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  • 2014 Volume 33 Issue 2
    Published: 10 February 2014
      

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  • LU Dadao, JIA Shaofeng, BAI Yongping
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    How to utilize water resource sustainably has become one of the foci for the whole society. Water waste and low use efficiency have been the primary cause for China's water crisis. Northern China faces serious water shortage, where water resources have been overexploited for a long time, rivers became dried, the underground water was over exploited,and the river ecology and environment deteriorated. It has little possibility to further "broaden source". Although the South to North Water Transfer Project is being constructed, the cost is very high. In recent years, water use in most parts of northern China was still increasing slowly. According to the experience of developed countries, water use follows the law of Kuznets Curve: it increases along with economic development in the beginning, and reaches the peak and turns down when economic development reaches a higher level. So water use in northern China will certainly enter into a phase of low and even zero growth. The water use trend in recent years showed the premonition of turning into the stage of water use decrease:Agriculture water use decreased fluctuatedly, and the efficiency increased gradually; Industrial water use also decreased; Domestic water use, especially in cities and towns, increased, but it made up a very small percentage of the total water use. Therefore, the total water use quantity in northern China may enter into a stage of low increase or even decrease soon. In the long run, we estimate that the upper limit of total water use will be about 250 billion m3.In the aspects of government water resources management and water use idea, we should make adjustment in water demand planning, water use philosophy, water-saving measures and institutional arrangement, such as changing the tradition of overestimating water demand in making planning, and changing the traditional view of water as welfare, promote water price,and constructing a water-conserving society, etc.
  • NIE Juan, LIAN Jian, HU Zhuowei
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    Wenchuan Earthquake has formed a rupture zone with a length of about 350 km and a width of about 50 km along the Longmen Mountain fault zone and triggered tens of thousands of geological disasters like landslides, debris flows and dilapidations which caused huge losses to the lives and property of the people and economic development and provided the basic condition for the occurrence of the landslides after the earthquake. The study on the changes of the relationship between landslides spatial distribution and the disaster pregnant environment factors has important scientific, social and economic value to analysis of the formation mechanism of the landslide induced by the earthquake.
    On the basis of research finding by the predecessors, this article studies the construction of the multi-factor index system for the landslide disaster pregnant environment susceptibility assessment in the seriously destroyed regions in Wenchuan Earthquake including geomorphic condition (3 factors), cut slope condition (2 factors), lithology condition (1 factor) and tectonic condition (1 factor). On the basis of the construction of landslides inventory database (before and after earthquake) about the earthquake-stricken area, this paper analyses the relationship between the landslides spatial distribution and their disaster pregnant environment parameters including slope, aspect, elevation, lithology, road, river and fault before and after the earthquake using the statistical parameters of landslide number and landslide density based on GIS spatial analysis method to explain the changes of disaster environment parameter interval before and after Wenchuan earthquake.
    Through the analysis we can come to the conclusion that the relationship between landslides spatial distribution and disaster-pregnant environmental factors was influenced by the earthquake to a certain extent based on the GIS spatial statistical analysis method: compared with the pre-seismic situation, after the earthquake, the range of slope, lithology, distance buffer that are most liable to induce landslides changed greatly, and, aspect, distance to roads, distance to rivers and other factors had remarkable influence on landslides. Research results provide the basis for determining the landslide-prone areas in the co-seismic condition.
  • LIU Bintao, TAO Heping, LIU Shaoquan, YU Hui
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    The Sichuan-Yunnan-Guizhou bordering area is a high risk one of natural hazards in China, and the natural hazards has seriously hampered the regional socio-economic development. Based on the field survey and statistical data, we analyzed the characteristics of major natural hazards in the study area, including earthquake, debris flow, landside, flood,drought, hail, low temperature and cold damage, and established a natural hazard comprehensive evaluation model. And then, the natural hazard assessment map was produced with the aid of the ArcGIS software. The result showed that the natural hazards danger degree showed the basic pattern of the "two lines and one zone". The fist line is the Xiaojing-Anning fault, the second one is the Jinshajiang River, and the "one zone" is the Wumeng mountain region. Macro-geological structure and topography are important factors that control the distribution pattern of natural hazards in the study area. The total area, total population and total gross domestic product of the highly dangerous and extremely dangerous area are 118,300 km2, 1933.15 million and 379.39 billion yuan(RMB) respectively, which is more than half of the Sichuan-Yunnan-Guizhou bordering area. So, the hazard prevention and reduction become important issues that can not be ignored in the process of economic development of this area. This study also found that the impact of natural hazard on rural areas was more significant. Therefore, we should watch out for this situation in the socio-development and poverty alleviation and development of natural hazards in the study area, especially in the contiguous poor areas of Wumeng mountain region.
