成都都市圈生态与社会经济系统耦合协调动态演化、多情景模拟及其政策启示
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刘轶, 王倩娜, 廖奕晴
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Dynamic evolution and multi-scenario simulation of ecosystem and socio-economic system coupling coordination in Chengdu Metropolitan Area and its policy implications
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LIU Yi, WANG Qian-na, LIAO Yi-qing
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表6 成都都市圈2010—2020年社会经济指标赋值及2035年预测值
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Table 6 Socio-economic indicators values from 2010 to 2020 and predicted values for 2035 in Chengdu Metropolitan Area
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| 指标 | 年份 | 成都市 | 德阳市 | 眉山市 | 资阳市 | | GDP/亿元 | 2010实际值 | 5889.5 | 917.3 | 542.0 | 348.9 | | 2015实际值 | 10662.3 | 1525.8 | 958.7 | 572.8 | | 2020实际值 | 17716.7 | 2404.1 | 1423.7 | 807.5 | | 2035预测值 | 43521.3 | 5681.3 | 3127.1 | 1894.7 | | 常住人口城镇化率/% | 2010实际值 | 65.8 | 41.3 | 34.1 | 30.7 | | 2015实际值 | 73.0 | 47.9 | 42.4 | 34.9 | | 2020实际值 | 78.8 | 56.0 | 50.1 | 41.3 | | 2035预测值 | 88.6 | 75.2 | 72.3 | 73.7 | | 人口规模/万人 | 2010实际值 | 1405.5 | 361.7 | 295.2 | 366.5 | | 2015实际值 | 1685.3 | 348.5 | 297.9 | 347.6 | | 2020实际值 | 2094.7 | 345.7 | 295.6 | 231.0 | | 2035预测值 | 2200.0 | 341.7 | 310.3 | 325.0 | | 城乡居民人均可支配收入/元 | 2010实际值 | 12897.0 | 10396.4 | 9461.78 | 9526.1 | | 2015实际值 | 25495.0 | 19918.0 | 19575.5 | 19354.0 | | 2020实际值 | 37508.0 | 29575.0 | 29311.0 | 28319.0 | | 2035预测值 | 74884.3 | 61251.0 | 58800.6 | 59665.4 |
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