak and carbon neutrality goals

XU Guang-qing, ZHANG Wen-Dan, LIU Hai-bo

表3 部门碳排放强度c和后向关联系数L (t CO2/万元)

Table 3 CO2 emission intensity c and the backward relating coefficient L by sector

部门代码 2002年 2007年 2012年 2017年 c L c L c L c L 1 0.387 1.528 0.418 1.527 0.314 1.279 0.309 0.941 2 2.174 3.958 1.818 4.214 1.764 3.532 1.057 2.118 3 0.731 2.296 0.506 2.137 0.269 1.518 0.183 1.072 4 0.636 2.845 0.494 2.829 0.371 2.226 0.301 1.689 5 0.325 2.692 0.323 2.951 0.26 2.337 0.139 1.534 6 1.067 3.485 0.803 3.679 0.453 2.906 0.329 1.978 7 2.872 6.153 2.589 6.073 2.392 5.314 2.319 3.998 8 1.798 4.849 1.313 4.73 1.585 4.623 1.175 3.084 9 4.833 9.767 4.534 9.951 2.64 6.561 2.414 4.926 10 0.565 4.556 0.414 5.147 0.203 3.366 0.154 2.133 11 0.666 4.313 0.302 4.452 0.148 3.009 0.11 1.9 12 0.176 3.627 0.123 4.482 0.09 3.19 0.067 2.056 13 1.951 3.284 0.319 2.545 0.593 2.289 0.362 1.36 14 2.402 4.301 0.859 3.606 0.721 3.033 0.681 1.991 15 2.84 6.027 1.077 4.372 0.465 3.014 0.325 1.785 16 2.168 4.223 1.854 3.841 1.986 3.52 1.849 2.929 17 0.191 3.841 0.18 4.407 0.162 3.282 0.14 2.153 18 1.091 2.45 1.2 2.399 1.002 1.665 0.888 1.371 19 0.616 2.609 0.559 2.818 0.484 2.375 0.378 1.345 20 0.275 1.663 0.319 1.796 0.272 1.376 0.233 0.934