  • ZHENG Mingguo, SUN Liying
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    Temporal change of baseflow and surface runoff, two components of river runoff,receives little attention though the runoff variation has long been an important concern worldwide. This study made a comparison of hydrological regimes in the Lishui river watershed, a mountain watershed in southern China between two periods of 1950s-1985 and2007-2011. We examine not only the temporal change of runoff and its FDC(flow duration curve), but also the temporal change of its two components and their FDCs. The data used mainly involves the long-term observations at four gauging stations, 13 rainfall stations and two meteorological stations. Annual precipitation remains almost unchanged between the two periods compared with the former period. The latter period, however, was characterized by a high forest cover(about 70% in 2009) and numerous reservoirs. The substantial change in land surfaces induced by human activities makes no statistically significant difference both in annual runoff volume and its two components, which varies by about 10% between two periods. Human activities, however, play an important role at the daily time scale. Our examinations on FDCs show a differential response of the surface runoff and the baseflow to human activities. Responding to the reservoir operations and the high vegetating cover after2007, the daily surface-runoff discharge decreases in the high-flow period and increases in other periods. The daily baseflow discharge remains insensitive to human activities, with FDCs after 2007 coinciding with those before 1985 except in the low-flow period. Out result may be typical of the humid southern China and is thus indicative of other rivers in southern China.
  • YUSUF Mamat, MAHPIRET Ulam, MANSUR Sabit
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    This paper uses average daily temperature data of 1961-2010 obtained from Kuqa,Shaya and Xinhe weather stations to reveal the impact of climate warming on cotton production of Ugan-Kuqa River delta oasis. Results showed that:
    (1) The temperature of the research area, during recent 50 years, showed an increasing trend, the spring temperature rose by 1.75℃, the summer temperature by 1.65℃, and autumn temperature by 2.05℃; the average minimum and maximum temperature from April to October rose by 2.25℃ and 0.05℃, respectively; the average minimum and maximum temperature from May to September rose by 2.55℃, and 0.3℃, respectively; accumulated temperature(≥ 10℃) rose by 361.1℃.
    (2) Due to the accelerating spring warming, and slowing fall cooling, cotton sowing advanced eight days, stop growing delayed six days, and growth period extended about 14days; As the average minimum temperature in growth period and ≥10℃ accumulated temperature had risen, the heat resources of cotton growth period increased, poor climatic conditions was down to the lowest, photosynthetic rate was stronger, light and temperature matching were more coordinated, so that the cotton dry matter accumulation has been effectively increased, which resulted in increasing cotton yield per unit. The cotton light and temperature potential productivity of the research area in recent 50 years increased by18.65%, and the actual production increased by 437.38%.
    (3) The average cotton light and temperature potential productivity in the study area was4238 kg/hm2, which was 2.45 times of the average actual production. With the development of cotton farming and cultivation technology, the wide application of high-yielding cotton varieties, and the extensive use of water-saving irrigation technologies, levels of cotton light and temperature potential productivity will be higher in the future.
  • HE Fanneng, LI Shicheng, ZHANG Xuezhen
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    We determined the possible extent of forest distribution before reclamation on the basis of satellite-based land use data and global potential vegetation data. Then, topography(including altitude and slope), production potential of climate(including light, temperature and water) were selected and their relationships with cropland spatial distribution were quantified to create land suitability for cultivation model and historical forest spatially explicit reconstruction model. And the models were used to reconstruct forest cover in Southwest China of five time points between 1724 and 1911 in the Qing Dynasty. The results show that:
    (1) The model we designed is reasonable on the whole and the forest cover can be recreated well by the model;
    (2) The RFT(i.e., the ratio of forest area to total land area of each administrative unit,hereafter RFT in short) of Southwest China decreased from 54.7% in 1724 to 27.8% in 1911.And the changes were mainly found in the Sichuan Basin, the central-eastern part of Yunnan and most parts of Guizhou.
    (3) In terms of the change tendency of the percent of grids in each interval, the percentages of grids whose RFT is less than 10% increased by 31% while the percentages of grids whose RFT is more than 80% decreased by 13%.
  • QIN Chengzhi, HU Xuemei
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    The scale-dependent characteristics in gridded digital elevation model(DEM) cause scale-related problems to digital terrain analysis(DTA). In this paper, we first introduce main types of scales in DEM and DTA. Focusing on resolution and neighborhood size, we summarize four types of main scale-related problems in DEMs and DTA(i.e. multi-scale representation, scale effect characterization, appropriate scale determination, and scale transformation) and describe the relationships among these four problems. Then the quantitative research methods for each kind of scale problems are reviewed. Particularly, the quantitative methods for scale effect characterization and appropriate scale determination are classified according to different categories of information used for computing quantitative indicators. As a conclusion, we list key research issues in this field.
