基于系统动力学的中国碳减排路径模拟
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王火根, 肖丽香, 廖冰
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Simulation of China's carbon emission reduction path based on system dynamics
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WANG Huo-gen, XIAO Li-xiang, LIAO Bing
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表3 变量实际值与模拟值、误差结果
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Table 3 The variable actual value and simulation value, and error results
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| 年份 | GDP | | 总装机容量 | | 总碳排放量 | 实际值
/亿元 | 仿真值
/亿元 | 误差率
/% | 实际值
/(万kW·h) | 仿真值
/(万kW·h) | 误差率/% | 实际值
/亿t | 仿真值
/亿t | 误差率
/% | | 2016 | 736036.5 | 737078 | -0.14 | | 165051 | 165015 | 0.34 | | 103.55 | 104.71 | -1.12 | | 2017 | 787170.4 | 787199 | 0 | 177708 | 177016 | 0.39 | 104.67 | 108.52 | -3.68 | | 2018 | 840302.6 | 841516 | -0.14 | 190012 | 189026 | 0.52 | 108.14 | 112.05 | -3.62 | | 2019 | 891646.1 | 897897 | -0.70 | 201006 | 200780 | 0.11 | 110.84 | 115.43 | -4.14 | | 2020 | 912154 | 922669 | -1.15 | 220058 | 219975 | 0.04 | 113.70 | 118.93 | -4.60 |
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