全球二氧化碳浓度非均匀分布条件下碳排放与升温关系的统计分析
邓祥征, 蒋思坚, 刘冰, 王泽昊, 邵卿

Statistical analysis of the relationship between carbon emissions and temperature rise with the spatially heterogenous distribution of carbon dioxide concentration
DENG Xiang-zheng, JIANG Si-jian, LIU Bing, WANG Ze-hao, SHAO Qing
表2 联立方程组模型计量结果
Table 2 Estimation results of simultaneous equations model
变量 模型组一:不考虑CO2浓度 模型组二:考虑CO2浓度
OLS 2SLS 3SLS GSLS GS2SLS GS3SLS
dT lnE 0.0182*** 0.191*** 0.192*** 0.0158*** 0.186*** 0.187***
(0.0030) (0.0065) (0.0065) (0.0030) (0.0065) (0.0065)
lnCO2 16.95*** 15.59*** 15.80***
(1.082) (1.092) (1.092)
WlnCO2 0.372*** 0.268*** 0.255***
(0.0401) (0.0406) (0.0406)
lnrain -0.0075 0.134*** 0.0238* -0.0058 0.130*** 0.0242*
(0.0135) (0.0143) (0.0142) (0.0135) (0.0143) (0.0142)
lnrain2 -0.0003 0.0045*** 0.0025*** 0.0001 0.0041*** 0.0027***
(0.0010) (0.0010) (0.0010) (0.0010) (0.0010) (0.0010)
Longitude 0.0011*** -0.0005* -0.0004 0.001*** -0.0002** -0.0004
(0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0002)
Latitude 0.0032*** 0.0115*** 0.0136*** -0.0019** 0.0076*** 0.0097***
(0.0007) (0.0007) (0.0007) (0.0008) (0.0009) (0.0009)
DEM -0.0628*** -0.0185 -0.0107 -0.0579** -0.0151 -0.0133
(0.0243) (0.0245) (0.0245) (0.0243) (0.0245) (0.0245)
常数项 0.260*** 0.582*** -0.166** -102.6*** -93.69*** -95.59***
(0.0733) (0.0747) (0.0741) (6.435) (6.494) (6.494)
Wald chi2 14.0*** 153.4*** 1076.4*** 53.7*** 152.7*** 1369.9***
R2 0.040 0.039 0.039 0.021 0.021 0.020
lnE
lnT 96.72*** 97.33*** 96.27*** 96.85***
(0.495) (0.494) (0.496) (0.494)
lnCO2 3.271*** 3.181***
(0.738) (0.738)
WlnCO2 0.523*** 0.522***
(0.0293) (0.0293)
lnPOP 0.0599*** 0.0588*** 0.0603*** 0.0592***
(0.0049) (0.0048) (0.00486) (0.00481)
lnPOP2 0.0033*** 0.0033*** 0.00334*** 0.00328***
(0.0003) (0.0003) (0.0003) (0.0003)
变量 模型组一:不考虑CO2浓度 模型组二:考虑CO2浓度
OLS 2SLS 3SLS GSLS GS2SLS GS3SLS
lnE lnpGDP 0.858*** 0.881*** 0.757*** 0.773***
(0.0146) (0.0145) (0.0156) (0.0155)
lnpGDP2 0.0280*** 0.0292*** 0.0237*** 0.0246***
(0.0007) (0.0007) (0.0007) (0.0007)
Longitude 0.0103*** 0.0104*** 0.010*** 0.010***
(0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0002)
Latitude 0.0559*** 0.0563*** 0.0508*** 0.0513***
(0.0007) (0.0007) (0.0008) (0.0008)
DEM 0.535*** 0.554*** 0.517*** 0.534***
(0.0186) (0.0185) (0.0186) (0.0185)
常数项 -771.4*** -776.2*** -790.0*** -794.2***
(3.960) (3.949) (5.763) (5.757)
Wald chi2 9553.6*** 76419.8*** 7689.6*** 76892.8***
R2 0.275 0.275 0.276 0.276
样本量/个 202332 202332 202332 202332 202332 202332