  • XI Guangliang, ZHEN Feng, WANG Xia, QIN Xiao
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    Online consumption has been developed rapidly under the driving of internet and information technologies, which is increasingly more and more important for urban residents' consumption. Due to the differences of residents' social classes and residential space differentiation, the online consumption has different spatial characteristics and multiple effects on physical space. The researchers have focused on the influencing factors of online consumption and the characteristics of residents' online consumption behavior. When it comes to the influencing factors, they discussed the relationship between the choice of online consumption and internet infrastructure, advertising media, e-commerce as well as residents' social economic attrubutes. Meanwhile, some empirical studies have been focused on the role of online consumption on corresponding physical consumption. The authors would pay close attention to some new factors which affect online consumption, such as living, transportation, logistics and the usage of mobile internet. Then the spatial distribution of residents' online consumption is analyzed. The survey was conducted by face-to-face questionnaire during August of 2011, and the respondents were randomly selected in different urban districts and different residential areas. A total of 1003 questionnaires were delivered and 997 copies were retrieved. Based on the data of the questionnaires, the authors analyzed the influence of social status on the choices of residents' online consumption, and then revealed the spatial characteristics of residents' online consumption through calculating the proportion of online consumption residents in different habitats and the type of online consumption goods. Finally, the effects of online consumption on urban spatial organization and travel behavior were discussed. It is indicated that the socio-economic attributes, such as gender, age, income and education, have significant impact on the online comsumption behavior. Because of the lower goods price, people with lower income and poor housing condition prefer the online shopping. The transportation modes have significant impact on the wholesale (Tuangou) consumption, and the public transportation systems are the basic support for the development of the interaction consumption integrating online and physical ways. The limitation of the fixed information technologies on the online consumption tends to be weaker, while the mobile information technologies gradually affect online consumption. Meanwhile, the proportions of online consumption residents show differentiation characteristics between different urban spaces, such as downtown areas, outskirts and suburbs. So it can be seen that the influences of online consumption on the physical space and travel behavior vary in different urban spaces.
  • MEI Zhixiong, XU Songjun, OUYANG Jun
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    Using the methods of factor analysis, extended potential model, ESDA and spatial econometrics model, and based on the data of 1990, 1994, 2000, 2005 and 2009 of county units in the Pearl River Delta, this paper analyzes the spatial agglomeration pattern evolvement and its influencing factors of urban potential at county level in the Pearl River Delta from 1990 to 2009. The results are obtained as follows: (1) As a whole, the spatial agglomeration of county potential in the region showed a positive effect. But the positive effect of the global spatial agglomeration was not strong and showed a weakening trend. (2) The local spatial agglomeration features of most counties kept relatively stable and displayed some obvious rules, that is, counties with higher potential were concentrated in Guangzhou-Foshan metropolitan region and tended to extend to Shenzhen-Dongguan-Huizhou metropolitan region, counties with lower potential were clustered further to the west part of the study area and formed a surface-shaped continuous distribution area. (3) The local spatial agglomeration pattern also involved some changes: the locations of HH and LL agglomeration changed; there were certain transformations among four types of local spatial agglomeration, which are HH, LL, HL and LH; the imbalance of spatial agglomeration of county potential between the western part and the central and eastern parts had an extending trend. (4) The results from influencing factors analysis show that interregional interaction, geographic location, consumer purchasing power, human capital, labor cost and information level had significant positive impacts on the spatial pattern evolvement of county potential agglomeration of the study area, and corporation number and urbanization level had remarkable negative impacts. However, the impacts of traffic condition, fixed assets investment and economic policy factors, such as openness level and government intervention, were not significant in statistics. The key findings of the paper have important policy implications.
  • WANG Lu, YANG Yanzhao, FENG Zhiming, YOU Zhen
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    China is a vast country with a large population. The population distribution of China may have significant regional differences in future due to many influencing factors,such as natural conditions, resources status and economic development conditions. Based on census data of China in 1982, 1990, 2000 and 2010, we predicted the population for each county of China in 2020 and 2030 by using Logistic model. Then we analyzed the spatial pattern of population distribution, the changes of population size in different regions, and the variation of population agglomeration degree of the urban agglomerations in future. The results showed that(1) China's overall population distribution pattern in 2020 and 2030would be coincident with the pattern in the 1930s. The proportion of population in the southeast part would decrease by 0.1%-0.3%, respectively, while that in the northwest part would increase by 0.1%-0.3% in 2020 and 2030, respectively,(2) In 2020, the population of most counties(1641 from 2253 counties, 69.7%) would increase. However, only the population of 598 counties would increase in 2030. In contrast, the population of more than60% of the counties would decrease in 2030.(3) The total population of the 21 urban agglomeration regions would decline from 781million in 2010 to 868 million in 2020, then down to 917 million in 2030. Accordingly, the concentration degree of population of the urban agglomerations would increase from 1.99 in 2010 to 2.17 in 2020, then up to 2.33 in2030. So the trends of population agglomeration in urban agglomerations of China would become more and more obvious as time goes on.
