中国环境产品进出口贸易对碳排放的影响

毛熙彦, 贺灿飞, 王佩玉, 许蕊, 胡醒木子, 贺舒琪

Effects of China's trade in environmental goodson carbon emissions

MAO Xi-yan, HE Can-fei, WANG Pei-yu, XU Rui, HU Xing-mu-zi, HE Shu-qi

表6 中国非能源相关环境产品进出口对碳排放的长期和短期作用

Table 6 Long-term and short-term effects of import and export trade of non-energy-related environmental goods on carbon emissions in China

变量 模型12 模型13 模型14 模型15 模型16 模型17 C(2, 3, 3, 2) CS(2, 1, 0, 0) CY(1, 0, 0, 3) C(1, 0, 3, 0) CS(2, 1, 1, 0) CY(1, 1, 1, 1) 长期系数 TVI -0.037* -0.013*** 0.048** HI -1.220 13.163*** -8.613*** AI 4.077 8.050*** 17.473** TVE -0.016** -0.004 -0.014** HE 14.051 27.968*** -8.324 AE 4.663** 1.699* 3.714** 短期系数 ∆TVIt 0.068*** 0.013 ∆TVIt-1 0.017** 0.030*** ∆TVIt-2 0.038*** ∆HIt 3.386* -15.410*** ∆HIt-1 1.482 -11.556*** ∆HIt-2 -5.959*** -7.109*** ∆AIt -6.100** -3.377 -13.138** ∆AIt-1 2.624* -8.828** ∆AIt-2 -3.754* ∆TVEt -0.029*** 0.040*** ∆HEt -1.017 -20.901*** 14.202** ∆HIt-1 -6.112 ∆HIt-2 -13.989* ∆AEt -3.660** ECMt-1 -0.635*** -1.458*** -0.760*** -0.866*** -0.854*** -0.573*** Adj-R2 0.909 0.782 0.629 0.575 0.811 0.830