  • WANG Cong, CAO Youhui, CHEN Guowei
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    In the process of globalization, urban network has become research frontier of domestic and foreign scholars. By using research tools of western academics, this article analyses urban network development characteristics of the Yangtze River Delta region based on producer services from three aspects, which are hierarchy structure, network mode and functional characteristics. Studies have shown that urban network of the Yangtze River Delta region based on producer services has a significant hierarchy structure, but not entirely in conformity with the existing urban hierarchy characteristics, in which cities like Kunshan and Yiwu play the role of important network center. Meanwhile, the network connection between cities also shows significant sequence relationship by importance, and the network of producer services between three core node cities(Shanghai, Nanjing and Hangzhou) forms the most important network links of the Yangtze River Delta region. From the influence sphere of the three core nodes, Shanghai network has the most remarkable directivity and is most widely covered, while that of Nanjing and Hangzhou is no longer merely confined to within their own province area. The development trend of flat structure is increasingly significant. The core area with a "Z"-shaped one by traditional Shanghai, Nanjing, Hangzhou and Ningbo has turned to spread to the northern region of Nantong, Yangzhou and southern part of Shaoxing and other regions. According to the different network characteristics formed by different types of producer services, 11 departments could be classified into three types:perfect type, flat type, and professional type. The network formed by banking and finance,insurance and IT functions reveals prominent hierarchy phenomenon, and develops a relatively complete network, so it is called the perfect type. Cities covered by real estate,securities, logistics functions has more functions, but its hierarchy phenomenon is not obvious, and the distribution of the functional center is more scattered, thus it is known as the flat type. The distribution of network function center formed by accounting, law, advertising,management consulting, design and service functions is more concentrated, at the same time,in addition to the function center, the service value of other node cities is very small,therefore it is called a professional network.
  • ZHAN Dongsheng, MENG Bin, ZHANG Wenzhong
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    Improving residential satisfaction was an essential part of livable city construction and social harmony promotion. The traditional approach focused more on material construction instead of studying the residential perceptions on habitat environment, and the case study on residential satisfaction was relatively weak. Taking urban residents of different communities in Beijing as the study object and based on 2012 survey data, this study examined the perception factors of residential satisfaction and its relationship with mobility intention of the transitional period in Beijing by using exploratory factor analysis and structural equation model to construct residential satisfaction model. The result showed: the determinants of residential satisfaction were a four-dimension construction composed of housing conditions, residential environment, supporting facilities and traffic conditions, and its effect presented a decreasing trend in the order of housing conditions > residential environment > supporting facilities > traffic conditions. Besides, residential satisfaction has significantly negative influence on mobility intention. Lastly, residents' social-economic characteristics also had a significant impact on residential satisfaction and mobility intention.By constructing a structural equation model of residential satisfaction and its consequence effects, we can get a better understanding of residential development and construction of livable city.
  • LIN Jinyao, LI Xia
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    According to the 11th Five-Year Plan(2006-2010), land should be divided into four types of Major Function Oriented Zones(MFOZ), namely optimal development zone,key development zone, restricted development zone and prohibited development zone, based on bearing capacity of resources and environment, existing development intensity and potential of development. So far, numerous researchers have already conducted some related studies. Still, these somewhat subjective and labor-consuming methods seldom concern the cluster or dispersion degree of the same certain zone. This research tried to improve traditional clustering-based method by using genetic algorithms. This automatic method which is then applied to MFOZ planning of Dongguan concerns global spatial autocorrelation of the region. The comparison demonstrates that this simple and effective method has better performance than commonly-used clustering-based methods. The proposed method can be further applied to MFOZ planning of other regions.
  • QIAN Jia, WANG Degen, NIU Yu
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    Because of the advantages of zero-emission, strong flexibility and high accessibility, urban public bikes have become an important urban vehicle for conversion and connection between bus and subway, and is also a crucial mode of transportation for short distance travel. By taking Suzhou's public bikes as a study object, this paper builds a hypothetical structural equation model of the influence on the satisfaction of using public-bike based on exploratory factor analysis(EFA) and empirically studies the satisfaction and its impact mechanism of urban residents to use public-bike based on confirmatory factor analysis(CFA). The results are shown as follows.(1) Convenience and flexibility, design and layout,comfortability and environmental friendliness, as well as safety are the key factors of residents' satisfaction of using public-bike and economic costs and operational services are important ones.(2) Convenience and flexibility has the greatest influence on satisfaction with the path coefficient of 0.40, followed by design and layout, comfortability and environmental friendliness, with the path coefficients of 0.39 and 0.36, respectively. The influences of safety,economic costs and operational services are relatively small.(3) Convenience and flexibility,design and layout, comfortability and environmental friendliness, safety, as well as operational services show positive correlations with satisfaction, while economic costs show a negative one. Finally, countermeasures of improving the construction and the development of urban public-bike are proposed in order to improve the utilization and to achieve the goal of energy conservation, environmental friendliness and green travel.
  • LI Yurui, LIU Yansui, LONG Hualou, WANG Lijuan
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    China's agricultural and rural development policy has entered a new period of transformation since 2004, and this may provide new chances for rural development in less developed traditional agricultural areas. This paper establishes a comprehensive methodology for the detection and diagnosis of village system along the route of 'background analysis, mechanism analysis, evaluation of development level, comprehensive diagnosis, etiology analysis and path design', and empirical application study has been carried out in a typical village in Huanghuaihai Plain. The results showed: (1) the socio-economic development of the case study village was at a low level, and the degree of realization of building new countryside was only 66.53%; (2) the main problem is the long-term stagnation of village industrial development caused by a series of influencing factors from both inward and outward at village level, i.e., population growth, low level of education, weakened extension of agricultural science and technology, lack of farmers' organizations, chaos of agricultural means of production market, strong credit constraints, limited financial resources of local governments, and central government's underpricing of agricultural products; (3) to speed up the development of this village, villagers should develop rural labor economy to increase their income and accumulate venture capital, and optimize rural land use and generate modern, efficient and comparative agriculture. In addition, more attention should be paid to the formation and strength of village social capital; and (4) it is also urgent to promote institutional and policy innovation concerning agricultural and rural development in traditional and less-developed agricultural areas. Overall, empirical case studies confirm that the newly established comprehensive methodology for detection and diagnosis of village system can realize the evaluation of development level, comprehensive diagnosis, etiology analysis and development path design of village, and thus can provide scientific supports for strategic decision-making and planning of village development.
  • WANG Jue, CHEN Wen, YUAN Feng
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    The fast flow of various productive assets and power among different places has promoted the formation of city networks in the context of globalization, regionalization and localization. The city network has nowadays become a new mode of regional organization and spatial structure, and imposes a significant influence on the process of regional integration. By applying the social network analysis, this article attempts to investigate the characteristics, emergence and evolution of human mobility networks in the Yangtze River Delta region. The density, centralization and connectedness of the networks are calculated, and the results show that the human mobility networks in this region have formed and are characteristics of spatial unbalance in population distribution. Secondly, cities including Shanghai, Hangzhou, Nanjing, Ningbo and Suzhou-Wuxi-Changzhou areas have constituted important nodes of population agglomeration. Meanwhile, these cities are experiencing the process of emigration of population to other adjacent areas. Thirdly, two modes of human mobility networks, inter-province network and intra-province network, coexist in the Yangtze River Delta region. Specifically speaking, the inter-province network is characteristic of hierarchical diffusion, and the migration of population mainly occurs among Wuxi, Suzhou and Hangzhou. However, the intra-province network becomes more complex and can be further categorized two models—Jiangsu's intra-province network and Zhejiang's intra-province network. From the perspective of the spatial pattern, Jiangsu's intra-province network is characteristic of adjacent infiltration which means the relocation of population from population cores to peripheral areas. However, Zhejiang's intra-province network exhibits a hub-and-spoke structure and primarily includes three nodes of population mobility— Hangzhou, Ningbo and Taizhou. Based on the discussion mentioned above, the mechanism of human mobility network is analyzed with the consideration of the effect of employment opportunity, income, industrial structure and mobility cost on the population mobility. The analysis manifests that factors involving the openness of cities, the ratio of secondary industry and tertiary industry, housing price, spatial distance and institutional thickness have significantly affected the formation of human mobility network in the Yangtze River Delta. Finally, this article proposes a theoretical hypothesis of the evolution of human mobility network which includes the following four stages—discrete distribution stage, single-core agglomeration stage, multi-center network stage, and chained spatial network stage.